Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

A veteran with 19-year experience in equity research.

Geographical coverage:
* Companies operating in China, but listed in Hong Kong and the U.S.
* Previously China A-share (listed in mainland China).

Equity sector coverage:
* Chinese App / Internet-based consumption in China, e.g., Alibaba, Tencent, etc.
* Previously covered education, transportation, telecom, power, bank, advertisement, hotel, etc.

Research methods:
* Generally bottom-up.
* Talk to related people on the ground.  Talk to readers and independent writers for analyzing a news portal.  Talk to parents and teachers for analyzing a tutoring school. 
* Visit stores and show photos as evidence in notes.
* Do technical analysis when finding a short-seller attacking an equity.

Languages:
* English
* Mandarin Chinese (Official language of China)
* Shanghainese (Language of Shanghai, the most developed city in China)
* Cantonese (Language of Hong Kong and Canton Province, one of the most developed provinces in China)

Overseas Chinese Equities

China Internet Weekly (16Mar2020): IKEA Goes to Alibaba and Gome Appliance Goes to JD.com

Alibaba (BABA): Online Product Shopping Up 3% Vs. Total Retail Down 20% in China

Tencent Music (TME) Q4: Strong in Both Business Lines, But Overvalued as Monopolist

Tencent Music (TME): Lower Margin in 2Q2019, Overvalued as Always

Tencent Music (TME): Anti-Trust Investigation May Take at Least USD2.80 Per Share

Tencent Music (TME): Risks Lower Growth for Both Business Lines, 21% Downside

Last Week on China Internet (11Nov19): Alibaba Is No. 5 in Game and Tencent Imitates Momo

Alibaba (BABA): Expands Again After Stabilizing Margin, 40% Upside

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul class="">
<li>Online music is no longer a monopolistic market.</li>
<li>Short video is taking time on site from live broadcasting.</li>
<li>Financials will be healthy in 2020, but no exclusive advantage should be added to TME’s value.</li>
<li>We set a price target of US$8.62, which is 27% lower than the market price.</li>
</ul>


Online music is no longer a monopolistic market.
Short video is taking time on site from live broadcasting.
Financials will be healthy in 2020, but no exclusive advantage should be added to TME’s value.
We set a price target of US$8.62, which is 27% lower than the market price.


Tencent Music (TME) Earnings Preview: No Exclusive Advantage, Overvalued