Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Keepers Holdings Inc. operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, engages in the distribution of liquor such as wine, spirits, and other beverages. Keepers Holdings serves customers in Philippine.

<ul>
<li>Keepers Holdings (KEEPR PM) declared a strong result for Q1 FY24, with 16% revenue growth and 44% YoY profit growth, driven by 19% volume growth. </li>
<li>The company maintained its OPM of 19%, and earnings contributions from Bodegas W&amp;H started to kick in for Q1 2024, contributing to its net profit margin of 18% (vs.14.5% Q1FY23). </li>
<li>Trading at 7.2x FY24 PE, with a trailing dividend yield of 6.5% on the recently declared 10-cent dividend for FY23 and a consistent 20% ROE, we love the name. </li>
</ul>


Keepers Holdings (KEEPR PM) declared a strong result for Q1 FY24, with 16% revenue growth and 44% YoY profit growth, driven by 19% volume growth. 
The company maintained its OPM of 19%, and earnings contributions from Bodegas W&amp;H started to kick in for Q1 2024, contributing to its net profit margin of 18% (vs.14.5% Q1FY23). 
Trading at 7.2x FY24 PE, with a trailing dividend yield of 6.5% on the recently declared 10-cent dividend for FY23 and a consistent 20% ROE, we love the name. 


Keepers Holdings Q1 FY24 Concall: Solid Results 7.2x PE FY24e, 6.5% Yield and Mid Teens CAGR Growth

Perfect Medical Health / Equity Bottom-Up

Perfect Medical Health Management (previously Perfect Shape Medical Limited) offers slimming and beauty treatments. The Company provides fat softens and dissolves services, laser freckle services, and other services. Perfect Shape Medical offers services in China.

<ul>
<li>We compile our selection of small and mid-cap names with our desired characteristics of high dividend yields, value, and margin of safety.</li>
<li>Our top picks are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/perfect-medical-health-management" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3639:1" rel="noopener">Perfect Medical Health (1830 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/water-oasis-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17348:1" rel="noopener">Water Oasis (1161 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taste-gourmet-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27339:1" rel="noopener">Taste Gourmet (8371 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uchi-technologies-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10723:1" rel="noopener">Uchi Technologies (UCHI MK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ginebra-san-miguel-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23029:1" rel="noopener">Ginebra San Miguel (GSMI PM)</a>.</li>
<li>After a massive recent correction for HK stocks, we are more constructive on the names, and yields there look very attractive.</li>
</ul>


We compile our selection of small and mid-cap names with our desired characteristics of high dividend yields, value, and margin of safety.
Our top picks are Perfect Medical Health (1830 HK), Water Oasis (1161 HK), Taste Gourmet (8371 HK), Uchi Technologies (UCHI MK), and Ginebra San Miguel (GSMI PM).
After a massive recent correction for HK stocks, we are more constructive on the names, and yields there look very attractive.


Shortlist Of High Conviction Ideas: Income, Value, and Margin of Safety - May 2024

Dream International Limited, through its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells a wide range of plush stuffed toys on OEM (Original Equipment Manufacturing) and ODM (Original Design Manufacturing) basis. The Company's clients include Warner Bros., Bandai, Costco Wholesale Corporation, C & H Korea Group, and Funrise Toys.

<ul>
<li>We summarize our gleanings from the conference call with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dream-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15783:1" rel="noopener">Dream International (1126 HK)</a> to better understand growth opportunities and future expansion plans.</li>
<li>The company is expanding in Indonesia to increase its capacity by 30 million USD ( over 830 million USD). (capacity utilization for FY23:83%).</li>
<li>Trading at 4x FY24e PE, with an 11.4% dividend yield and a 15-year average ROE of 20%, this is a stock worth exploring. </li>
</ul>


We summarize our gleanings from the conference call with Dream International (1126 HK) to better understand growth opportunities and future expansion plans.
The company is expanding in Indonesia to increase its capacity by 30 million USD ( over 830 million USD). (capacity utilization for FY23:83%).
Trading at 4x FY24e PE, with an 11.4% dividend yield and a 15-year average ROE of 20%, this is a stock worth exploring. 


Dream International (1126 HK)  Management Concall: 4x PE,11.4% Div Yield,40% of Mkt Cap in Cash

Kumba Iron Ore Limited mines for and produces iron ore.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kumba-iron-ore-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25094:1" rel="noopener">Kumba Iron Ore (KIO SJ)</a> is a net cash iron ore pure play on high-grade lump iron ore with a high ROCE of&gt;30%. </li>
<li>The stock trades at 6.4x PE/3.8x EV-EBITDA FY24e and a &gt;9% dividend yield, assuming it meets its base dividend commitment of 15.9 bn ZAR. </li>
<li>The key risks are the finite mine life of 15 years, which the company will look to extend with capital commitment, and country risk premia as currency depreciation eats returns.</li>
</ul>



Kumba Iron Ore (KIO SJ) is a net cash iron ore pure play on high-grade lump iron ore with a high ROCE of&gt;30%. 
The stock trades at 6.4x PE/3.8x EV-EBITDA FY24e and a &gt;9% dividend yield, assuming it meets its base dividend commitment of 15.9 bn ZAR. 
The key risks are the finite mine life of 15 years, which the company will look to extend with capital commitment, and country risk premia as currency depreciation eats returns.


Kumba Iron Ore (KIO SJ): Net Cash Iron Ore Player With High ROCE

Ferrari NV designs and manufactures sports cars. The Company offers new and used vehicles, warranty programs, financial supports, and maintenance, as well as watches, apparels, earphones, caps, and other accessories. Ferrari markets its products worldwide.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ferrari-n-v" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21010:1" rel="noopener">Ferrari N.V. (RACE US)</a> reported yet another high-quality quarter with 11%/18% YoY revenue/net profit growth on a flat YoY(%) volume quarter driven by mix improvement.</li>
<li>Although there seems to be earnings upside, and the street was literally searching for it in the concall, management stuck to their 6.5%/9% revenue/net profit growth guidance for FY24.</li>
<li>Trading at 50x FY24, the stock seems expensive, but the strong branding and order book implies very visible earnings growth into the future.  </li>
</ul>



Ferrari N.V. (RACE US) reported yet another high-quality quarter with 11%/18% YoY revenue/net profit growth on a flat YoY(%) volume quarter driven by mix improvement.
Although there seems to be earnings upside, and the street was literally searching for it in the concall, management stuck to their 6.5%/9% revenue/net profit growth guidance for FY24.
Trading at 50x FY24, the stock seems expensive, but the strong branding and order book implies very visible earnings growth into the future.  


Ferrari Q1 FY24: Another Beat, Conservative Guidance And High-Quality Growth

A buy-side analyst with over 15 years of experience investing in Asian markets and specializing in the mid-small cap space, emphasizing value investing in companies with good free cash flows/dividends and long-term holding horizons. 
Exempt Financial Adviser (EFA) under CrossASEAN Research Pte Ltd. It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.