Chief Economist, Heteronomics

Phil Rush

Philip Rush is the Founder and Chief Economist of Heteronomics. Until launching in November 2016, he was Nomura's Senior European Economist and was the Chief UK Economist there since 2010. Before that, he was UK Economist at Barclays Wealth, where he also developed strategic asset allocation models for their market return portfolios. Philip started his career at Lehman Brothers covering the UK, Scandinavian and Swiss economies. A book on his fundamental framework was published in January 2018 as "Real Market Economics".

Chief Economist

Heteronomics

Heteronomics represents a different kind of economics. We believe analysis should delve into the details of what is really going on, rather than using overly simplistic assumptions to quick-sell stories. Independence from myopic institutional pressures allows us to focus on the realities underlying your asset allocation decisions, without the conflicts of the old market structures. Heteronomics targets the themes driving UK asset prices, offering the benefits of depth, independence and ultimately price.

UK-centric macro research

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>US inflation exceeded the final consensus for September, but by a margin that was too marginal to seem significant. Underlying impulses were also stable at excessive levels.</li>
<li>The cumulative news is much more substantial, with the 36bp rise in the headline at odds with a month-ago consensus for no change. Pressure to hike again is growing.</li>
<li>We don’t see this upside as sufficient to overcome recent cautious guidance and the downside labour market news, so we still see the Fed waiting to hike until December.</li>
</ul>


US inflation exceeded the final consensus for September, but by a margin that was too marginal to seem significant. Underlying impulses were also stable at excessive levels.
The cumulative news is much more substantial, with the 36bp rise in the headline at odds with a month-ago consensus for no change. Pressure to hike again is growing.
We don’t see this upside as sufficient to overcome recent cautious guidance and the downside labour market news, so we still see the Fed waiting to hike until December.


US: Inflating a December Hike