Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) / Equity Bottom-Up

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC)

<ul>
<li>Revenue in 3Q25 was 7.8% higher than in 2Q25, in line with stronger seasonal demand. GM: 22.0% in 3Q25, compared with 20.4% in 2Q25 and 20.5% in 3Q24.</li>
<li>The Company expects: Revenue Flat to up 2% quarter-over-quarter (QoQ). Gross Margin: Between 18% and 20%.</li>
<li>SMIC’s stock price has risen 160.7% year-to-date in 2025, outperforming <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8587:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)</a> at 44.2% and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-microelectron-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11540:1" rel="noopener">United Microelectron Sp Adr (UMC US)</a> at 10.8%.</li>
</ul>


Revenue in 3Q25 was 7.8% higher than in 2Q25, in line with stronger seasonal demand. GM: 22.0% in 3Q25, compared with 20.4% in 2Q25 and 20.5% in 3Q24.
The Company expects: Revenue Flat to up 2% quarter-over-quarter (QoQ). Gross Margin: Between 18% and 20%.
SMIC’s stock price has risen 160.7% year-to-date in 2025, outperforming Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US) at 44.2% and United Microelectron Sp Adr (UMC US) at 10.8%.


SMIC (981.HK): Although GM May Decline Slightly, Revenue Is Expected to Continue Growing in 4Q25.

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be 4 constituent changes for the Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Top 50 ETF in December as positioning for buying by one set of index trackers pushes stocks into other indices.</li>
<li>There will be passive inflows in some of the forecast adds week after next and the flows from these index trackers will come a few weeks later.</li>
<li>With large AUMs tracking the dividend indices, stocks that have moved up a lot now have low dividend yields and there could be opposite flows from those index trackers.</li>
</ul>


There could be 4 constituent changes for the Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Top 50 ETF in December as positioning for buying by one set of index trackers pushes stocks into other indices.
There will be passive inflows in some of the forecast adds week after next and the flows from these index trackers will come a few weeks later.
With large AUMs tracking the dividend indices, stocks that have moved up a lot now have low dividend yields and there could be opposite flows from those index trackers.


Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance Preview: Plenty of Big Overlapping Flows Coming Up

AI | Semiconductors | Commodities, Mint Finance

Raghav Vashisht

AI | Semiconductors | Commodities

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Advanced Micro Devices / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>AMD achieved unprecedented revenue of $9.2 billion in Q3 2025, a 36% YoY growth driven despite margin contraction in the data centre segment.</li>
<li>Despite record data centre revenue of $4.3 billion, the uplift was carried by fifth-gen EPYC server CPUs rather than Instinct GPUs.</li>
<li>Multi-Year GPU commitments (from OpenAI to Oracle) strengthen the AI narrative without near-term numbers; Q4 guidance implies just 4% sequential growth, underscoring a digestion phase before the MI400 ramp.</li>
</ul>


AMD achieved unprecedented revenue of $9.2 billion in Q3 2025, a 36% YoY growth driven despite margin contraction in the data centre segment.
Despite record data centre revenue of $4.3 billion, the uplift was carried by fifth-gen EPYC server CPUs rather than Instinct GPUs.
Multi-Year GPU commitments (from OpenAI to Oracle) strengthen the AI narrative without near-term numbers; Q4 guidance implies just 4% sequential growth, underscoring a digestion phase before the MI400 ramp.


AMD in Q3 2025: Conviction in Bold Moves but a Rocky Road to Success

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Silicon valley startup Substrate made waves two weeks ago when they emerged from stealth mode to announce a revolutionary new tool they claim will rival ASML’s EUV lithography capability</li>
<li>Substrate simultaneously plans to build next-generation semiconductor fabs to return America to dominance in semiconductor production and will use their technology—a new form of advanced X-ray lithography—to power them.</li>
<li>For a three year old startup, whos CEO has zero documented experience of semiconductors or lithography, these are bold claims indeed. This should be interesting!</li>
</ul>


Silicon valley startup Substrate made waves two weeks ago when they emerged from stealth mode to announce a revolutionary new tool they claim will rival ASML’s EUV lithography capability
Substrate simultaneously plans to build next-generation semiconductor fabs to return America to dominance in semiconductor production and will use their technology—a new form of advanced X-ray lithography—to power them.
For a three year old startup, whos CEO has zero documented experience of semiconductors or lithography, these are bold claims indeed. This should be interesting!


Substrate. ASML, TSMC Slayer Or Ideological Pipe Dream?

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>Nvidia Pushes TSMC for More Capacity as AI Chip Demand Surges</li>
<li>Apple Expands Its Satellite Ambitions for iPhones Beyond Just Emergencies -- A Step Towards Disintermediating Telcos?</li>
<li>Nvidia’s International HQ in Taipei Deal Clears Final Hurdle -- Boost for Taiwan 2026E-2027E</li>
</ul>


Nvidia Pushes TSMC for More Capacity as AI Chip Demand Surges
Apple Expands Its Satellite Ambitions for iPhones Beyond Just Emergencies -- A Step Towards Disintermediating Telcos?
Nvidia’s International HQ in Taipei Deal Clears Final Hurdle -- Boost for Taiwan 2026E-2027E


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Nvidia Asking TSMC for More Capacity; Apple to Disintermediate Telcos?

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Ltd. manufactures and markets integrated circuits. The Company provides the following services: wafer manufacturing, wafer probing, assembly and testing, mask production, and design services. TSMC's ICs are used in computer, communication, consumer electronics, automotive, and industrial equipment industries.

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

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TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

SMIC (981.HK): Although GM May Decline Slightly, Revenue Is Expected to Continue Growing in 4Q25.

SMIC's 3Q25 revenue up 7.8% from 2Q25, GM at 22.0%. Expects flat to 2% revenue growth QoQ, GM between 18% and 20%. Stock price up 160.7% YTD,...

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance Preview: Plenty of Big Overlapping Flows Coming Up

We currently forecast 4 changes for the ETF in Dec. That could increase to 5. Multiple stocks will have same-way flow from other index trackers...

Brian Freitas

AMD in Q3 2025: Conviction in Bold Moves but a Rocky Road to Success

AMD's Q3 2025 revenue hits $9.2 billion with 36% YoY growth, driven by EPYC CPUs over Instinct GPUs; Q4 guidance suggests 4% sequential growth as...

Mint Finance

Substrate. ASML, TSMC Slayer Or Ideological Pipe Dream?

For a three year old startup, whos CEO has zero documented experience of semiconductors or lithography, these are bold claims indeed. This should...

William Keating

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Nvidia Asking TSMC for More Capacity; Apple to Disintermediate Telcos?

Nvidia and Apple are both making strategic moves to secure more capacity and expand their reach in the tech industry, potentially disrupting...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

SMIC (981.HK): Although GM May Decline Slightly, Revenue Is Expected to Continue Growing in 4Q25.

​SMIC's 3Q25 revenue up 7.8% from 2Q25, GM at 22.0%. Expects flat to 2% revenue growth QoQ, GM between 18% and 20%. Stock price up 160.7% YTD,...

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance Preview: Plenty of Big Overlapping Flows Coming Up

We currently forecast 4 changes for the ETF in Dec. That could increase to 5. Multiple stocks will have same-way flow from other index trackers...

Brian Freitas

AMD in Q3 2025: Conviction in Bold Moves but a Rocky Road to Success

​AMD's Q3 2025 revenue hits $9.2 billion with 36% YoY growth, driven by EPYC CPUs over Instinct GPUs; Q4 guidance suggests 4% sequential growth as...

Mint Finance

Substrate. ASML, TSMC Slayer Or Ideological Pipe Dream?

For a three year old startup, whos CEO has zero documented experience of semiconductors or lithography, these are bold claims indeed. This should...

William Keating

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Nvidia Asking TSMC for More Capacity; Apple to Disintermediate Telcos?

​Nvidia and Apple are both making strategic moves to secure more capacity and expand their reach in the tech industry, potentially disrupting...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

SMIC's 3Q25 revenue up 7.8% from 2Q25, GM at 22.0%. Expects flat to 2% revenue growth QoQ, GM between 18% and 20%. Stock price up 160.7% YTD,...

AMD's Q3 2025 revenue hits $9.2 billion with 36% YoY growth, driven by EPYC CPUs over Instinct GPUs; Q4 guidance suggests 4% sequential growth as...

Nvidia and Apple are both making strategic moves to secure more capacity and expand their reach in the tech industry, potentially disrupting...