Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Disco, Kokusai and Softbank among the biggest tech laggards set to scramble higher on ceasefire news.</li>
<li>Intel joining Musk's Terafab and generating interest from Google and Amazon a positive for the main Intel suppliers such as Lasertec and Ibiden.</li>
<li>Defensive outperformers set to lose their recent upside momentum on the risk-on shift.</li>
</ul>


Disco, Kokusai and Softbank among the biggest tech laggards set to scramble higher on ceasefire news.
Intel joining Musk's Terafab and generating interest from Google and Amazon a positive for the main Intel suppliers such as Lasertec and Ibiden.
Defensive outperformers set to lose their recent upside momentum on the risk-on shift.


Japan Morning Connection: Ceasefire Set to Send Tech and AI Laggards Surging Higher

AI and Energy Infrastructure, Explained Plainly, The Physical Layer

The Physical Layer

AI and Energy Infrastructure, Explained Plainly

A journal on the physical constraints behind the AI buildout: power, grid connection, data centres, cooling and the supply chains that gate them. Written to be understood by anyone.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Lumentum makes the tiny lasers that turn data into light, so AI chips can talk to each other across a data centre.</li><li>Those lasers have to be grown on a fragile crystal that only a few factories in the world can work at volume, and demand is running well ahead of supply.</li><li>That is why Nvidia, a chip company, paid $2 billion to make sure Lumentum builds more of them.</li></ul>

Lumentum makes the tiny lasers that turn data into light, so AI chips can talk to each other across a data centre.Those lasers have to be grown on a fragile crystal that only a few factories in the world can work at volume, and demand is running well ahead of supply.That is why Nvidia, a chip company, paid $2 billion to make sure Lumentum builds more of them.

Nvidia paid Lumentum $2 billion for lasers, because silicon cannot make light

<ul>
<li>QD Laser (6613 JP) was +7.15% yesterday but may continue to get a lift with US optical/phonetic related names outperforming.</li>
<li>A dour tone for Fujitsu Ltd (6702 JP) and NEC Corp (6701 JP) etc, especially with a switch to a more risk-on footing in the wings.</li>
<li>Oil and gas infra names did better overnight, so may get a follow through for Chiyoda Corp (6366 JP) and Jgc Corp (1963 JP).</li>
</ul>


QD Laser (6613 JP) was +7.15% yesterday but may continue to get a lift with US optical/phonetic related names outperforming.
A dour tone for Fujitsu Ltd (6702 JP) and NEC Corp (6701 JP) etc, especially with a switch to a more risk-on footing in the wings.
Oil and gas infra names did better overnight, so may get a follow through for Chiyoda Corp (6366 JP) and Jgc Corp (1963 JP).


Japan Morning Connection: Fading Oil Sets a Positive Tone for Risk-On Tech, Airlines and Shippers

<ul>
<li>Oracle +10% AH after numbers showed strong gains for their Infra business and disciplined capex spending.</li>
<li>AT&amp;T looking to spend $250bn over 5-years to modernize networks will help the wire and cable plays.</li>
<li>The US running through its supplies of ordinance should help Japan's mainstay missile developers such as MHI.</li>
</ul>


Oracle +10% AH after numbers showed strong gains for their Infra business and disciplined capex spending.
AT&amp;T looking to spend $250bn over 5-years to modernize networks will help the wire and cable plays.
The US running through its supplies of ordinance should help Japan's mainstay missile developers such as MHI.


Japan Morning Connection: Markets Finished Well off Their Highs Given Mixed Signals from the WH

<ul>
<li>AI lower with the US looking to impose global AI chip sales permits, although memory rallied in a general rotation to laggards.</li>
<li>Broadcom CEO throwing cold water on DC optical connectivity 'scale-up', sending Corning, Lumentum and Coherent lower setting a dour tone for JP cable plays.</li>
<li>Kioxia and PPIH make it into the NKY225, which Advantest gets capped as expected. Small surprise for Kioxia, but ADV is low for all.</li>
</ul>


AI lower with the US looking to impose global AI chip sales permits, although memory rallied in a general rotation to laggards.
Broadcom CEO throwing cold water on DC optical connectivity 'scale-up', sending Corning, Lumentum and Coherent lower setting a dour tone for JP cable plays.
Kioxia and PPIH make it into the NKY225, which Advantest gets capped as expected. Small surprise for Kioxia, but ADV is low for all.


Japan Morning Connection: Oil Spike Starting to Bite with Airlines Tumbling on the Outlook for Fuel

Japan

Sumitomo Electric Industries, Ltd. manufactures electric wires, cables, and their related equipment.  The Company's products include optical fibers, wire harnesses, antennas for broadcasting stations, and electric monitoring systems.  Sumitomo Electric also produces disc brakes and antilock braking systems for automobiles and printed circuit board.

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Sumitomo Electric Industries (5802 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: Ceasefire Set to Send Tech and AI Laggards Surging Higher

A 2-week ceasefire has been agreed, subject to the straits being reopened, sending oil sharply lower and futures sharply higher. Will be a more...

Andrew Jackson

Nvidia paid Lumentum $2 billion for lasers, because silicon cannot make light

Lumentum makes the tiny lasers that turn data into light, so AI chips can talk to each other across a data centre. Those lasers have to be grown...

The Physical Layer

Japan Morning Connection: Fading Oil Sets a Positive Tone for Risk-On Tech, Airlines and Shippers

Oil fading at the open sets a positive tone for risk on tech, airlines and shippers, while optical names continue to surge on data center order...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Markets Finished Well off Their Highs Given Mixed Signals from the WH

Markets finished well off their highs given mixed signals from the WH, but managed to hold small gains. Tech and AI performed best amidst the...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Oil Spike Starting to Bite with Airlines Tumbling on the Outlook for Fuel

Shippers were lower globally after a slightly better day in Asia yesterday. Big drops for US airlines. Continues to look good for long 9202 ANA vs...

Andrew Jackson

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