Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

A chartered management accountant with more than 10 years of rich experience in investment research and financial analysis. Worked as an equity analyst for one of the world's largest asset managers with USD2.5trn in AUM covering numerous sectors including chemicals, retail, tech, autos, telco, real-estate and banks, globally. Experienced in fundamental equity research, industry research, commodity studies, forensic accounting, and due diligence reviews.

Equity Analyst

[Tencent (700 HK) Target Price Change]: Recovery Aided by Strong Advertising & In Line Game

JD Health: Lower Margin Direct Sales Biz Weighs Down Profitability

Tencent Holdings Ltd (700 HK) - Bullish Multi-Month Outlook - Target 450+ (+20-25%)

TME: Social Entertainment Losing Its Importance with Top Line Growth Keep Declining

Kuaishou 4Q2022E Preview: Continued Recovery in Earnings

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> reported 4Q2022 results yesterday. Revenue increased 0.5% YoY to RMB145bn (vs consensus RMB)143.5bn while adjusted OP increased 30.1% YoY to RMB28.4bn (vs consensus RMB37.2bn).</li>
<li>Online advertising revenues saw a 14.8% YoY increase during 4Q2022 after 4-consecutive quarters of decline with January and February showing sustained recovery.</li>
<li>Though Domestic gaming revenues declined in 4Q2022, with new gaming licenses and international expansion, we expect gaming revenues to start growing from 1Q2023.</li>
</ul>



Tencent (700 HK) reported 4Q2022 results yesterday. Revenue increased 0.5% YoY to RMB145bn (vs consensus RMB)143.5bn while adjusted OP increased 30.1% YoY to RMB28.4bn (vs consensus RMB37.2bn).
Online advertising revenues saw a 14.8% YoY increase during 4Q2022 after 4-consecutive quarters of decline with January and February showing sustained recovery.
Though Domestic gaming revenues declined in 4Q2022, with new gaming licenses and international expansion, we expect gaming revenues to start growing from 1Q2023.


Tencent: Gradual Recovery in Earnings; Domestic Gaming to Resume Growth