Cross-Asset Strategist & Quantitative Analyst, Pennock Idea Hub

Cam Hui

Cam Hui has been professionally involved in the financial markets since 1985 in a variety of roles, both as a quantitative equity portfolio manager and as a sell-side analyst. He graduated with a degree in Computer Science from the University of British Columbia in 1980 and obtained his CFA Charter in 1989.

Cross-Asset Strategist & Quantitative Analyst

ISM at 46: Recession Within Six Months, or This Time Is Different?

Pennock Idea Hub

We are creators of independent equity research. The Pennock Idea Hub team are veterans of the investment industry. Much of our team has spent their careers at Merrill Lynch, Deutsche Bank, RBC Capital Markets and Wood Gundy. We have taken every aspect of research back to the studs and returned to first principles. The Pennock Idea Hub marries the interests of the sell and buy side. 

We offer the best research for institutional investors by:

-Only publishing research from veteran analysts
-Eliminate the inherent conflicts of the traditional sell and buy side relationship
-Ensure our team is always accessible; collaboration with clients nurtures our collective success

Cross-Asset & Quantitative Research

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>How would you like to take greater equity risk while reducing the worst of the downside risk? Our Ultimate Market Timing Model (UMTM) is designed to do that.</li>
<li>Our UMTM is cautious on equities based on two scenarios. The first is a mild recession, which is consistent with the Fed’s staff forecast.</li>
<li>The other more ominous scenario is the false soft landing which turns into stagflationary growth, which would be unfriendly to both stock and bond prices.</li>
</ul>


How would you like to take greater equity risk while reducing the worst of the downside risk? Our Ultimate Market Timing Model (UMTM) is designed to do that.
Our UMTM is cautious on equities based on two scenarios. The first is a mild recession, which is consistent with the Fed’s staff forecast.
The other more ominous scenario is the false soft landing which turns into stagflationary growth, which would be unfriendly to both stock and bond prices.


Why Our "Ultimate Market Timing Model" Is Cautious