IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 2 April, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/austal-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14420:1" rel="noopener">Austal Ltd (ASB AU)</a> rejected a non-binding proposal from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hanwha-ocean-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12531:1" rel="noopener">Hanwha Ocean (042660 KS)</a> at A$2.825 due to concerns about obtaining Australian and US regulatory approvals. </li>
<li>The Board’s claims are on shaky grounds. On 1 May, the AFR reported that Australian Defence Minister Richard Marles had no concerns with Hanwha’s privatisation bid. </li>
<li>The Board’s rejection is a clumsy attempt to negotiate better terms, such as a bump, ticking fees, or significant break fees. At the last close, the gross spread was 21.8%. </li>
</ul>


On 2 April, Austal Ltd (ASB AU) rejected a non-binding proposal from Hanwha Ocean (042660 KS) at A$2.825 due to concerns about obtaining Australian and US regulatory approvals. 
The Board’s claims are on shaky grounds. On 1 May, the AFR reported that Australian Defence Minister Richard Marles had no concerns with Hanwha’s privatisation bid. 
The Board’s rejection is a clumsy attempt to negotiate better terms, such as a bump, ticking fees, or significant break fees. At the last close, the gross spread was 21.8%. 


Austal (ASB AU): Spurned Suitor, Hanwha Ocean, Gets a Vote of Confidence

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>After a 35% price decline in 2021 and 11% performance YTD, we are exploring if SMM is able to capitalize on the high oil price environment.</li>
<li>We will look at its recent financial performance, orderbook, and financial forecast in 2022.</li>
<li>We will also look at how to value the company and the key risk with our valuation.</li>
</ul>


After a 35% price decline in 2021 and 11% performance YTD, we are exploring if SMM is able to capitalize on the high oil price environment.
We will look at its recent financial performance, orderbook, and financial forecast in 2022.
We will also look at how to value the company and the key risk with our valuation.


Sembcorp Marine: Beneficiary of High Oil Price? Not so Fast

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Capital Markets

HD Hyundai Marine Solution  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>HD Hyundai Marine Solution's IPO price has been determined at 83,400 won per share, which is at the high end of the IPO price range. </li>
<li>A total of 2,021 institutional investors participated in this IPO book building. The demand ratio was 201 to 1. HD Hyundai Marine Solution will start trading on 8 May 2024.</li>
<li>Our base case valuation of HD Hyundai Marine Solution is target price of 98,254 won per share, which represents an upside of 18% from the IPO price.</li>
</ul>


HD Hyundai Marine Solution's IPO price has been determined at 83,400 won per share, which is at the high end of the IPO price range. 
A total of 2,021 institutional investors participated in this IPO book building. The demand ratio was 201 to 1. HD Hyundai Marine Solution will start trading on 8 May 2024.
Our base case valuation of HD Hyundai Marine Solution is target price of 98,254 won per share, which represents an upside of 18% from the IPO price.


HD Hyundai Marine Solution: IPO Book Building Results Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our base case valuation of HD Hyundai Marine Solution is target price of 98,254 won per share, representing an 18% upside from the high end of the IPO price range.</li>
<li>The company's ROE averaged 67% in 2022 and 2023. In comparison, the comps' ROE averaged 10.6% in the same period. [HD Hyundai Marine Solution &gt; Comps]</li>
<li>Our base case valuation is based on 24.7x P/E (comps' average) using our estimated net profit of 178.7 billion won for the company in 2024. </li>
</ul>


Our base case valuation of HD Hyundai Marine Solution is target price of 98,254 won per share, representing an 18% upside from the high end of the IPO price range.
The company's ROE averaged 67% in 2022 and 2023. In comparison, the comps' ROE averaged 10.6% in the same period. [HD Hyundai Marine Solution &gt; Comps]
Our base case valuation is based on 24.7x P/E (comps' average) using our estimated net profit of 178.7 billion won for the company in 2024. 


HD Hyundai Marine Solution IPO Valuation Analysis

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hd-hyundai-marine-solution-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41002:1" rel="noopener">HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS)</a>, the ship after-service subsidiary of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hd-hyundai-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24075:1" rel="noopener">HD Hyundai (267250 KS)</a>, aims to raise up to US$550 million.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <strong><em><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/hd-hyundai-marine-solutions-ipo-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:135501" rel="noopener">HD Hyundai Marine Solutions IPO: The Investment Case</a></em></strong>. </li>
<li>We examine the syndicate's valuation methodology. Our analysis suggests that the HMS is, at best, fairly valued at the IPO price range. We would pass on the IPO.</li>
</ul>



HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS), the ship after-service subsidiary of HD Hyundai (267250 KS), aims to raise up to US$550 million.
We previously discussed the IPO in HD Hyundai Marine Solutions IPO: The Investment Case. 
We examine the syndicate's valuation methodology. Our analysis suggests that the HMS is, at best, fairly valued at the IPO price range. We would pass on the IPO.


HD Hyundai Marine Solutions IPO: Valuation Insights

South Korea

HD Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering Co., Ltd. operates as a shipbuilding and offshore company. The Company provides industrial plant engineering, special and naval shipbuilding, marine engine and machinery, industrial machinery and energy services. HD Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering markets its products worldwide.

HD Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering (009540 KS)

HD Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering

HD Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering (009540 KS)

Austal (ASB AU): Spurned Suitor, Hanwha Ocean, Gets a Vote of Confidence

The Board’s rejection is based on shaky grounds and may be an attempt to negotiate better terms, such as a bump, ticking fees, or significant break...

Arun George

Sembcorp Marine: Beneficiary of High Oil Price? Not so Fast

In this rapid response, we examine the business of Sembcorp Marine and are of the view that the high oil price will not translate into a more...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HD Hyundai Marine Solution: IPO Book Building Results Analysis

HD Hyundai Marine Solution's IPO price has been determined at 83,400 won per share, which is at the high end of the IPO price range. The demand...

Douglas Kim

HD Hyundai Marine Solution IPO Valuation Analysis

Our base case valuation of HD Hyundai Marine Solution is target price of 98,254 won per share, representing an 18% upside from the high end of the...

Douglas Kim

HD Hyundai Marine Solutions IPO: Valuation Insights

We examine the syndicate's valuation methodology. Our analysis suggests that the HMS is, at best, fairly valued at the IPO price range. We would...

Arun George