US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher, ORTEX

Dimitris Ioannidis

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

ORTEX

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

Index Rebalance

Klarna is a Swedish fintech company that provides online financial services. The company provides payment processing services for the e-commerce industry.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/klarna-group-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44090:1" rel="noopener">Klarna Group (KLAR US)</a> is forecasted to be excluded from all the main US &amp; EU indices because of a sole US foreign listing.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/klarna-group-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44090:1" rel="noopener">Klarna Group (KLAR US)</a> can be added to one Global index at the December 2025 review due to a non-ADR listing given it passes the fcap threshold and voting rights.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/klarna-group-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44090:1" rel="noopener">Klarna Group (KLAR US)</a> is expected to be excluded from rasel due to a non-US nationality assignment based on the company's asset &amp; revenue geographical locations.</li>
</ul>



Klarna Group (KLAR US) is forecasted to be excluded from all the main US &amp; EU indices because of a sole US foreign listing.

Klarna Group (KLAR US) can be added to one Global index at the December 2025 review due to a non-ADR listing given it passes the fcap threshold and voting rights.

Klarna Group (KLAR US) is expected to be excluded from rasel due to a non-US nationality assignment based on the company's asset &amp; revenue geographical locations.


Klarna (KLAR US): US Index Exclusion Over Asset & Revenue Geographic Locations

Rheinmetall AG is an automotive, electronics, defense, and engineering group. The Company produces automotive pumps and components to supply air, reduce emissions, and supply fuel, pistons for gasoline and diesel vehicle and stationary engines, bearings for engines and other applications and aluminum engine blocks, and offers aftermarket service to engine repair shops.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rheinmetall-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21700:1" rel="noopener">Rheinmetall AG (RHM GR)</a> surged ~65% over the last month and is now passing the sector coverage threshold resulting in its selection list qualification and rank of ~26.</li>
<li>Fast-Entry inclusion to Euro STOXX50 can be triggered at the June 2025 quarterly review if RHM's price increases by ~4% to reach the fast-entry rank of 25. </li>
<li>RHM's inclusion at the September 2025 annual review has a high probability given a failed fast-entry in June. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kering" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21492:1" rel="noopener">Kering (KER FP)</a> is the main deletion candidate.</li>
</ul>



Rheinmetall AG (RHM GR) surged ~65% over the last month and is now passing the sector coverage threshold resulting in its selection list qualification and rank of ~26.
Fast-Entry inclusion to Euro STOXX50 can be triggered at the June 2025 quarterly review if RHM's price increases by ~4% to reach the fast-entry rank of 25. 
RHM's inclusion at the September 2025 annual review has a high probability given a failed fast-entry in June. Kering (KER FP) is the main deletion candidate.


EURO STOXX50: Fast-Entry In June Or Inclusion In September 2025 For Rheinmetall AG (RHM GR)

JX Advanced Metals Corporation develops and mines non-ferrous metal resources. The Company develops, mines, smelts, refines, and markets non-ferrous such as copper, gold, and silver. JX Advanced Metals also manufactures and sells copper foils, semiconductor materials, precision-rolled coppers, copper-alloy products, and special steel products.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jx-advanced-metals-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44346:1" rel="noopener">JX Advanced Metals (5016 JP)</a> is scheduled to be listed on 19 March 2025, at the prime market of the Tokyo Stock Exchange at an expected valuation of ~$5.3bn.</li>
<li>Fast-Entry inclusion for the one global index can take place on 25 March if the stock price surges by ~30% or more on the first trading day.</li>
<li>Review inclusion given failed fast-entries for both global indices, is expected in August and September 2025.</li>
</ul>



JX Advanced Metals (5016 JP) is scheduled to be listed on 19 March 2025, at the prime market of the Tokyo Stock Exchange at an expected valuation of ~$5.3bn.
Fast-Entry inclusion for the one global index can take place on 25 March if the stock price surges by ~30% or more on the first trading day.
Review inclusion given failed fast-entries for both global indices, is expected in August and September 2025.


JX Advanced Metals (5016 JP): IPO Fast-Entry 30% Away; Index Review Inclusion in Aug & Sep 2025

DoorDash, Inc. provides restaurant food delivery services. The Company develops technology to connect customers with merchants through an on-demand food delivery application. DoorDash serves customers in the United States.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/doordash-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28881:1" rel="noopener">DoorDash (DASH US)</a> recently became eligible for addition to S&amp;P500 following the company's <a href="https://ir.doordash.com/news/news-details/2025/DoorDash-Releases-Fourth-Quarter-and-Full-Year-2024-Financial-Results/default.aspx" target="_blank" rel="noopener">positive earnings announcement</a> on 11 February 2025.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/applovin-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32989:1" rel="noopener">AppLovin (APP US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/doordash-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28881:1" rel="noopener">DoorDash (DASH US)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/coinbase-global-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32227:1" rel="noopener">Coinbase Global (COIN US)</a> are the main addition by transition candidates. APP is number one due to significant long-term mcap score.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/williams-sonoma-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11383:1" rel="noopener">Williams Sonoma (WSM US)</a> is the main addition by migration candidate and the expected addition by replacement if <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/capital-one-financial-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:255:1" rel="noopener">Capital One's</a> acquisition is completed prior to the March review.</li>
</ul>



DoorDash (DASH US) recently became eligible for addition to S&amp;P500 following the company's positive earnings announcement on 11 February 2025.

AppLovin (APP US), DoorDash (DASH US), and Coinbase Global (COIN US) are the main addition by transition candidates. APP is number one due to significant long-term mcap score.

Williams Sonoma (WSM US) is the main addition by migration candidate and the expected addition by replacement if Capital One's acquisition is completed prior to the March review.


<ul>
<li>Klarna is anticipated to file for a US IPO next week and go public next month looking to raise ~$1bn at a valuation of ~$15bn.</li>
<li>Klarna is expected to be added to one US index at the June 2025 review <em>if</em> its primary asset/revenue location is US <em>and</em> its listed shares are non-ADRs.</li>
<li>Klarna is expected to be added to one Global index at the December 2025 review if its listed shares are non-ADRs and passes the fcap threshold.</li>
</ul>


Klarna is anticipated to file for a US IPO next week and go public next month looking to raise ~$1bn at a valuation of ~$15bn.
Klarna is expected to be added to one US index at the June 2025 review if its primary asset/revenue location is US and its listed shares are non-ADRs.
Klarna is expected to be added to one Global index at the December 2025 review if its listed shares are non-ADRs and passes the fcap threshold.


Klarna: IPO Next Month? US Foreign Listing Limits Index Inclusion

Index Rebalance professional of US, EU and Global Indices. Specialized in shareholder structure and index free float calculation, SPACs, quarterly rebalance predictions of US-EU indices and cross-index implications of corporate actions such as M&A's, Spin-offs and IPOs.

All forecasts and calculations are estimates derived from a combination of public sources considered reliable. These sources include, but are not limited to, exchange and regulatory filings, company announcements, and ETFs. While best efforts are made to maximize accuracy, estimates and predictions are subject to uncertainty.

No index data are used.

Dimitris Ioannidis
US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher
• ORTEX

Klarna (KLAR US): US Index Exclusion Over Asset & Revenue Geographic Locations

Following the IPO prospectus, KLAR faces exclusion from all major US indices including rasel due to a US foreign listing and a UK nationality...

Dimitris Ioannidis

EURO STOXX50: Fast-Entry In June Or Inclusion In September 2025 For Rheinmetall AG (RHM GR)

Rheinmetall AG (RHM) is now ranked 26th in Euro STOXX50, after surpassing the Industrial sector coverage threshold and is ~4% away from fast-entry...

Dimitris Ioannidis

JX Advanced Metals (5016 JP): IPO Fast-Entry 30% Away; Index Review Inclusion in Aug & Sep 2025

Final offering price is 820 JPY, lower than the initial indicative price of 862 JYP. But the greenshoe has been exercised and assumed to be...

Dimitris Ioannidis

S&P500: DoorDash Knocks

Announced additions: DASH, WSM , EXE, TKO. 2/3 of top addition picks materialized. EXE, TKO I believe were added by force due to a large number of...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Klarna: IPO Next Month? US Foreign Listing Limits Index Inclusion

Klarna's IPO is anticipated in April at a $15bn valuation. Index inclusion is limited due to a US foreign listing but can be enhanced if listed...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Klarna (KLAR US): US Index Exclusion Over Asset & Revenue Geographic Locations

Following the IPO prospectus, KLAR faces exclusion from all major US indices including rasel due to a US foreign listing and a UK nationality...

Dimitris Ioannidis

EURO STOXX50: Fast-Entry In June Or Inclusion In September 2025 For Rheinmetall AG (RHM GR)

Rheinmetall AG (RHM) is now ranked 26th in Euro STOXX50, after surpassing the Industrial sector coverage threshold and is ~4% away from fast-entry...

Dimitris Ioannidis

JX Advanced Metals (5016 JP): IPO Fast-Entry 30% Away; Index Review Inclusion in Aug & Sep 2025

Final offering price is 820 JPY, lower than the initial indicative price of 862 JYP. But the greenshoe has been exercised and assumed to be...

Dimitris Ioannidis

S&P500: DoorDash Knocks

Announced additions: DASH, WSM , EXE, TKO. 2/3 of top addition picks materialized. EXE, TKO I believe were added by force due to a large number of...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Klarna: IPO Next Month? US Foreign Listing Limits Index Inclusion

​Klarna's IPO is anticipated in April at a $15bn valuation. Index inclusion is limited due to a US foreign listing but can be enhanced if listed...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Klarna's IPO is anticipated in April at a $15bn valuation. Index inclusion is limited due to a US foreign listing but can be enhanced if listed...