New Zealand Professional Investment Services Firm

Forsyth Barr

We are proud to be a New Zealand owned firm, with 21 offices throughout the country and over 300 employees. We assist personal, institutional and corporate clients providing a full range of investment services.

Forsyth Barr is a foundation New Zealand Exchange firm (NZX) and accredited market participant. We have been confirmed by the Financial Markets Authority as a Qualifying Financial Entity (QFE).

Research is the cornerstone of our advice. We have one of New Zealand's leading teams of analysts. Our global affiliations ensure comprehensive research coverage of all major investment markets.

New Zealand Professional Investment Services Firm, Forsyth Barr

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>2025 Chinese births were 11% below our expectations and down 17% year on year.</li><li>Despite share price weakness, under our revised China infant formula (IF) market assumptions, the market continues to price an optimistic ~15% long-term China IF market share (versus FY26E of ~7%).</li><li>We forecast the China IF market (by value) to decline at a ~-2% CAGR over the next five years (FY26-FY31).</li></ul>

2025 Chinese births were 11% below our expectations and down 17% year on year.Despite share price weakness, under our revised China infant formula (IF) market assumptions, the market continues to price an optimistic ~15% long-term China IF market share (versus FY26E of ~7%).We forecast the China IF market (by value) to decline at a ~-2% CAGR over the next five years (FY26-FY31).

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