Independent Insight Provider, Japanese equities, LightStream Research

Scott Foster

Securities analyst covering electronics, precision equipment & robotics, engineering, construction, transport and other sectors for more than 25 years in Japan and 3 years in Korea. Permanent resident of Japan.

Independent Insight Provider, Japanese equities

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

Ushio's share price rose 49% from May 19 to July 2, from ¥1,423 to a 52-week high of ¥2,118.  This reflected growing optimism over the resumption of movie theater operations in Europe and America as vaccination proceeded and pandemic-related restrictions were relaxed.On June 29, management announced a doubling of FY Mar-22 net profit guidance, in large part due to greater than expected sales of light sources for cinema projectors and projection equipment.But the rapid spread of the Delta Variant of COVID-19 has undermined this optimism and the shares have since dropped back to ¥1,997. Take profits and wait until the impact of the current wave of infections is discounted.

Ushio's share price rose 49% from May 19 to July 2, from ¥1,423 to a 52-week high of ¥2,118.  This reflected growing optimism over the resumption of movie theater operations in Europe and America as vaccination proceeded and pandemic-related restrictions were relaxed.On June 29, management announced a doubling of FY Mar-22 net profit guidance, in large part due to greater than expected sales of light sources for cinema projectors and projection equipment.But the rapid spread of the Delta Variant of COVID-19 has undermined this optimism and the shares have since dropped back to ¥1,997. Take profits and wait until the impact of the current wave of infections is discounted.

Ushio (6925 JP): New Guidance Jumped the Gun

Ushio Inc

Ushio (6925 JP): New Guidance Jumped the Gun