Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The percentage of Global funds invested in Taiwan hits an all-time high of 57.8%.</li>
<li>Taiwan has been a key beneficiary of manager rotation alongside India, Argentina and South Korea over the last 6-months.</li>
<li>TSMC is the dominant stock holding, with 49.8% of funds holding a position and has hit record ownership among Global funds.</li>
</ul>


The percentage of Global funds invested in Taiwan hits an all-time high of 57.8%.
Taiwan has been a key beneficiary of manager rotation alongside India, Argentina and South Korea over the last 6-months.
TSMC is the dominant stock holding, with 49.8% of funds holding a position and has hit record ownership among Global funds.


Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Nvidia GTC Conference This Week Likely to Create Newsflow for Many Tech Names</li>
<li>Samsung Could Hike NAND Flash Prices by 20%; Silicon Motion for Exposure</li>
<li>TSMC Reportedly Placing Orders for Additional Advanced Packaging Capacity, Likely In Response to Demand Strength</li>
</ul>


Nvidia GTC Conference This Week Likely to Create Newsflow for Many Tech Names
Samsung Could Hike NAND Flash Prices by 20%; Silicon Motion for Exposure
TSMC Reportedly Placing Orders for Additional Advanced Packaging Capacity, Likely In Response to Demand Strength


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Nvidia Conference; Samsung to Hike NAND Prices; TSMC Adding Capex Due to Demand

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Nvidia will report its earnings today U.S.-time, we outline the key Taiwan AI supply chain names to watch around the earnings.</li>
<li>TSMC has maintained its full-year revenue guidance despite media reports questioning whether a further downgrade was coming.</li>
<li>Hon Hai produces over 50% of Nvidia's AI hardware according to media reports.</li>
</ul>


Nvidia will report its earnings today U.S.-time, we outline the key Taiwan AI supply chain names to watch around the earnings.
TSMC has maintained its full-year revenue guidance despite media reports questioning whether a further downgrade was coming.
Hon Hai produces over 50% of Nvidia's AI hardware according to media reports.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Key Supply Chain Names to Watch for Nvidia's Earnings Today

Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aem-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11019:1" rel="noopener">AEM (AEM SP)</a> posted 1Q21 results which were relatively soft YoY. Management noted that 1Q21 was still much stronger than 1Q19 and 1Q20 was an anomaly. AEM also shared annual guidance between 460-520M SGD for 2021. This was the first time management shared guidance for the year. Given AEM's history we believe this guidance is conservative.During the call the CEO and CFO were confident that growth would significantly pick up from 3Q21 as its largest customer <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intel-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16764:1" rel="noopener">Intel Corp (INTC US)</a> ramps up requirement for its latest test handlers. Longer term the company is hopeful to announce multiple new significant customer wins by 2022. This has been a multi-year process which could now bear fruits next year and would be an important catalyst for the company. We remain convinced AEM also becomes an M&amp;A target at some point which provides downside support to the stock.Nothing in 1Q21 results changes the long-term bull thesis on AEM. Fair Value remains unchanged 5 SGD (40% upside).

AEM (AEM SP) posted 1Q21 results which were relatively soft YoY. Management noted that 1Q21 was still much stronger than 1Q19 and 1Q20 was an anomaly. AEM also shared annual guidance between 460-520M SGD for 2021. This was the first time management shared guidance for the year. Given AEM's history we believe this guidance is conservative.During the call the CEO and CFO were confident that growth would significantly pick up from 3Q21 as its largest customer Intel Corp (INTC US) ramps up requirement for its latest test handlers. Longer term the company is hopeful to announce multiple new significant customer wins by 2022. This has been a multi-year process which could now bear fruits next year and would be an important catalyst for the company. We remain convinced AEM also becomes an M&amp;A target at some point which provides downside support to the stock.Nothing in 1Q21 results changes the long-term bull thesis on AEM. Fair Value remains unchanged 5 SGD (40% upside). 

AEM: Temporary Weakness Creates Buying Opportunity Going into New Product Cycle as of 3Q21

<ul>
<li>Key Events: 1) Nvidia Results Coming Today in the U.S. 2) Elan &amp; ChipMOS Tomorrow in Taiwan 3) U.S. PC Maker Results Next Week</li>
<li>Why United Microelectronics Is Becoming a Great Long-Term Acquisition Target for Intel </li>
<li>Novatek a Top Gainer After Reports of Alliance with ARM to Build Neoverse V2 for AI</li>
</ul>


Key Events: 1) Nvidia Results Coming Today in the U.S. 2) Elan &amp; ChipMOS Tomorrow in Taiwan 3) U.S. PC Maker Results Next Week
Why United Microelectronics Is Becoming a Great Long-Term Acquisition Target for Intel 
Novatek a Top Gainer After Reports of Alliance with ARM to Build Neoverse V2 for AI


Taiwan Tech Weekly: AI Plays Weak Ahead of Nvidia Results Today; Intel & UMC; ARM & Novatek

Taiwan

Chroma Ate Inc. manufactures and markets electronic and automation measuring instruments.  The Company's main products are test and measurement instruments, auto test equipment, power electronics, uninterrupted power supply (UPS), telecommunication power systems, industrial computers, and special materials.

Chroma Ate Inc (2360 TT)

Taiwan: Underowned, Yet Gaining on Peers

Taiwan hits record levels of exposure among actively managed Global equity funds, yet it still lags behind its counterparts in the USA and Europe.

Steven Holden

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Nvidia Conference; Samsung to Hike NAND Prices; TSMC Adding Capex Due to Demand

Many Taiwanese companies participating at Nvidia's GTC conference this week. Local reports say Samsung to hike NAND flash prices by 20%. Also,...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Key Supply Chain Names to Watch for Nvidia's Earnings Today

Also -- TSMC has maintained its full-year revenue guidance and Hon Hai is said to produce over 50% of Nvidia's AI hardware.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

AEM: Temporary Weakness Creates Buying Opportunity Going into New Product Cycle as of 3Q21

AEM had a weaker quarter but it is very confident that a new growth cycle will start in 3Q21 well into 2022. New customer wins in 2022 could start...

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

Taiwan Tech Weekly: AI Plays Weak Ahead of Nvidia Results Today; Intel & UMC; ARM & Novatek

Key developments: Nvidia results today, Elan & ChipMOS tomorrow, and U.S. PC maker results next week. UMC a potential acquisition for Intel?...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan: Underowned, Yet Gaining on Peers

Taiwan hits record levels of exposure among actively managed Global equity funds, yet it still lags behind its counterparts in the USA and Europe.

Steven Holden

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Nvidia Conference; Samsung to Hike NAND Prices; TSMC Adding Capex Due to Demand

​Many Taiwanese companies participating at Nvidia's GTC conference this week. Local reports say Samsung to hike NAND flash prices by 20%. Also,...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Key Supply Chain Names to Watch for Nvidia's Earnings Today

Also -- TSMC has maintained its full-year revenue guidance and Hon Hai is said to produce over 50% of Nvidia's AI hardware.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

AEM: Temporary Weakness Creates Buying Opportunity Going into New Product Cycle as of 3Q21

AEM had a weaker quarter but it is very confident that a new growth cycle will start in 3Q21 well into 2022. New customer wins in 2022 could start...

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

Taiwan Tech Weekly: AI Plays Weak Ahead of Nvidia Results Today; Intel & UMC; ARM & Novatek

Key developments: Nvidia results today, Elan & ChipMOS tomorrow, and U.S. PC maker results next week. UMC a potential acquisition for Intel?...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Many Taiwanese companies participating at Nvidia's GTC conference this week. Local reports say Samsung to hike NAND flash prices by 20%. Also,...