US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher, Ortex

Dimitris Ioannidis

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

Ortex

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

Event-Driven

Erie Indemnity Company Cl A / Event-Driven

Erie Indemnity Company is the management company for the Erie Insurance Exchange. The Company is also involved in the property and casualty insurance business through its wholly-owned subsidiaries and through its management of Flagship City Insurance Company. Erie Indemnity sells auto, home, life and business insurance in the United States.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dell-technologies-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32189:1" rel="noopener">Dell Technologies (DELL US)</a> is the main addition by transition candidate with a <em>reduced</em> probability due to no longer passing the S&amp;P 500 transition threshold.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/erie-indemnity-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4804:1" rel="noopener">Erie Indemnity (ERIE US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lennox-international-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16420:1" rel="noopener">Lennox International (LII US)</a> are the main addition by migration candidates with an <em>increased</em> probability due to weak transition candidates.</li>
<li>Addition by migration candidates have more inconsistent selection patterns. Other addition candidates include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/texas-pacific-land-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28693:1" rel="noopener">Texas Pacific Land (TPL US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/carlisle-cos-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7929:1" rel="noopener">Carlisle Cos (CSL US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dick-s-sporting-goods-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1675:1" rel="noopener">Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS US)</a> .</li>
</ul>



Dell Technologies (DELL US) is the main addition by transition candidate with a reduced probability due to no longer passing the S&amp;P 500 transition threshold.

Erie Indemnity (ERIE US) and Lennox International (LII US) are the main addition by migration candidates with an increased probability due to weak transition candidates.
Addition by migration candidates have more inconsistent selection patterns. Other addition candidates include Texas Pacific Land (TPL US), Carlisle Cos (CSL US) and Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS US) .


S&P 500 September 2024 Forecasts: Dull for DELL. Brighter for ERIE, LII and TPL

Deutsche Post AG provides mail delivery and other services to the public and businesses. The Company offers domestic mail delivery, international parcel and mail delivery services, and freight delivery and logistics services.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/deutsche-post-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21608:1" rel="noopener">Deutsche Post (DHL GR)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/reckitt-benckiser-group-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22105:1" rel="noopener">Reckitt Benckiser (RKT LN)</a> are the top two candidates for deletion with 7-9% below the exit threshold. Forecasted supply is $200m and 2 ADV.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intesa-sanpaolo-spa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21200:1" rel="noopener">Intesa Sanpaolo (ISP IM)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/london-stock-exchange-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22034:1" rel="noopener">London Stock Exchange (LSEG LN)</a> are the top two candidates for addition by replacement. Forecasted demand is $330m and 1-2 ADV.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/banco-bilbao-vizcaya-argentari" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21251:1" rel="noopener"></a>The highest ranked between <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/banco-bilbao-vizcaya-argentari" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21251:1" rel="noopener">Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria (BBVA SM)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/industria-de-diseno-textil-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21278:1" rel="noopener">Industria De Diseno Textil (ITX SM)</a> could become the third addition, conditional on the deletion of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/basf-se" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21585:1" rel="noopener">BASF (BAS GR)</a>.</li>
</ul>



Deutsche Post (DHL GR) and Reckitt Benckiser (RKT LN) are the top two candidates for deletion with 7-9% below the exit threshold. Forecasted supply is $200m and 2 ADV.

Intesa Sanpaolo (ISP IM) and London Stock Exchange (LSEG LN) are the top two candidates for addition by replacement. Forecasted demand is $330m and 1-2 ADV.

The highest ranked between Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria (BBVA SM) and Industria De Diseno Textil (ITX SM) could become the third addition, conditional on the deletion of BASF (BAS GR).


STOXX Europe 50: DHL's $200M Departure, ISP and LSEG Deliver Instead

Robinhood Markets, Inc. operates a financial services platform. The Company offers brokerage and cash management applications such as stocks, exchange-traded funds, options, and cryptocurrency. Robinhood Markets serves clients in the United States.

<ul>
<li>S&amp;P MidCap 400 additions by transition require market cap, float cap, sector balance, liquidity and earnings as parameters for inclusion.</li>
<li>The highest combined score from the parameters is given to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/carvana-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26471:1" rel="noopener">CVNA</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/robinhood-markets-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33532:1" rel="noopener">HOOD</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lpl-financial-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16363:1" rel="noopener">LPLA</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/entegris-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12493:1" rel="noopener">ENTG</a> which makes them acceptable candidates for addition. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ensign-group-inc-the" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9297:1" rel="noopener">Ensign Group (ENSG US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mueller-industries-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18247:1" rel="noopener">Mueller Industries (MLI US)</a> have the highest probability of being added out of the migrations. Market cap of migration candidates is estimated to be insufficient.</li>
</ul>


S&amp;P MidCap 400 additions by transition require market cap, float cap, sector balance, liquidity and earnings as parameters for inclusion.
The highest combined score from the parameters is given to CVNA, HOOD, LPLA and ENTG which makes them acceptable candidates for addition. 

Ensign Group (ENSG US) and Mueller Industries (MLI US) have the highest probability of being added out of the migrations. Market cap of migration candidates is estimated to be insufficient.


S&P MidCap 400 September 2024 Forecasts: Highest Score to the HOOD, CVNA, LPLA, ENTG, ENSG and MLI

Galderma Group AG operates as a dermatology company. The Company delivers science-based portfolio of brands and services that span the full spectrum of self-care dermatology market through injectable aesthetics, dermatological skincare, and therapeutic dermatology. Galderma Group serves customers worldwide.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/galderma-group-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43861:1" rel="noopener">Galderma (GALD SW)</a> is one of the largest Global and Swiss Index additions at the August and September 2024 reviews following its recent IPO valued at ~$17bn.</li>
<li>The company is forecasted to get added in the second Global Index at the September 2024 review. Estimated demand is ~$162m and ~5.0 ADV.</li>
<li>The IPO lock-up expiry is forecasted to generate an additional demand of ~$42m and ~1.3 ADV at the December 2024 review. </li>
</ul>



Galderma (GALD SW) is one of the largest Global and Swiss Index additions at the August and September 2024 reviews following its recent IPO valued at ~$17bn.
The company is forecasted to get added in the second Global Index at the September 2024 review. Estimated demand is ~$162m and ~5.0 ADV.
The IPO lock-up expiry is forecasted to generate an additional demand of ~$42m and ~1.3 ADV at the December 2024 review. 


Galderma (GALD): Successful Injection in Swiss & Global Indices

PT Hanjaya Mandala Sampoerna Tbk manufactures hand rolled and machine-rolled clove-blended cigarettes. The Company distributes its products in the domestic and international market. Through its subsidiaries, the Company also develops properties.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hm-sampoerna-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:617:1" rel="noopener">HM Sampoerna (HMSP IJ)</a> has been announced as a deletion from the Large cap of the Global Index at the September 2024 review.</li>
<li>The reason for the security's removal is due to a change of listing from an eligible to an ineligible exchange segment of the Indonesian Stock Exchange (IDX).</li>
<li>Forecasted passive fund supply is ~$24.6m and ~11.9 ADV at the close of 20 September 2024. The significant ADV is because of the security's low free float.</li>
</ul>



HM Sampoerna (HMSP IJ) has been announced as a deletion from the Large cap of the Global Index at the September 2024 review.
The reason for the security's removal is due to a change of listing from an eligible to an ineligible exchange segment of the Indonesian Stock Exchange (IDX).
Forecasted passive fund supply is ~$24.6m and ~11.9 ADV at the close of 20 September 2024. The significant ADV is because of the security's low free float.


HM Sampoerna (HMSP IJ): Global Index Deletion Following IDX Segment Shift

Index Rebalance professional of US, EU and Global Indices. Specialized in shareholder structure and index free float calculation, SPACs, quarterly rebalance predictions of US-EU indices and cross-index implications of corporate actions such as M&A's, Spin-offs and IPOs. No index data are used.

Dimitris Ioannidis
US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher
• Ortex

S&P 500 September 2024 Forecasts: Dull for DELL. Brighter for ERIE, LII and TPL

ERIE, DELL and PLTR were the announced additions and the top migration and transition candidates. To improve convictions, transitions and...

Dimitris Ioannidis

STOXX Europe 50: DHL's $200M Departure, ISP and LSEG Deliver Instead

SX5P September 2024 Announcement: LSEG and ISP were the announced additions. DHL and RKT were the announced deletions. SX5E September 2024...

Dimitris Ioannidis

S&P MidCap 400 September 2024 Forecasts: Highest Score to the HOOD, CVNA, LPLA, ENTG, ENSG and MLI

Robinhood (HOOD), Entegris (ENTG) and LPL Financial Holdings (LPLA) are amongst the highest scoring addition candidates based on mcap, fcap,...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Galderma (GALD): Successful Injection in Swiss & Global Indices

Galderma is the only IPO addition to All World in Developed Europe for the September 2024 review which was announced on 23 August. It will be added...

Dimitris Ioannidis

HM Sampoerna (HMSP IJ): Global Index Deletion Following IDX Segment Shift

HM Sampoerna (HMSP IJ) will be removed from the Large cap of the Global Index at the September 2024 review due to a listing change. Forecasted...

Dimitris Ioannidis

S&P 500 September 2024 Forecasts: Dull for DELL. Brighter for ERIE, LII and TPL

ERIE, DELL and PLTR were the announced additions and the top migration and transition candidates. To improve convictions, transitions and...

Dimitris Ioannidis

STOXX Europe 50: DHL's $200M Departure, ISP and LSEG Deliver Instead

SX5P September 2024 Announcement: LSEG and ISP were the announced additions. DHL and RKT were the announced deletions. SX5E September 2024...

Dimitris Ioannidis

S&P MidCap 400 September 2024 Forecasts: Highest Score to the HOOD, CVNA, LPLA, ENTG, ENSG and MLI

Robinhood (HOOD), Entegris (ENTG) and LPL Financial Holdings (LPLA) are amongst the highest scoring addition candidates based on mcap, fcap,...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Galderma (GALD): Successful Injection in Swiss & Global Indices

Galderma is the only IPO addition to All World in Developed Europe for the September 2024 review which was announced on 23 August. It will be added...

Dimitris Ioannidis

HM Sampoerna (HMSP IJ): Global Index Deletion Following IDX Segment Shift

​HM Sampoerna (HMSP IJ) will be removed from the Large cap of the Global Index at the September 2024 review due to a listing change. Forecasted...

Dimitris Ioannidis

HM Sampoerna (HMSP IJ) will be removed from the Large cap of the Global Index at the September 2024 review due to a listing change. Forecasted...