ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

Bank Negara Indonesia Persero / Equity Bottom-Up

PT Bank Negara Indonesia (Persero) Tbk is a state-owned bank that conducts commercial and consumer banking services.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-negara-indonesia-persero" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8285:1" rel="noopener">Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ)</a> booked a solid set of 1Q2024 results driven by +9.6% YoY growth in loans, despite being hampered by higher cost of funds amid tighter liquidity.</li>
<li>Loan growth was driven by corporate lending, with corporate SOE lending showing the strongest growth and consumer loans. Funding was driven by CASA growth which limited the squeeze on NIMs. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-negara-indonesia-persero" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8285:1" rel="noopener">Bank Negara Indonesia</a> booked strong growth in fee income and a reduction in provisions which helped to offset the margin squeeze. Valuations remain attractive on 1.2x FY2024E PBV.</li>
</ul>



Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ) booked a solid set of 1Q2024 results driven by +9.6% YoY growth in loans, despite being hampered by higher cost of funds amid tighter liquidity.
Loan growth was driven by corporate lending, with corporate SOE lending showing the strongest growth and consumer loans. Funding was driven by CASA growth which limited the squeeze on NIMs. 

Bank Negara Indonesia booked strong growth in fee income and a reduction in provisions which helped to offset the margin squeeze. Valuations remain attractive on 1.2x FY2024E PBV.


Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ) - The Bank Has Levers to Pull On

PT Astra International Tbk assembles and distributes automobiles, motorcycles, and their related spare parts.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company also operates in the mining, development of plantations, financial and information technology.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astra-international-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46:1" rel="noopener">Astra International (ASII IJ)</a> just released 1Q2024 results, which reflected the softer auto and heavy equipment markets, although buoyed by better earnings for its finance arm, </li>
<li>The company's headline net profit was down -14% YoY but stripping out value adjustments was only down -5% YoY, with management optimistic over the longer term. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astra-international-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46:1" rel="noopener">Astra</a> continues to mirror the Indonesian economy, with its latest investment in geothermal but its nickel businesses also growing. Valuations attractive on 6.6x FY2024E PER and a 7.2% dividend yield. </li>
</ul>



Astra International (ASII IJ) just released 1Q2024 results, which reflected the softer auto and heavy equipment markets, although buoyed by better earnings for its finance arm, 
The company's headline net profit was down -14% YoY but stripping out value adjustments was only down -5% YoY, with management optimistic over the longer term. 

Astra continues to mirror the Indonesian economy, with its latest investment in geothermal but its nickel businesses also growing. Valuations attractive on 6.6x FY2024E PER and a 7.2% dividend yield. 


Astra International (ASII IJ) - Striking a Balance with Finance

Siloam International Hospitals / Equity Bottom-Up

PT Siloam International Hospitals Tbk owns and operates hospitals. The Company offers a comprehensive range of specialist medical services including laboratory services, radiology, imaging and complex surgical procedures. Siloam International operates its hospitals throughout Indonesia.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/siloam-international-hospitals" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:878:1" rel="noopener">Siloam International Hospitals</a> booked a solid set of 1Q2024 results, with sustained QoQ improvements in revenues, EBITDA, and profits, stripping out a one-off write-down for hospitals under development. </li>
<li>The company also saw strong improvements in operational metrics including inpatient and outpatient days, with especially strong performance in March due to a dengue epidemic, which also diluted patient intensity. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/siloam-international-hospitals" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:878:1" rel="noopener">Siloam International Hospitals</a> saw continuing strength in more complex treatments, as it focused on raising clinical acuity in areas such as transplants and cardiology. Valuations remain attractive relative to peers.</li>
</ul>



Siloam International Hospitals booked a solid set of 1Q2024 results, with sustained QoQ improvements in revenues, EBITDA, and profits, stripping out a one-off write-down for hospitals under development. 
The company also saw strong improvements in operational metrics including inpatient and outpatient days, with especially strong performance in March due to a dengue epidemic, which also diluted patient intensity. 

Siloam International Hospitals saw continuing strength in more complex treatments, as it focused on raising clinical acuity in areas such as transplants and cardiology. Valuations remain attractive relative to peers.


Siloam International Hospitals (SILO IJ) - Raising Clinical Acuity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The past week saw insights on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-central-asia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:440:1" rel="noopener">Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bfi-finance-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8447:1" rel="noopener">BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ),</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/elite-commercial-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28807:1" rel="noopener">Elite Commercial REIT (ELITE SP)</a> and OceanaGold IPO in the Philippines. </li>
<li>There were also macro insights on Indonesia and Singapore plus a sector insight on Thai banks and an index rebalancing from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/brian-freitas" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:4091" rel="noopener">Brian Freitas</a> on the LQ45 in Indonesia. </li>
<li>The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across Southeast Asia</li>
</ul>


The past week saw insights on Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ), BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ),Elite Commercial REIT (ELITE SP) and OceanaGold IPO in the Philippines. 
There were also macro insights on Indonesia and Singapore plus a sector insight on Thai banks and an index rebalancing from Brian Freitas on the LQ45 in Indonesia. 
The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across Southeast Asia


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - BCA Leads, BFIN Is Back, and Thai Banks

PT BFI Finance Indonesia Tbk provides financial services such as leasing, consumer financing, and factoring.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bfi-finance-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8447:1" rel="noopener">BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ)</a> booked a solid set of 1Q2024 numbers with improved QoQ bookings, although with some concerns over challenging market conditions slowing the recovery.</li>
<li>The NPF ratio saw an ongoing improvement, although the cost of capital increased due to higher write-offs from last year's bookings. Revenue declined due to a shift to lower-risk products. </li>
<li>The outlook for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bfi-finance-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8447:1" rel="noopener">BFIN</a> in 2H2024 looks more positive, with the company shifting back to higher-return products and with lower expected credit costs. Valuations are appealing on 1.5x PBV.</li>
</ul>



BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ) booked a solid set of 1Q2024 numbers with improved QoQ bookings, although with some concerns over challenging market conditions slowing the recovery.
The NPF ratio saw an ongoing improvement, although the cost of capital increased due to higher write-offs from last year's bookings. Revenue declined due to a shift to lower-risk products. 
The outlook for BFIN in 2H2024 looks more positive, with the company shifting back to higher-return products and with lower expected credit costs. Valuations are appealing on 1.5x PBV.


BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ) - Slower Recovery in Process

In Equity Sales and Research for more than 25 years covering Asian markets. Possesses in-depth knowledge of a wide range of companies, economies, and markets in Asia. Over his career, he has specialised in HK/China and ASEAN markets at various different Investment Banks, most recently heading equities in Indonesia for Bank of America Merrill Lynch in Jakarta for more than three years. Whilst in Jakarta, he produced a well-read daily and weekly product on the Indonesian market, which included company visits, as well as political, economic and sector commentary. A former racing skier, who enjoys ultra-marathons and surfing in his spare time.

Angus Mackintosh
ASEAN Insight Provider
• CrossASEAN Research

Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ) - The Bank Has Levers to Pull On

Bank Negara Indonesia booked strong growth in fee income and a reduction in provisions which helped to offset the margin squeeze. Valuations remain...

Angus Mackintosh

Astra International (ASII IJ) - Striking a Balance with Finance

Astra continues to mirror the Indonesian economy, with its latest investment in geothermal but its nickel businesses also growing. Valuations...

Angus Mackintosh

Siloam International Hospitals (SILO IJ) - Raising Clinical Acuity

Siloam saw continuing strength in more complex treatments, as it focused on raising clinical acuity in areas such as transplants and cardiology....

Angus Mackintosh

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - BCA Leads, BFIN Is Back, and Thai Banks

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity...

Angus Mackintosh

BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ) - Slower Recovery in Process

The outlook for BFIN in 2H2024 looks more positive, with the company shifting back to higher-return products and with lower expected credit costs....

Angus Mackintosh