Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Being invited, I joined Sellside, i.e. JPMorgan, Nomura and Macquarie, totally around 9-10 years. Before that, I joined International Data Corp (https://www.idc.com/) to be the Asia Semiconductor analyst for nearly 2 years, and being invited to do personal lectures in TSMC, UMC, Samsung and etc. In my working experiences, I also had the chance to join Taiwanese panel company, AUO (2409.TT) and the buyside, Chinalife (2823.TT), totally for over 1 year.
I obtained MS degree from the Tsing-Hua University. Then I worked in the Taiwan Semiconductor companies for around 11 years. I had several US patents during my stay in the Semiconductor industry.

Being worked in the sellside and buyside, I deeply dived in the Greater China Semiconductor industry and directly covered some companies, like TSMC (2330.TT, TSM.US), UMC (2303.TT, UMC.US), Vanguard (5347.TT), ASE (3711.TT, ASX.US), SPIL (merged with ASE and delisted), KYEC ( 2449.TT), JCET (600584.CH), ASMPT (522.HK), GWC (6488.TT), WinSemi (3105.TT), Mediatek (2454.TT), Silergy (6415.TT), Novatek (3034.TT), Guoxin Micro (002049.CH) etc.

UMC (UMC US / 2303 TT): Adeptly Navigating Foundry Industry Transition From Scale to Specialization

UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): Gloomy Outlook for 3Q25.

UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): 4Q25 Revenue Is Projected to Decline 5–10% QoQ.

UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): 3Q25 Outlook Improves Slightly over 2Q25, Based on Estimated FX Assumptions.

Equity Bottom-Up

United Microelectron Sp Adr / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>4Q25 Guidance: Wafer shipment will remain flat. ASP in US dollars will remain firm. Gross margin will be approximately in the high 20% range.  </li>
<li>Expect interposer technology capabilities to serve the market when volume comes in late 2026 or sometime in 2027.</li>
<li>12nm PDK is expected to be ready for the first wave of customers in January 2026. Customer product takeout is expected at the beginning of 2027.  </li>
</ul>


4Q25 Guidance: Wafer shipment will remain flat. ASP in US dollars will remain firm. Gross margin will be approximately in the high 20% range.  
Expect interposer technology capabilities to serve the market when volume comes in late 2026 or sometime in 2027.
12nm PDK is expected to be ready for the first wave of customers in January 2026. Customer product takeout is expected at the beginning of 2027.  


UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): 4Q25 Upbeat; 1Q26 May Be a Challenging Quarter Due to Expected Seasonality.