Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven), MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher, Algorithmic Trader and former Portfolio Manager at Capital Theory Investment Management, LLC (Austin, TX - USA). 

I specialize in systematic, short-term forecasting for US and Pan-Asian Stocks and Indexes. My methodology is centered on proprietary quantitative modeling (statistical study of trend persistence and mean reversion effects), leveraging probabilistic Bayesian models to predict tactical shifts over a 1-day to few-week horizon.

All models are explicitly human-built—no AI/machine learning—to eliminate black-box risk. This intensive, non-automated approach ensures that every Tactical Market Call is supported by a clear, explainable rationale.

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven)

TSMC 2Q25: A Number of Very Positive Messages, Plus a Major Contradiction on 4Q25 Revenue

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): FX Could Make an Impact; Full Year USD Revenue Raised to ~30% YoY.

TSMC Q225. Surfing The AI Tidal Wave With Style

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Derivatives

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>As reported by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/patrick-liao" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:29986" rel="noopener">Patrick Liao</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/william-keating" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:1806" rel="noopener">William Keating</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11230:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (2330 TT)</a> is currently in very good shape, for multiple reasons, I invite you to read their insights. </li>
<li>
The problem is: the stock closed at 1155 on Friday, blowing past through the roof of what our model has identified as a very extremely overbought "Tails" move.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tsmc-2330-tt-outlook-bullish-after-shareholders-meetings" target="_blank" rel="noopener">We said BUY in June</a>, and know market euphoria can defy models when sentiment takes over, but our tools consistently flag overstretched conditions — a clear caution to late-stage buyers!</li>
</ul>


As reported by Patrick Liao and William Keating , Taiwan Semiconductor (2330 TT) is currently in very good shape, for multiple reasons, I invite you to read their insights. 

The problem is: the stock closed at 1155 on Friday, blowing past through the roof of what our model has identified as a very extremely overbought "Tails" move.

We said BUY in June, and know market euphoria can defy models when sentiment takes over, but our tools consistently flag overstretched conditions — a clear caution to late-stage buyers!


TSMC (2330.TT) の見通しは第2四半期が好調: 当社のモデルは「極度の買われ過ぎ状態」を予測