Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Anthropic launched Claude Haiku 5.5 at up to 90% lower prices, Reflection AI unveiled its Beam open-weight model, and OpenAI's annualized revenue was below recent estimates.</li>
<li>OpenAI rolled GPT-6 out across ChatGPT, AWS added Zhipu's GLM-5.3 to Bedrock, TSMC's third-quarter revenue rose 50.9% YoY and Samsung guided record operating profit.</li>
<li>DeepSeek neared USD 12bn of new funding, Moonshot closed at about USD 50bn, Firmus withdrew its ASX IPO and SpaceX sought about USD 40bn of debt for Nvidia chips.</li>
</ul>


Anthropic launched Claude Haiku 5.5 at up to 90% lower prices, Reflection AI unveiled its Beam open-weight model, and OpenAI's annualized revenue was below recent estimates.
OpenAI rolled GPT-6 out across ChatGPT, AWS added Zhipu's GLM-5.3 to Bedrock, TSMC's third-quarter revenue rose 50.9% YoY and Samsung guided record operating profit.
DeepSeek neared USD 12bn of new funding, Moonshot closed at about USD 50bn, Firmus withdrew its ASX IPO and SpaceX sought about USD 40bn of debt for Nvidia chips.


This Week in AI (Oct 4-10): Haiku 5.5's Throat-Cutting Prices; OpenAI Revenue Trails Expectation

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven), MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven)

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>As reported by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/brian-freitas" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:4091" rel="noopener">Brian Freitas</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baidu-inc-class-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32212:1" rel="noopener">Baidu (9888 HK)</a> was added to the CSI Hong Kong Connect Internet Index at the close of trading on September 18, 2026.</li>
<li>Baidu has been downtrending since mid-January 2026 when it peaked at 161.20. Closed this week at 87.20, a<strong> -45% drop in price, and the lowest price reached this year</strong>.</li>
<li>
<strong>The stock is oversold in our view</strong>, and getting close to the 73 price zone floor that has been historically a solid support since 2021. Tactical positioning could be rewarding.</li>
</ul>


As reported by Brian FreitasBaidu (9888 HK) was added to the CSI Hong Kong Connect Internet Index at the close of trading on September 18, 2026.
Baidu has been downtrending since mid-January 2026 when it peaked at 161.20. Closed this week at 87.20, a -45% drop in price, and the lowest price reached this year.

The stock is oversold in our view, and getting close to the 73 price zone floor that has been historically a solid support since 2021. Tactical positioning could be rewarding.


Baidu (9888 HK) Tactical Outlook After CSI HK Connect Internet Inclusion, Multi-Month Downtrend

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baidu-inc-class-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32212:1" rel="noopener">Baidu (9888 HK)</a> converts from a Secondary Listing to an HKEX Dual-Primary Listing on 1 September. That should lead to Southbound Stock Connect inclusion from the open on 7 September.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baidu-inc-class-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32212:1" rel="noopener">Baidu (9888 HK)</a> should be added to the CSI Hong Kong Connect Internet Index at the close on 18 September. That will add to the Southbound buying.</li>
<li>Passive trackers of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI INDEX</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI INDEX</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH INDEX</a> and HSIII Index will buy <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baidu-inc-class-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32212:1" rel="noopener">Baidu (9888 HK)</a> at the December rebalance due to an increase in free float.</li>
</ul>



Baidu (9888 HK) converts from a Secondary Listing to an HKEX Dual-Primary Listing on 1 September. That should lead to Southbound Stock Connect inclusion from the open on 7 September.

Baidu (9888 HK) should be added to the CSI Hong Kong Connect Internet Index at the close on 18 September. That will add to the Southbound buying.
Passive trackers of the HSI INDEX, HSCEI INDEX, HSTECH INDEX and HSIII Index will buy Baidu (9888 HK) at the December rebalance due to an increase in free float.


Baidu (9888 HK): Dual Primary Today, Stock Connect Next Week, Then Index Flows

<ul>
<li>Baidu announced on 27 Aug 2026 following the EGM and before market open that its dual-primary listing takes effect on 1 Sep 2026.</li>
<li>Baidu clears the two WVR first-inclusion thresholds for both market cap and turnover.</li>
<li>All five prior conversions saw positive 10-day returns and positive 10-day southbound inflows after Connect ADD.</li>
</ul>


Baidu announced on 27 Aug 2026 following the EGM and before market open that its dual-primary listing takes effect on 1 Sep 2026.
Baidu clears the two WVR first-inclusion thresholds for both market cap and turnover.
All five prior conversions saw positive 10-day returns and positive 10-day southbound inflows after Connect ADD.


Baidu-SW Primary Conversion: Confirmation, Expectation, and the Trade

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>A review of recent events and data impacting our investment themes and outlook</li>
<li>China has another breakthrough moment with DeepSeek changing standard AI architecture</li>
<li>The case for precious metals and commodities continues to build, but short-term caution is warranted.</li>
</ul>


A review of recent events and data impacting our investment themes and outlook
China has another breakthrough moment with DeepSeek changing standard AI architecture
The case for precious metals and commodities continues to build, but short-term caution is warranted.


Overview #46 - From GPUs to Geopolitics: Is China Winning the AI Race?

China

Baidu is a Chinese multinational technology company specializing in Internet services and artificial intelligence. Its core business includes its dominant search engine, online marketing services, cloud computing, and autonomous driving technologies. Key products and services include Baidu Search, Baidu App, Baidu Maps, Baidu Baike, iQIYI, and the Apollo autonomous driving platform. The company was founded in January 2000 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

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Baidu (9888 HK)

This Week in AI (Oct 4-10): Haiku 5.5's Throat-Cutting Prices; OpenAI Revenue Trails Expectation

This week in AI: Anthropic cut prices by up to 90% with Claude Haiku 5.5, OpenAI's annualized revenue reached about USD 50bn, and Moonshot closed...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Baidu (9888 HK) Tactical Outlook After CSI HK Connect Internet Inclusion, Multi-Month Downtrend

Our quantitative models flagged Baidu (9888 HK) as severely oversold. We think a long-term bottom may be near, and a short-term tactical reversal...

Nico Rosti

Baidu (9888 HK): Dual Primary Today, Stock Connect Next Week, Then Index Flows

Buying via Southbound Stock Connect has been slow in Baidu. Mainland investors 'only' hold 32.87m shares (1.19% of shares out). That will receive a...

Brian Freitas

Baidu-SW Primary Conversion: Confirmation, Expectation, and the Trade

Baidu confirmed its dual-primary conversion takes effect on 1 Sep 2026. We assess the Connect ADD timeline and positioning.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Overview #46 - From GPUs to Geopolitics: Is China Winning the AI Race?

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. We look at the implications of recent Chinese tech breakthroughs

Rikki Malik

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