Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Meesho operates as a software development company. The Company provides a platform for online resellers. Meesho offers timely and secure payments, low returns, and shipping services. Meesho serves customers in India.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delhivery-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33471:1" rel="noopener">Delhivery (DELHIVER IN)</a> faces immediate volume erosion as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meesho-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35872:1" rel="noopener">Meesho (1546271D IN)</a> migrates 65% of orders to Valmo, destabilizing a key client relationship historically contributing ~16% of total revenue.</li>
<li>Valmo’s rise structurally shrinks the addressable 3PL market, creating a permanent headwind that compresses pricing power and intensifies competition for remaining open volumes.</li>
<li>Anchor client insourcing caps Delhivery’s growth trajectory, rendering the Ecom Express acquisition insufficient to offset the structural decay in organic B2C volume velocity.</li>
</ul>



Delhivery (DELHIVER IN) faces immediate volume erosion as Meesho (1546271D IN) migrates 65% of orders to Valmo, destabilizing a key client relationship historically contributing ~16% of total revenue.
Valmo’s rise structurally shrinks the addressable 3PL market, creating a permanent headwind that compresses pricing power and intensifies competition for remaining open volumes.
Anchor client insourcing caps Delhivery’s growth trajectory, rendering the Ecom Express acquisition insufficient to offset the structural decay in organic B2C volume velocity.


Meesho’s Valmo | Erosion of Delhivery’s Margins

Forensic Analyst, Trudence Capital Advisors

Nitin Mangal

Forensic Analyst

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meesho-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35872:1" rel="noopener">Meesho (1546271D IN)</a>'s INR 52.4 bn IPO is currently open for subscription. It consists of fresh issue worth INR 42.5 bn and OFS component worth INR 11.7 bn </li>
<li>The company is India’s largest E-Com platforms in terms of placed orders and user base, and make its mark in the value segment, offering mostly unbranded and regional branded products. </li>
<li>While KPIs signal growth and operational efficiencies, Meesho is still a loss maker. It has high litigation risk and seeing rapid increase in impairments and write offs with receivables</li>
</ul>



Meesho (1546271D IN)'s INR 52.4 bn IPO is currently open for subscription. It consists of fresh issue worth INR 42.5 bn and OFS component worth INR 11.7 bn 
The company is India’s largest E-Com platforms in terms of placed orders and user base, and make its mark in the value segment, offering mostly unbranded and regional branded products. 
While KPIs signal growth and operational efficiencies, Meesho is still a loss maker. It has high litigation risk and seeing rapid increase in impairments and write offs with receivables


Meesho Ltd IPO- Watch Out for Impairment Allowance

<ul>
<li>
Profitable Arbitrage: Generates positive FCF by monetizing logistics spreads (Valmo) and ad-tech, effectively acting as a profitable toll booth for unorganized retail rather than a traditional commission-based marketplace.</li>
<li>
The Moat: Monopolizes "India 2" (&lt;INR 300 AOV) via low-cost logistics infrastructure, creating a defensive barrier against Amazon and Flipkart’s higher-cost premium models.</li>
<li>
 Downside Risk: Supply-side flywheel is fragile; high return rates driving seller churn could pose significant threats to long-term sustainability.</li>
</ul>



Profitable Arbitrage: Generates positive FCF by monetizing logistics spreads (Valmo) and ad-tech, effectively acting as a profitable toll booth for unorganized retail rather than a traditional commission-based marketplace.

The Moat: Monopolizes "India 2" (&lt;INR 300 AOV) via low-cost logistics infrastructure, creating a defensive barrier against Amazon and Flipkart’s higher-cost premium models.

 Downside Risk: Supply-side flywheel is fragile; high return rates driving seller churn could pose significant threats to long-term sustainability.


Meesho IPO | Seller Operations and Nuances | India Internet Dynamics

Forensic Accounting

Olectra Greentech Limited manufactures automobiles. The Company produces and supplies electric buses using silicon rubber polymer composite insulators. Olectra Greentech serves customers in India.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/olectra-greentech-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40365:1" rel="noopener">Olectra Greentech (OLECTRA IN)</a> , part of the MEIL Group, has transformed from a power insulator manufacturer into a pioneer and leading player in India's electric mobility segment.</li>
<li>The company is primarily known as the largest pure-electric bus manufacturer in India, operating through a long-term technology partnership with China's BYD Auto Industry Co Ltd.</li>
<li>Heavy reliance of the company on its associates for the sale of EVs, along with supplier concentration warrants attention. However, cash flow generation is improving, which is a positive</li>
</ul>



Olectra Greentech (OLECTRA IN) , part of the MEIL Group, has transformed from a power insulator manufacturer into a pioneer and leading player in India's electric mobility segment.
The company is primarily known as the largest pure-electric bus manufacturer in India, operating through a long-term technology partnership with China's BYD Auto Industry Co Ltd.
Heavy reliance of the company on its associates for the sale of EVs, along with supplier concentration warrants attention. However, cash flow generation is improving, which is a positive


Mphasis Limited is a global IT and BPO service provider to G2000 companies around the globe, assists its clients in innovating and streamlining their business processes by offering custom solutions for technology and operations outsourcing. The Company focuses on financial services, logistics and technology verticals.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mphasis-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7672:1" rel="noopener">Mphasis Ltd (MPHL IN)</a> is a global information technology (IT) services and consulting company that specializes in providing cloud and cognitive services to help enterprises undergo digital transformation. </li>
<li>It is majority-owned by the Blackstone Group, one of the world's largest private equity firms.</li>
<li>Key forensic takeaways include hints of aggressive revenue booking via unbilled receivables, risk of goodwill impairment, etc.</li>
</ul>



Mphasis Ltd (MPHL IN) is a global information technology (IT) services and consulting company that specializes in providing cloud and cognitive services to help enterprises undergo digital transformation. 
It is majority-owned by the Blackstone Group, one of the world's largest private equity firms.
Key forensic takeaways include hints of aggressive revenue booking via unbilled receivables, risk of goodwill impairment, etc.


Mphasis Ltd- Unbilled Receivables to the Rescue

Trudence Capital Advisors
Independent & Unbiased Research

Meesho’s Valmo | Erosion of Delhivery’s Margins

Delhivery faces volume erosion as Meesho migrates orders to Valmo, impacting revenue and creating pricing pressure in the 3PL market.

Pranav Bhavsar

Meesho Ltd IPO- Watch Out for Impairment Allowance

India's largest E-Com platform Meesho's KPIs look promising. Watch out for high litigation risk and increasing ECL provisions.

Nitin Mangal

Meesho IPO | Seller Operations and Nuances | India Internet Dynamics

Meesho is a narrative of profitable arbitrage in logistics and ad-tech, creating a moat in low-cost retail market. Primary downside risk due to...

Pranav Bhavsar

Olectra Greentech Ltd- Forensic Analysis

Olectra has evolved from a power insulator manufacturer to a key player in India's E- Mobility sector. But there are key business risks involved,...

Nitin Mangal

Mphasis Ltd- Unbilled Receivables to the Rescue

Mphasis Ltd is a global IT services company specializing in cloud and cognitive services. Forensic concerns revolve around revenue booking and...

Nitin Mangal

Meesho’s Valmo | Erosion of Delhivery’s Margins

​Delhivery faces volume erosion as Meesho migrates orders to Valmo, impacting revenue and creating pricing pressure in the 3PL market.

Pranav Bhavsar

Meesho Ltd IPO- Watch Out for Impairment Allowance

​India's largest E-Com platform Meesho's KPIs look promising. Watch out for high litigation risk and increasing ECL provisions.

Nitin Mangal

Meesho IPO | Seller Operations and Nuances | India Internet Dynamics

​Meesho is a narrative of profitable arbitrage in logistics and ad-tech, creating a moat in low-cost retail market. Primary downside risk due to...

Pranav Bhavsar

Olectra Greentech Ltd- Forensic Analysis

​Olectra has evolved from a power insulator manufacturer to a key player in India's E- Mobility sector. But there are key business risks involved,...

Nitin Mangal

Mphasis Ltd- Unbilled Receivables to the Rescue

​Mphasis Ltd is a global IT services company specializing in cloud and cognitive services. Forensic concerns revolve around revenue booking and...

Nitin Mangal

Delhivery faces volume erosion as Meesho migrates orders to Valmo, impacting revenue and creating pricing pressure in the 3PL market.

India's largest E-Com platform Meesho's KPIs look promising. Watch out for high litigation risk and increasing ECL provisions.

Meesho is a narrative of profitable arbitrage in logistics and ad-tech, creating a moat in low-cost retail market. Primary downside risk due to...

Olectra has evolved from a power insulator manufacturer to a key player in India's E- Mobility sector. But there are key business risks involved,...

Mphasis Ltd is a global IT services company specializing in cloud and cognitive services. Forensic concerns revolve around revenue booking and...