Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven), MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Senior Quantitative Strategist at Aethon Capital (crypto fund).

Quantitative Researcher, Algorithmic Trader and former Portfolio Manager at Capital Theory Investment Management, LLC (Austin, TX - USA). 

I specialize in systematic, short-term forecasting for US and Pan-Asian Stocks and Indexes. My methodology is centered on proprietary quantitative modeling (statistical study of trend persistence and mean reversion effects), leveraging probabilistic Bayesian models to predict tactical shifts over a 1-day to few-week horizon.

All models are explicitly human-built—no AI/machine learning—to eliminate black-box risk. This intensive, non-automated approach ensures that every Tactical Market Call is supported by a clear, explainable rationale.

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven)

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

Nasdaq-100 Stock Index / Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>There is a lot of noise swirling around lately, all sorts of narratives trying to explain the  trajectory for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-500-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22886:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nasdaq-100-stock-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26197:1" rel="noopener">Nasdaq-100 Stock Index (NDX INDEX)</a>.</li>
<li>We had a look at our WEEKLY quantitative models and <strong>the correction that started on Monday appears to match an historical pattern with limited downside (max 2 weeks down). </strong>
</li>
<li>Our models see this pullback ending/reversing latest by the end of next week, reaching supports at/below 6742 for the SPX and 24208 for the NDX. These are short-term WEEKLY forecasts.</li>
</ul>


There is a lot of noise swirling around lately, all sorts of narratives trying to explain the  trajectory for S&amp;P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX) and Nasdaq-100 Stock Index (NDX INDEX).
We had a look at our WEEKLY quantitative models and the correction that started on Monday appears to match an historical pattern with limited downside (max 2 weeks down). 

Our models see this pullback ending/reversing latest by the end of next week, reaching supports at/below 6742 for the SPX and 24208 for the NDX. These are short-term WEEKLY forecasts.


US Markets Tactical Outlook: Probabilities, Not Narratives