Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven), MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Senior Quantitative Strategist at Aethon Capital (crypto fund).

Quantitative Researcher, Algorithmic Trader and former Portfolio Manager at Capital Theory Investment Management, LLC (Austin, TX - USA). 

I specialize in systematic, short-term forecasting for US and Pan-Asian Stocks and Indexes. My methodology is centered on proprietary quantitative modeling (statistical study of trend persistence and mean reversion effects), leveraging probabilistic Bayesian models to predict tactical shifts over a 1-day to few-week horizon.

All models are explicitly human-built—no AI/machine learning—to eliminate black-box risk. This intensive, non-automated approach ensures that every Tactical Market Call is supported by a clear, explainable rationale.

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven)

Tencent (700 HK): Option Traders Position Ahead of 13 May Earnings

JD.com (9618 HK / JD US) Earnings on 12 May: Historical Moves Outpace Options Pricing

Alibaba (9988 HK/BABA), Tencent (700 HK/TCEHY) Rally Overnight; HSI Futures Point to Higher Open

Hong Kong Connect Flows (April): $5.6bn Inflows

Tencent (700 HK) Earnings on 13 May: Patterns, Pricing, and Volatility Setup

Alibaba (9988 HK / BABA US): HK Options Price a Larger-Than-Usual Earnings Move

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

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<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> has been in a downtrend since the end of September 2025. The correction repriced the 2024 rally that tripled the stock's value. A reversal may be underway. 
</li>
<li>
Our model signals a potential upcoming short-term trend reversal, the May 13 Q1 2026 earnings announcement could act as a potential near-term catalyst. Could become a major turning point.</li>
<li>Consensus: bullish. According to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/gaudenz-schneider" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:66501" rel="noopener">Gaudenz Schneider</a> 46 analysts cover the stock with a median price target of HKD 724, implying ~53% upside from current levels, consistent with our LONG signal.
</li>
</ul>



Tencent (700 HK) has been in a downtrend since the end of September 2025. The correction repriced the 2024 rally that tripled the stock's value. A reversal may be underway. 


Our model signals a potential upcoming short-term trend reversal, the May 13 Q1 2026 earnings announcement could act as a potential near-term catalyst. Could become a major turning point.
Consensus: bullish. According to Gaudenz Schneider 46 analysts cover the stock with a median price target of HKD 724, implying ~53% upside from current levels, consistent with our LONG signal.



Tencent (700 HK) Tactical Outlook: Is the Selloff Over? Model Signals Reversal Ahead of Earnings