Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be 4 constituent changes for the Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Top 50 ETF in December as positioning for buying by one set of index trackers pushes stocks into other indices.</li>
<li>There will be passive inflows in some of the forecast adds week after next and the flows from these index trackers will come a few weeks later.</li>
<li>With large AUMs tracking the dividend indices, stocks that have moved up a lot now have low dividend yields and there could be opposite flows from those index trackers.</li>
</ul>


There could be 4 constituent changes for the Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Top 50 ETF in December as positioning for buying by one set of index trackers pushes stocks into other indices.
There will be passive inflows in some of the forecast adds week after next and the flows from these index trackers will come a few weeks later.
With large AUMs tracking the dividend indices, stocks that have moved up a lot now have low dividend yields and there could be opposite flows from those index trackers.


Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance Preview: Plenty of Big Overlapping Flows Coming Up

<ul>
<li>A massive rally in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chroma-ate-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7731:1" rel="noopener">Chroma Ate Inc (2360 TT)</a> should see the stock added to a global index in November and then to another country ETF in December.</li>
<li>With one exception, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chroma-ate-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7731:1" rel="noopener">Chroma Ate Inc (2360 TT)</a> has outperformed its peers over the last 6 months. With large buying to come, that could continue in the short-term.</li>
<li>There is positioning in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chroma-ate-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7731:1" rel="noopener">Chroma Ate Inc (2360 TT)</a> and its peers. With continued momentum in the stock, the path of least resistance is higher.</li>
</ul>


A massive rally in Chroma Ate Inc (2360 TT) should see the stock added to a global index in November and then to another country ETF in December.
With one exception, Chroma Ate Inc (2360 TT) has outperformed its peers over the last 6 months. With large buying to come, that could continue in the short-term.
There is positioning in Chroma Ate Inc (2360 TT) and its peers. With continued momentum in the stock, the path of least resistance is higher.


Chroma Ate (2360 TT): Double Index Inclusion Coming Up with Plenty to Buy

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The percentage of Global funds invested in Taiwan hits an all-time high of 57.8%.</li>
<li>Taiwan has been a key beneficiary of manager rotation alongside India, Argentina and South Korea over the last 6-months.</li>
<li>TSMC is the dominant stock holding, with 49.8% of funds holding a position and has hit record ownership among Global funds.</li>
</ul>


The percentage of Global funds invested in Taiwan hits an all-time high of 57.8%.
Taiwan has been a key beneficiary of manager rotation alongside India, Argentina and South Korea over the last 6-months.
TSMC is the dominant stock holding, with 49.8% of funds holding a position and has hit record ownership among Global funds.


Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>Top Gainers/Loser: Taiwan Tech Stocks Hit Hard Last Week By Global AI/Tech Pullback</li>
<li>Key Events This Week: Major Earnings Week Including UMC, Mediatek, Realtek, AMD, Microsoft</li>
<li>TechChain Insights: Call with Silicon Motion; QLC NAND Emerging as Key Enabler for AI Devices </li>
</ul>


Top Gainers/Loser: Taiwan Tech Stocks Hit Hard Last Week By Global AI/Tech Pullback
Key Events This Week: Major Earnings Week Including UMC, Mediatek, Realtek, AMD, Microsoft
TechChain Insights: Call with Silicon Motion; QLC NAND Emerging as Key Enabler for AI Devices 


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Hit Hard By AI/Tech Pullback; Watch UMC, Mediatek, Realtek, AMD, MSFT Earnings

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>Nvidia GTC Conference This Week Likely to Create Newsflow for Many Tech Names</li>
<li>Samsung Could Hike NAND Flash Prices by 20%; Silicon Motion for Exposure</li>
<li>TSMC Reportedly Placing Orders for Additional Advanced Packaging Capacity, Likely In Response to Demand Strength</li>
</ul>


Nvidia GTC Conference This Week Likely to Create Newsflow for Many Tech Names
Samsung Could Hike NAND Flash Prices by 20%; Silicon Motion for Exposure
TSMC Reportedly Placing Orders for Additional Advanced Packaging Capacity, Likely In Response to Demand Strength


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Nvidia Conference; Samsung to Hike NAND Prices; TSMC Adding Capex Due to Demand

Taiwan

Chroma Ate Inc. manufactures and markets electronic and automation measuring instruments.  The Company's main products are test and measurement instruments, auto test equipment, power electronics, uninterrupted power supply (UPS), telecommunication power systems, industrial computers, and special materials.

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Chroma Ate Inc (2360 TT)

Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance Preview: Plenty of Big Overlapping Flows Coming Up

We currently forecast 4 changes for the ETF in Dec. That could increase to 5. Multiple stocks will have same-way flow from other index trackers...

Brian Freitas

Chroma Ate (2360 TT): Double Index Inclusion Coming Up with Plenty to Buy

Chroma Ate should be added to a global index in Nov and a country ETF in Dec. There will be over US$850m to buy in the stock. Momentum is strong...

Brian Freitas

Taiwan: Underowned, Yet Gaining on Peers

Taiwan hits record levels of exposure among actively managed Global equity funds, yet it still lags behind its counterparts in the USA and Europe.

Steven Holden

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Hit Hard By AI/Tech Pullback; Watch UMC, Mediatek, Realtek, AMD, MSFT Earnings

A recap of last week's gainers and losers plus key events to watch out for this week and recently published research pieces.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Nvidia Conference; Samsung to Hike NAND Prices; TSMC Adding Capex Due to Demand

Many Taiwanese companies participating at Nvidia's GTC conference this week. Local reports say Samsung to hike NAND flash prices by 20%. Also,...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance Preview: Plenty of Big Overlapping Flows Coming Up

We currently forecast 4 changes for the ETF in Dec. That could increase to 5. Multiple stocks will have same-way flow from other index trackers...

Brian Freitas

Chroma Ate (2360 TT): Double Index Inclusion Coming Up with Plenty to Buy

Chroma Ate should be added to a global index in Nov and a country ETF in Dec. There will be over US$850m to buy in the stock. Momentum is strong...

Brian Freitas

Taiwan: Underowned, Yet Gaining on Peers

Taiwan hits record levels of exposure among actively managed Global equity funds, yet it still lags behind its counterparts in the USA and Europe.

Steven Holden

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Hit Hard By AI/Tech Pullback; Watch UMC, Mediatek, Realtek, AMD, MSFT Earnings

A recap of last week's gainers and losers plus key events to watch out for this week and recently published research pieces.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Nvidia Conference; Samsung to Hike NAND Prices; TSMC Adding Capex Due to Demand

​Many Taiwanese companies participating at Nvidia's GTC conference this week. Local reports say Samsung to hike NAND flash prices by 20%. Also,...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Many Taiwanese companies participating at Nvidia's GTC conference this week. Local reports say Samsung to hike NAND flash prices by 20%. Also,...