Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>By succeeding to launch at least one distinctive product each year, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-shinyaku-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6634:1" rel="noopener">Nippon Shinyaku (4516 JP)</a> increased both revenue and operating profit for nine fiscal years in a row.</li>
<li>The company’s new drug Viltepso, targeting 8% of Duchenne muscular dystrophy patient population has an estimated peak sale of more than $400 million.  </li>
<li>By FY24, the company plans to launch one new in-house drug for myelofibrosis, which is preparing to go for phase 2 trial.</li>
</ul>


By succeeding to launch at least one distinctive product each year, Nippon Shinyaku (4516 JP) increased both revenue and operating profit for nine fiscal years in a row.
The company’s new drug Viltepso, targeting 8% of Duchenne muscular dystrophy patient population has an estimated peak sale of more than $400 million.  
By FY24, the company plans to launch one new in-house drug for myelofibrosis, which is preparing to go for phase 2 trial.


Nippon Shinyaku (4516 JP): New Drugs and Rich Pipeline Enhance Conviction on Future Growth

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nektar-therapeutics" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15060:1" rel="noopener">Nektar Therapeutics (NKTR US)</a> is a global biopharmaceutical company, with major focus on immune-oncology. Its lead candidate bempeg is the near-term growth engine for the company.</li>
<li>On December 6, Nektar presented favorable results for Bempeg plus Keytruda in patients with non-small-cell lung cancer. Bempeg is poised for getting approvals for multiple indications during 2023–2025.</li>
<li>Clinical trial progress of other late-stage programs remains long-term growth driver for Nektar. Buyout deal at a premium presents another upside opportunity for Nektar.</li>
</ul>



Nektar Therapeutics (NKTR US) is a global biopharmaceutical company, with major focus on immune-oncology. Its lead candidate bempeg is the near-term growth engine for the company.
On December 6, Nektar presented favorable results for Bempeg plus Keytruda in patients with non-small-cell lung cancer. Bempeg is poised for getting approvals for multiple indications during 2023–2025.
Clinical trial progress of other late-stage programs remains long-term growth driver for Nektar. Buyout deal at a premium presents another upside opportunity for Nektar.


Nektar Therapeutics (NKTR US): A Good Buying Option in Immuno-Oncology Therapeutic Area

Yichang HEC Changjiang Pharma / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>HEC Pharma (1558 HK) launched multiple new products, which will reduce its over-dependence on a single drug. Among those, insulin and oral HCV drug have large market opportunities in China.</li>
<li>As of 30 June 2021, 11 products of the company have won the bid for centralized bulk purchase of drugs, including six products have won the bid in H1 2021.</li>
<li>HEC’s rich pipeline consists of 50 innovative class 1 drugs, targeting fast-growing therapeutic areas including oncology. Its late-stage pipeline will enable robust product launches in 2022 and beyond.</li>
</ul>


HEC Pharma (1558 HK) launched multiple new products, which will reduce its over-dependence on a single drug. Among those, insulin and oral HCV drug have large market opportunities in China.
As of 30 June 2021, 11 products of the company have won the bid for centralized bulk purchase of drugs, including six products have won the bid in H1 2021.
HEC’s rich pipeline consists of 50 innovative class 1 drugs, targeting fast-growing therapeutic areas including oncology. Its late-stage pipeline will enable robust product launches in 2022 and beyond.


Yichang HEC Changjiang Pharma (1558 HK): Multiple New Products Launches Bring New Opportunities

Ilyang Pharmaceutical Co., / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ilyang-pharmaceutical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2789:1" rel="noopener">Ilyang Pharmaceutical Co., (007570 KS)</a> shares touched new high of KRW 84,300 in December 2020 after its self-developed innovative drug Supect received approval for clinical trial for potential label expansion. However, Supect failed to prove efficacy in another clinical trial for COVID-19 in March 2021 and since then shares are declining. Ilyang shares are now trading near 52-week low.</li>
<li>Ilyang’s flagship drug Noltec is the leading anti-ulcer drug in Korea due to its superior efficacy and convenience of administration. Noltec is further expected to gain market share driven by its label expansion. </li>
<li>While Noltec has been enjoying steady revenue growth since its launch in 2009, Ilyang’s aspiration to become a leading global pharmaceutical company is dependent on the long-term commercialization success of its leukemia drug Supect and its label expansion potential.</li>
<li>Last week’s FDA approval of a new class of leukemia drug from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/novartis-ag-8261b5d2-53ba-409e-8628-86d59cd6f853" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27907:1" rel="noopener">Novartis AG (NOVN SW)</a> has further increased competition in the already crowded leukemia space. This insight has mainly analyzed concerns over the commercialization of Supect amidst this competitive backdrop to find whether Ilyang can be a good bargain hunting idea for investors.  </li>
</ul>



Ilyang Pharmaceutical Co., (007570 KS) shares touched new high of KRW 84,300 in December 2020 after its self-developed innovative drug Supect received approval for clinical trial for potential label expansion. However, Supect failed to prove efficacy in another clinical trial for COVID-19 in March 2021 and since then shares are declining. Ilyang shares are now trading near 52-week low.
Ilyang’s flagship drug Noltec is the leading anti-ulcer drug in Korea due to its superior efficacy and convenience of administration. Noltec is further expected to gain market share driven by its label expansion. 
While Noltec has been enjoying steady revenue growth since its launch in 2009, Ilyang’s aspiration to become a leading global pharmaceutical company is dependent on the long-term commercialization success of its leukemia drug Supect and its label expansion potential.
Last week’s FDA approval of a new class of leukemia drug from Novartis AG (NOVN SW) has further increased competition in the already crowded leukemia space. This insight has mainly analyzed concerns over the commercialization of Supect amidst this competitive backdrop to find whether Ilyang can be a good bargain hunting idea for investors.  


Ilyang Pharmaceutical (007570 KS): Leukemia Drug Commercialization Concerns Still Persist

Equity Long-Short Analyst

Pyari Menon

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In technical publications like patents and research papers, cross-references are made to existing patents and research papers. We believe these mentions and citations can provide valuable insights into the views and impressions of experts in the specific innovations and technologies within a sector and hence the likelihood of success. In this report (which is the first one we are publishing) we have crawled through more than ten years of publications (several thousand) to analyze a subset in the Lifesciences space namely PEPTIDES.  Needless to say the same can be done with respect to other technological areas in other sectors as well.We backtested our methodology (dating three years back) to look for any specific actionable idea the analysis might throw up. We noted that among the small or mid-cap stocks that screened well half were acquired over the next three years Specific to this report we highlight over ten companies that are likely acquisition targets over the next three years. Within those, two companies that screen very well based purely on data mined from the publications and our parameters of number of innovations, number of citations, Recency, and Impact are a Germany based Nasdaq listed - Immatics (IMTX) and US-based Coherus (CHRS)

In technical publications like patents and research papers, cross-references are made to existing patents and research papers. We believe these mentions and citations can provide valuable insights into the views and impressions of experts in the specific innovations and technologies within a sector and hence the likelihood of success. In this report (which is the first one we are publishing) we have crawled through more than ten years of publications (several thousand) to analyze a subset in the Lifesciences space namely PEPTIDES.  Needless to say the same can be done with respect to other technological areas in other sectors as well.We backtested our methodology (dating three years back) to look for any specific actionable idea the analysis might throw up. We noted that among the small or mid-cap stocks that screened well half were acquired over the next three years Specific to this report we highlight over ten companies that are likely acquisition targets over the next three years. Within those, two companies that screen very well based purely on data mined from the publications and our parameters of number of innovations, number of citations, Recency, and Impact are a Germany based Nasdaq listed - Immatics (IMTX) and US-based Coherus (CHRS)

Stock Ideas Based on Data Mined from Technical Publications - A Look Into Peptides

United States

Bristol-Myers Squibb Company is a global biopharmaceutical company. The Company develops, licenses, manufactures, markets, and sells pharmaceutical and nutritional products. Bristol-Myers Squibb products and experimental therapies address cancer, heart disease, HIV/AIDS, diabetes, rheumatoid arthritis, hepatitis, organ transplant  rejection, and psychiatric disorders.

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Bristol Myers Squibb Co (BMY US)

Nippon Shinyaku (4516 JP): New Drugs and Rich Pipeline Enhance Conviction on Future Growth

During FY20–FY24, Nippon Shinyaku plans to launch two new in-house drugs and three in-licenses drugs. Indication expansion of existing key drugs...

Tina Banerjee

Nektar Therapeutics (NKTR US): A Good Buying Option in Immuno-Oncology Therapeutic Area

Nektar presented favorable clinical data for its lead candidate, bempeg at a global healthcare conference recently. Bempeg, a potential blockbuster...

Tina Banerjee

Yichang HEC Changjiang Pharma (1558 HK): Multiple New Products Launches Bring New Opportunities

HEC Pharm is on a new growth path through the launch of diabetes and oral HCV drugs. The company has a rich pipeline of innovative drugs, entailing...

Tina Banerjee

Ilyang Pharmaceutical (007570 KS): Leukemia Drug Commercialization Concerns Still Persist

This insight has analyzed commercialization concern over Ilyang's leukemia drug due to strong competition. Investors should avoid Ilyang shares.

Tina Banerjee

Stock Ideas Based on Data Mined from Technical Publications - A Look Into Peptides

We have screened for stock ideas in the area of PEPTIDES by datamining citations by industry experts in thousands of technical publications over...

Pyari Menon

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