The outside view matters most: every major tech revolution in history ended up with overinvestment and a painful reset, making crashes the rule, not the exception.
The inside view always feels unique all the time – but eye-watering spending, speculative capital, financial engineering, and the belief that “this time is different” were present in past frenzies, too.
You don’t need to time the top: build a more resilient portfolio by trimming your profit, limiting position sizes, avoiding crowding, while using diversification, trend rules, or selective hedges.
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