IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oishi-group-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17370:1" rel="noopener">Oishi Group PCL (OISHI TB)</a>’s shareholders overwhelmingly approved <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-beverage-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3656:1" rel="noopener">Thai Beverage (THBEV SP)</a>’s delisting tender offer of THB59.00 per share. The approval was expected as ThaiBev was allowed to vote.</li>
<li>The offer is attractive compared to historical share prices, multiples and the IFA’s fair value of THB53.48-56.42 per share. </li>
<li>The delisting now requires SET approval. At the last close and for an end of July completion, the gross and annualised spread is 2.2% and 9.4%, respectively.</li>
</ul>



Oishi Group PCL (OISHI TB)’s shareholders overwhelmingly approved Thai Beverage (THBEV SP)’s delisting tender offer of THB59.00 per share. The approval was expected as ThaiBev was allowed to vote.
The offer is attractive compared to historical share prices, multiples and the IFA’s fair value of THB53.48-56.42 per share. 
The delisting now requires SET approval. At the last close and for an end of July completion, the gross and annualised spread is 2.2% and 9.4%, respectively.


Oishi Group (OISHI TB): Shareholders Approve the THB59.00 Delisting Offer

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oishi-group-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17370:1" rel="noopener">Oishi Group PCL (OISHI TB)</a> IFA opines that shareholders approve <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-beverage-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3656:1" rel="noopener">Thai Beverage (THBEV SP)</a>’s delisting tender offer of THB59.00 per share at the EGM on 3 May.</li>
<li>The offer is conditional on Oishi shareholder approval which requires 75% approval by total outstanding shares and &lt;10% rejection by total outstanding shares.</li>
<li>The offer is attractive to the IFA’s fair value of THB53.48-56.42 per share. At last close and the end-July completion, the gross and annualised spread is 2.2% and 8.1%, respectively.</li>
</ul>


The Oishi Group PCL (OISHI TB) IFA opines that shareholders approve Thai Beverage (THBEV SP)’s delisting tender offer of THB59.00 per share at the EGM on 3 May.
The offer is conditional on Oishi shareholder approval which requires 75% approval by total outstanding shares and &lt;10% rejection by total outstanding shares.
The offer is attractive to the IFA’s fair value of THB53.48-56.42 per share. At last close and the end-July completion, the gross and annualised spread is 2.2% and 8.1%, respectively.


Oishi Group (OISHI TB): IFA Recommends the THB59.00 Delisting Offer

Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>The SET Index is expected to gain, with the support at 1,660/1,652 points and the resistance at 1,680/1,690 points.</li><li>Technically, the index is likely to rebound after it was able to close above the support at 1,670 points and stayed above the 10-day moving average.</li><li>Tactically, investors are suggested to do trading buy in the short term at the aforementioned support, with the loss-stopping point at 1,652 points, focusing on laggard plays in the food, retail and ICT sectors that are at low risk of being sold for sector rotations.</li></ul>

The SET Index is expected to gain, with the support at 1,660/1,652 points and the resistance at 1,680/1,690 points.Technically, the index is likely to rebound after it was able to close above the support at 1,670 points and stayed above the 10-day moving average.Tactically, investors are suggested to do trading buy in the short term at the aforementioned support, with the loss-stopping point at 1,652 points, focusing on laggard plays in the food, retail and ICT sectors that are at low risk of being sold for sector rotations.

Thai Equity - Bottom-up - Equities, Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

Pi Research

Thai Equity - Bottom-up - Equities

Leading, full-service investment firm in Thailand

Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

Pi Securities is a well known securities company with 40 years experience in the industry, serving more than 60,000 clients. We offer one - stop service providing full range of financial products and services including extensive Brokerage, Proprietary Trading (Equities and Bonds), Advisory Services, Structured Products.

Moreover, our new research team tailored for institutional clients to focus on mid to small cap of Thai equities and trading strategies. Our services offered to our premium clients also include arrangement of company or site visits to with the managements of Thai listed companies.

Note: Effective on 1 March 2022, Country Group Securities PCL changed its name to Pi Securities

<ul>
<li>Earnings is expected to improve QoQ in 4Q22 and recover YoY in 2023 support by higher consumer purchasing power causing by adjustment of minimum daily wages, higher consumption from FIFA</li>
<li>Core business performance should be recover QoQ   Domestic sales (35% of total sales): Strong revenue growth momentum for domestic energy drinks to persist in 4Q22 and throughout 2023 supported </li>
<li>CLMV sales(30% of total sales)is expected to recover both YoY and QoQ in 4Q22 to Bt1.5bn or two-years average sales in CLMV,driven by a recovery in Cambodia sales after flood </li>
</ul>


Earnings is expected to improve QoQ in 4Q22 and recover YoY in 2023 support by higher consumer purchasing power causing by adjustment of minimum daily wages, higher consumption from FIFA
Core business performance should be recover QoQ   Domestic sales (35% of total sales): Strong revenue growth momentum for domestic energy drinks to persist in 4Q22 and throughout 2023 supported 
CLMV sales(30% of total sales)is expected to recover both YoY and QoQ in 4Q22 to Bt1.5bn or two-years average sales in CLMV,driven by a recovery in Cambodia sales after flood 


CBG : Key Positive Catalyst Should Depend on Sales Performance from Vietnam

<ul>
<li>Downgrade recommendation to HOLD from BUY with a lower target price of Bt105 (Previous TP: Bt120). Our new target price reflects 2023 earnings downward revision by 12% to factored</li>
<li>3Q22 earnings fell both YoY and QoQ  Its net profit came out at Bt475m (-21%YoY, -36%QoQ). After earnings revision,the 9M22 result accounted for 75% of full-year net profit in 2022.</li>
<li>Revenue remained solid at Bt4.7bn (+19%YoY, -11%QoQ) supported by 1) an increase in sales of Carabao dang energy drinks by 19%YoY in domestic market</li>
</ul>


Downgrade recommendation to HOLD from BUY with a lower target price of Bt105 (Previous TP: Bt120). Our new target price reflects 2023 earnings downward revision by 12% to factored
3Q22 earnings fell both YoY and QoQ  Its net profit came out at Bt475m (-21%YoY, -36%QoQ). After earnings revision,the 9M22 result accounted for 75% of full-year net profit in 2022.
Revenue remained solid at Bt4.7bn (+19%YoY, -11%QoQ) supported by 1) an increase in sales of Carabao dang energy drinks by 19%YoY in domestic market


CBG : Weak Margin Pressured on 3Q22 Results

Thailand

Carabao Group Public Company Limited is a Thailand-based holding company primarily investing in subsidiaries that produce, market, sell, and distribute energy drinks and other beverages both domestically and internationally. Their product range includes carbonated and non-carbonated energy drinks, vitamin C drinks, coffee products, and drinking water under brands like Carabao, Carabao Sport, and Woody C+ Lock. The company also manufactures and distributes packaging products such as bottles, glass products, and aluminum cans. Headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand, the company was established in 2001.

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Carabao Group (CBG TB)

Oishi Group (OISHI TB): Shareholders Approve the THB59.00 Delisting Offer

The delisting now requires SET approval. At the last close and for an end of July completion, the gross and annualised spread is 2.2% and 9.4%,...

Arun George

Oishi Group (OISHI TB): IFA Recommends the THB59.00 Delisting Offer

The THB59.00 offer is attractive. The IFA’s fair value is THB53.48-56.42 per share. At the last close and the end-July completion, the annualised...

Arun George

Technical Analysis

The SET Index is expected to gain, with the support at 1,660/1,652 points and the resistance at 1,680/1,690 points. Technically, the index is...

Krungthai XSpring

CBG : Key Positive Catalyst Should Depend on Sales Performance from Vietnam

Earnings is expected to improve QoQ in 4Q22 and recover YoY in 2023 support by higher consumer purchasing power causing by adjustment of minimum...

Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

CBG : Weak Margin Pressured on 3Q22 Results

Downgrade recommendation to HOLD from BUY with a lower target price of Bt105 (Previous TP: Bt120).Our new target price reflects 2023 earnings...

Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

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