Quality-first, Business-perspective, Long-term, Urbem (HK) Limited

Urbem Capital

Quality-first, Business-perspective, Long-term

Quality-first, Business-perspective Strategy

Urbem (HK) Limited

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Kakaku.com returned about 28x with dividends from its first trading day in 2003 to this year’s takeover offers, roughly 15.5% a year, against 8.4% for TOPIX with dividends.</li>
<li>Early on it grew into a debut priced at 267x earnings, shut its own flagship site after a 2005 breach and launched Tabelog with two staff.</li>
<li>Later, Tabelog turned reviews into JPY 20bn of reservation fees, return on equity averaged 36% for a decade, and two bidding groups competed for it.</li>
</ul>


Kakaku.com returned about 28x with dividends from its first trading day in 2003 to this year’s takeover offers, roughly 15.5% a year, against 8.4% for TOPIX with dividends.
Early on it grew into a debut priced at 267x earnings, shut its own flagship site after a 2005 breach and launched Tabelog with two staff.
Later, Tabelog turned reviews into JPY 20bn of reservation fees, return on equity averaged 36% for a decade, and two bidding groups competed for it.


Kakaku.com’s 23 Listed Years: What It Got Right, From a Frothy IPO to a Bidding War

Equity Bottom-Up

Kaspi.kz Joint Stock Company develops financial technology application solutions. The Company, through its platform, offers payments, marketplace, and fintech solutions which facilitate day-to-day transactions between consumers and merchants. Kaspi.kz serves consumers, merchants, and entrepreneurs in Kazakhstan.

<ul>
<li>Since our July 2021 Top Pick, Kaspi.kz more than tripled net income in US dollars and deepened engagement, confirming our view of the franchise.</li>
<li>Shareholders earned only about 1% a year because the multiple fell from 34x to 7.4x, a valuation risk our 2021 piece never quantified.</li>
<li>At today’s price, our base case returns about 16% a year in dollars, our tenge-risk hurdle; if Türkiye works, rates fall and the tenge holds, returns could exceed 30%.</li>
</ul>


Since our July 2021 Top Pick, Kaspi.kz more than tripled net income in US dollars and deepened engagement, confirming our view of the franchise.
Shareholders earned only about 1% a year because the multiple fell from 34x to 7.4x, a valuation risk our 2021 piece never quantified.
At today’s price, our base case returns about 16% a year in dollars, our tenge-risk hurdle; if Türkiye works, rates fall and the tenge holds, returns could exceed 30%.


Kaspi.kz Five Years On: We Overpaid in 2021; at 7.4x, the Price Now Works

General Electric Company is a globally diversified technology and financial services company. The Company's products and services include aircraft engines, power generation, water processing, and household appliances to medical imaging, business and consumer financing, and industrial products.

<ul>
<li>Eighteen S&amp;P 500 giants earned 20%-plus ROE through the 1990s; fourteen then trailed the index into 2026, the median by about 2.7 points a year.</li>
<li>Rich starting multiples, maturing runways, eroding moats and costly deals did the damage, while leverage and buybacks had flattered some of the returns on capital.</li>
<li>Microsoft renewed its runway and Altria started cheap; today's high-return screens should ask whether returns are still rising and whether the price still allows low-teens returns.</li>
</ul>


Eighteen S&amp;P 500 giants earned 20%-plus ROE through the 1990s; fourteen then trailed the index into 2026, the median by about 2.7 points a year.
Rich starting multiples, maturing runways, eroding moats and costly deals did the damage, while leverage and buybacks had flattered some of the returns on capital.
Microsoft renewed its runway and Altria started cheap; today's high-return screens should ask whether returns are still rising and whether the price still allows low-teens returns.


After They Were Giants: Why 2000's High-Return Stocks Mostly Lagged for 25 Years

Monster Beverage Corporation is a holding company based in Corona, California. The Company, through its consolidated subsidiaries, markets and distributes energy drinks worldwide.

<ul>
<li>From energy drinks to a 19th-century land trust, ten different stocks turned USD 1 into over USD 300 from 2001 to mid-2025, versus USD 7.7 for the S&amp;P 1500.</li>
<li>Five conditions explain their compounding: a long runway, self-funding growth, pricing power, scale that improved the business, and per-share discipline, guided by owner-minded leaders.</li>
<li>The next pre-giants show improving rather than already-high returns, gross margin rising first, and a label the market still gets wrong; our screen sets out what to test.</li>
</ul>


From energy drinks to a 19th-century land trust, ten different stocks turned USD 1 into over USD 300 from 2001 to mid-2025, versus USD 7.7 for the S&amp;P 1500.
Five conditions explain their compounding: a long runway, self-funding growth, pricing power, scale that improved the business, and per-share discipline, guided by owner-minded leaders.
The next pre-giants show improving rather than already-high returns, gross margin rising first, and a label the market still gets wrong; our screen sets out what to test.


Before They Were Giants: What Ten 300-Baggers Shared, and How to Spot the Next One

<ul>
<li>From January 1, 2001 to September 29, 2026, Monster returned about 2,070×, topping a leaderboard of great compounders that includes Nvidia and Apple, all of them capital-light.</li>
<li>Its moat is a habit with no technology cycle to re-win, built through twice Red Bull's volume for the price, upgraded distribution and Coca-Cola's partnership.</li>
<li>Earnings did the work: after re-rating to about 34× by 2006, returns tracked per-share earnings; at roughly 38× today, owners need long, durable growth.</li>
</ul>


From January 1, 2001 to September 29, 2026, Monster returned about 2,070×, topping a leaderboard of great compounders that includes Nvidia and Apple, all of them capital-light.
Its moat is a habit with no technology cycle to re-win, built through twice Red Bull's volume for the price, upgraded distribution and Coca-Cola's partnership.
Earnings did the work: after re-rating to about 34× by 2006, returns tracked per-share earnings; at roughly 38× today, owners need long, durable growth.


Monster Eats Chips & Apples for Breakfast: Lessons From the Century's Top U.S. Large-Cap Stock

Urbem (HK) Limited
Quality-first, Business-perspective Strategy

Kakaku.com’s 23 Listed Years: What It Got Right, From a Frothy IPO to a Bidding War

From a debut priced at 267x earnings to a 2026 bidding war, Kakaku.com returned about 28x with dividends. What it got right, early and late, and...

Urbem Capital

Kaspi.kz Five Years On: We Overpaid in 2021; at 7.4x, the Price Now Works

Earnings more than tripled in dollars after our 2021 Top Pick, yet the stock barely moved. At 7.4x earnings, the next five years can look very...

Urbem Capital

After They Were Giants: Why 2000's High-Return Stocks Mostly Lagged for 25 Years

In 2000, America's highest-return giants looked like the safest quality stocks. Most then lagged the market for 25 years. Several warning signs...

Urbem Capital

Before They Were Giants: What Ten 300-Baggers Shared, and How to Spot the Next One

An energy drink, a freight carrier and a 19th-century land trust beat the market by hundreds of times. The traits they shared were visible earlier...

Urbem Capital

Monster Eats Chips & Apples for Breakfast: Lessons From the Century's Top U.S. Large-Cap Stock

An owner's view of how pricing power, rented distribution and patient capital allocation put an energy drink at the top of the century's...

Urbem Capital