HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anta-sports-products-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10261:1" rel="noopener">Anta Sports Products (2020 HK)</a> sees positive sales momentum in 3Q22 and will benefit from further distribution network optimisation. Potentially, Amer Sports will start positive contribution as well. </li>
<li>Rollout of "light down apparel" concept, introduction of Eileen Gu as spokesperson and opening of Shanghai flagship store will contribute to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bosideng-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6537:1" rel="noopener">Bosideng International Holdings (3998 HK)</a>'s peak season. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haier-smart-home-co-ltd-b3ef445f-0f54-4586-8c58-9073de98d60e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31105:1" rel="noopener">Haier Smart Home Co Ltd (6690 HK)</a> will benefit from Casarte's good growth pace and the catch-up in "Three-Winged Bird" stores. More emerging market expansions will drive overseas business. </li>
</ul>



Anta Sports Products (2020 HK) sees positive sales momentum in 3Q22 and will benefit from further distribution network optimisation. Potentially, Amer Sports will start positive contribution as well. 
Rollout of "light down apparel" concept, introduction of Eileen Gu as spokesperson and opening of Shanghai flagship store will contribute to Bosideng International Holdings (3998 HK)'s peak season. 

Haier Smart Home Co Ltd (6690 HK) will benefit from Casarte's good growth pace and the catch-up in "Three-Winged Bird" stores. More emerging market expansions will drive overseas business. 


China Consumer Discretionary: Looking Forward to the Spending Season

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 16th. </li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in ZTO, Yum China, Netease, HSBC, Tencent, Wuxi Biologics/Apptec.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 16th. 
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in ZTO, Yum China, Netease, HSBC, Tencent, Wuxi Biologics/Apptec.


HK Short Interest: ZTO, Yum China, Netease, HSBC, Tencent, Wuxi Biologics/Apptec

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 26th. </li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in BYD and China Power Intl.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 26th. 
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short interest changes in BYD and China Power Intl.


<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outlfows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into Tencent, Tianqi, Li Auto, Country Garden Services, Li Ning and outflows from Meituan, Kuaishou, HKEx, GWM, Anta. </li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outlfows, and holding by mainland investors.
We highlight inflows into Tencent, Tianqi, Li Auto, Country Garden Services, Li Ning and outflows from Meituan, Kuaishou, HKEx, GWM, Anta. 


Hong Kong Connect Flows Monthly (August): $1bn into Tencent

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The September rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI and HSTECH indices will use today's closing prices to cap the index constituents at 8%. This will lead to large flows.</li>
<li>The largest inflows will be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baidu-inc-a55ca720-5968-48f0-8194-ac94390d065c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32212:1" rel="noopener">Baidu (9888 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sensetime-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34319:1" rel="noopener">SenseTime Group (20 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-shenhua-energy-co-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:382:1" rel="noopener">China Shenhua Energy (1088 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-kuaishou-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29725:1" rel="noopener">Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anta-sports-products-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10261:1" rel="noopener">Anta Sports (2020 HK)</a>.</li>
<li>The largest outflows will be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aia-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14895:1" rel="noopener">AIA Group (1299 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sunny-optical-tech" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13363:1" rel="noopener">Sunny Optical (2382 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/semiconductor-manufacturing-international-corp-smic" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14231:1" rel="noopener">SMIC (981 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-pacific-insurance-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6177:1" rel="noopener">China Pacific Insurance (2601 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-construction-bank-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45:1" rel="noopener">China Construction Bank (939)</a>.</li>
</ul>


The September rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI and HSTECH indices will use today's closing prices to cap the index constituents at 8%. This will lead to large flows.
The largest inflows will be on Baidu (9888 HK), SenseTime Group (20 HK), China Shenhua Energy (1088 HK), Tencent (700 HK), Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK) and Anta Sports (2020 HK).
The largest outflows will be on Meituan (3690 HK), AIA Group (1299 HK), Sunny Optical (2382 HK), SMIC (981 HK), China Pacific Insurance (2601 HK) and China Construction Bank (939).


HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH: September Rebalance Flows Post Capping

China

ANTA Sports Products Limited designs, develops, manufactures, and markets sportswear, including sports footwear and apparel for professionals and the general public.

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Anta Sports Products (2020 HK)

China Consumer Discretionary: Looking Forward to the Spending Season

Consumer spending should improve in 4Q22 as government pushes ahead stimulus and pent-up demand is further released. The recent retreat in share...

Osbert Tang, CFA

HK Short Interest: ZTO, Yum China, Netease, HSBC, Tencent, Wuxi Biologics/Apptec

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 16th and highlight short interest changes in ZTO, Yum China, Netease,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest: BYD, China Power Intl

We analyzed the latest HK SFC Short Aggregate report and highlight short interest changes in BYD and China Power International.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows Monthly (August): $1bn into Tencent

We analyzed August Southbound inflow data and highlight stocks including Tencent, Tianqi, Li Auto, Country Garden Services, Li Ning, Meituan,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH: September Rebalance Flows Post Capping

The September rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH indices will use todays close prices for capping. The one-way trade across all stocks across the...

Brian Freitas

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