It was with a large pang of sadness this week that we saw the news of the passing of Tung Chee-hua, the first chief executive of Hong Kong post 1997. We were sad not because he was a particularly good leader and that everything in Hong Kong was rosy under his administration, but because he was a perfectly good man with the territory’s best interests at heart.
On the other hand, the current US Treasury Secretary, Scott Bessent simply leaves the impression of being arrogant and egotistical. He challenges the markets to take him on as regards what he's going to do with the bond market and more so with the yen. He says “Don’t mess with my Yen agenda”, but seems to forget he is US Treasury Secretary, not the Finance Minister of Japan (or a hedge fund manager).
We published a Peregrinations report earlier this week, called Japan: Through AI Glasses. It forms part of the argument behind our long yen call, which at the moment is working because markets are frightened of Bessent and intervention. But it won't work long term unless the yield differential closes. In our view, the way that it will close is through an accelerated hiking pace by the BoJ, not the way that most analysts expected.
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Walker’s Weekly: Dr. Jim's Summary of Key Global Macro Developments - 11 Sep 2026