Independent Research, US Dominant Players, Investment Talk

Investment Talk

Independent Research, US Dominant Players

Investment Talk is for readers who wish to learn about companies that are potentially outside of their own circle of research, as well as those who are longing to become part of a community of like-minded investors and learn more about investment research. I would describe myself as a long-term investor who typically takes a 3Y to 5Y outlook, before reassessing once that period matures. I follow the adage that one should research, reach a conclusion, and then verify and continue to hold so long as the thesis remains intact. My own investing style is one that seeks to find dominant players within their respective market who have shown signs of monopoly or oligopolistic behaviour, unlikely to be disrupted, in tandem with discovering market disruptors who have a high likelihood of disrupting their respective market. Equally (and weighted accordingly) I seek to discover more nuanced, misunderstood, situations with a shorter time frame.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>On March 21st, Lululemon reported FY23 results. All things considered, the results were good. Guidance, however, caused some upset. Lululemon shares are down ~29% this year; after being down just 6% before the report, and is currently the 8th worst-performing stock in the S&amp;P 500.</li><li>Lululemon’s implied 11.5% revenue growth for 2024 is a notable deceleration from years prior; having averaged an annual revenue growth rate of 24.4% over the last 5 years.</li><li>This year’s revenue guidance is closer to, but still behind, the 5 years before that; where Lululemon averaged 15.7% annual revenue growth.</li></ul>

On March 21st, Lululemon reported FY23 results. All things considered, the results were good. Guidance, however, caused some upset. Lululemon shares are down ~29% this year; after being down just 6% before the report, and is currently the 8th worst-performing stock in the S&amp;P 500.Lululemon’s implied 11.5% revenue growth for 2024 is a notable deceleration from years prior; having averaged an annual revenue growth rate of 24.4% over the last 5 years.This year’s revenue guidance is closer to, but still behind, the 5 years before that; where Lululemon averaged 15.7% annual revenue growth.

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

<ul><li>The Q4 2023 earnings of Lululemon Athletica Inc. highlighted positive operational results with revenue increases across most regions.</li><li>Total revenue was reported to have increased by 16% for the quarter.</li><li>In the Americas, the increase was 9%, while Mainland China saw a rather prominent rise of 78%.</li></ul>

The Q4 2023 earnings of Lululemon Athletica Inc. highlighted positive operational results with revenue increases across most regions.Total revenue was reported to have increased by 16% for the quarter.In the Americas, the increase was 9%, while Mainland China saw a rather prominent rise of 78%.

Lululemon Athletica Inc.: A Tale Of Store Expansion & International Growth! - Major Drivers

<ul><li>Lululemon Athletica Inc. delivered an all-around beat in Q3, reporting a robust 19% increase in total net revenue, reaching $2.2 billion.</li><li>The store channel experienced a substantial 19% increase, contributing to a global store count of 686, reflecting a 17% growth in square footage.</li><li>Q3 also highlighted the success of women's business, with a 19% boost attributed to new product launches like Wundermost, a bodywear collection.</li></ul>

Lululemon Athletica Inc. delivered an all-around beat in Q3, reporting a robust 19% increase in total net revenue, reaching $2.2 billion.The store channel experienced a substantial 19% increase, contributing to a global store count of 686, reflecting a 17% growth in square footage.Q3 also highlighted the success of women's business, with a 19% boost attributed to new product launches like Wundermost, a bodywear collection.

Lululemon Athletica Inc.: Digital Surge: Commanding 41% of Total Revenue! - Major Drivers

Equity Research Focusing on the Consumer Sector, Small Cap Consumer Research

Small Cap Consumer Research

Equity Research Focusing on the Consumer Sector

Small Cap Consumer Research, LLC is a leading company-sponsored equity research provider focusing on the consumer sector (apparel, brand licensing and specialty retailing segments).

<ul><li>We are reiterating our Buy rating and $37 price target for Guess?</li><li>and tweaking and further back-end loading our FY25 and FY26 projections after Guess?</li><li>announced 1QFY25 top and bottom line upside, driven by Europe and Domestic wholesale results, as the rag & bone acquisition proved to be a key positive and the company continues to take share in Europe.</li></ul>

We are reiterating our Buy rating and $37 price target for Guess?and tweaking and further back-end loading our FY25 and FY26 projections after Guess?announced 1QFY25 top and bottom line upside, driven by Europe and Domestic wholesale results, as the rag & bone acquisition proved to be a key positive and the company continues to take share in Europe.

GES: 1Q Review; Creating a Powerful Model; Reiterate Buy, $37 PT

<ul><li>Lululemon Athletica delivered an all-around beat in the previous quarter, exceeding the management's projections for revenue and EPS.</li><li>Comparable sales increased by 17% online and 9% in-store, and adjusted EPS rose by 22% over the same time last year.</li><li>In July, Lululemon Athletica established its first site in Thailand, making it the 100th APAC facility overall.</li></ul>

Lululemon Athletica delivered an all-around beat in the previous quarter, exceeding the management's projections for revenue and EPS.Comparable sales increased by 17% online and 9% in-store, and adjusted EPS rose by 22% over the same time last year.In July, Lululemon Athletica established its first site in Thailand, making it the 100th APAC facility overall.

Lululemon Athletica Inc.: Tapping into International Markets - A Game-Changing Move? Major Drivers

United States

lululemon athletica Inc. designs and retails athletic clothing.  The Company produces fitness pants, shorts, tops and jackets for yoga, dance, running, and general fitness. lululemon serves customers throughout the world.

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Lululemon Athletica (LULU US)

Why Lululemon Isn’t Under Armour

Lululemon’s implied 11.5% revenue growth for 2024 is a notable deceleration from years prior; having averaged an annual revenue growth rate of...

Investment Talk

Lululemon Athletica Inc.: A Tale Of Store Expansion & International Growth! - Major Drivers

The Q4 2023 earnings of Lululemon Athletica Inc. highlighted positive operational results with revenue increases across most regions. Total...

Baptista Research

Lululemon Athletica Inc.: Digital Surge: Commanding 41% of Total Revenue! - Major Drivers

Lululemon Athletica Inc. delivered an all-around beat in Q3, reporting a robust 19% increase in total net revenue, reaching $2.2 billion. The...

Baptista Research

GES: 1Q Review; Creating a Powerful Model; Reiterate Buy, $37 PT

We are reiterating our Buy rating and $37 price target for Guess? and tweaking and further back-end loading our FY25 and FY26 projections after...

Small Cap Consumer Research

Lululemon Athletica Inc.: Tapping into International Markets - A Game-Changing Move? Major Drivers

Lululemon Athletica delivered an all-around beat in the previous quarter, exceeding the management's projections for revenue and EPS. Comparable...

Baptista Research

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