New Zealand Professional Investment Services Firm, Forsyth Barr

Forsyth Barr

New Zealand Professional Investment Services Firm

We are proud to be a New Zealand owned firm, with 21 offices throughout the country and over 300 employees. We assist personal, institutional and corporate clients providing a full range of investment services.

Forsyth Barr is a foundation New Zealand Exchange firm (NZX) and accredited market participant. We have been confirmed by the Financial Markets Authority as a Qualifying Financial Entity (QFE).

Research is the cornerstone of our advice. We have one of New Zealand's leading teams of analysts. Our global affiliations ensure comprehensive research coverage of all major investment markets.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Tower (TWR) will report a strong, largely pre-released FY25 result on 27 November 2025, following updated guidance on 12 September 2025.</li><li>TWR expects underlying NPAT of NZ$100m–NZ$110m, supported by benign weather and large-event costs of only NZ$7m (well below the original NZ$50m allowance).</li><li>Management remains confident in +10% to +15% medium-term GWP growth, underpinned by Westpac.</li></ul>

Tower (TWR) will report a strong, largely pre-released FY25 result on 27 November 2025, following updated guidance on 12 September 2025.TWR expects underlying NPAT of NZ$100m–NZ$110m, supported by benign weather and large-event costs of only NZ$7m (well below the original NZ$50m allowance).Management remains confident in +10% to +15% medium-term GWP growth, underpinned by Westpac.

Tower Limited - FY25 Preview—Good Weather, Better Result

<ul><li>Tower (TWR) has announced a white-label distribution partnership with Westpac NZ (WBC) to underwrite house, contents, motor, and landlord policies from 1 July 2026.</li><li>Management indicates the partnership contributes to its FY27 GWP growth ambition of +10% to +15%.</li><li>Our blended target price lifts +4% to NZ$2.10, on a reduced discount to peers as quality grows.</li></ul>

Tower (TWR) has announced a white-label distribution partnership with Westpac NZ (WBC) to underwrite house, contents, motor, and landlord policies from 1 July 2026.Management indicates the partnership contributes to its FY27 GWP growth ambition of +10% to +15%.Our blended target price lifts +4% to NZ$2.10, on a reduced discount to peers as quality grows.

Tower Limited Westpac Partnership Supports FY27 Growth

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Whilst 2024 was one the costliest years globally for reinsurance companies, in NZ, unusually benign weather provided a favourable backdrop for the local general insurance industry.</li><li>This saw Tower (TWR: unrated) deliver a record FY24 result for the year to September 2024.</li><li>Looking toward 2025, we are expecting a more normalised period for the industry, with the insurance rate cycle cooling, greater focus on customer numbers, new products, investment returns coming off their peak, and an ongoing push to reduce costs. </li></ul>

Whilst 2024 was one the costliest years globally for reinsurance companies, in NZ, unusually benign weather provided a favourable backdrop for the local general insurance industry.This saw Tower (TWR: unrated) deliver a record FY24 result for the year to September 2024.Looking toward 2025, we are expecting a more normalised period for the industry, with the insurance rate cycle cooling, greater focus on customer numbers, new products, investment returns coming off their peak, and an ongoing push to reduce costs. 

Forsyth Barr General Insurance Digest - Edition 10 — Australasian Insurers Outperform

<ul>
<li>Tower (TWR) has revised its FY23 guidance and now expects underlying profit after tax to be between NZ$7m and NZ$10m, up +NZ$8m at the midpoint.</li>
<li>The upgraded guidance reflects lower-than-expected costs relating to large events for the period. </li>
<li>TWR's previous guidance, issued in July 2023, assumed full utilisation of a NZ$50m large events allowance. </li>
</ul>


Tower (TWR) has revised its FY23 guidance and now expects underlying profit after tax to be between NZ$7m and NZ$10m, up +NZ$8m at the midpoint.
The upgraded guidance reflects lower-than-expected costs relating to large events for the period. 
TWR's previous guidance, issued in July 2023, assumed full utilisation of a NZ$50m large events allowance. 


Tower Limited - FY23 Updated for Final Large Event Costs

<ul><li>The National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA) released its outlook for October to December 2023 on 29 September 2023.</li><li>As part of its outlook, NIWA declared that El Niño—characterised by 'stronger or more frequent winds from the west in the summer'—had officially arrived.</li><li>El Niño generally brings warmer temperatures and stronger winds across the country, with below–average rainfall in the north and east of the North Island and above–average rainfall in the west of the South Island. </li></ul>

The National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA) released its outlook for October to December 2023 on 29 September 2023.As part of its outlook, NIWA declared that El Niño—characterised by 'stronger or more frequent winds from the west in the summer'—had officially arrived.El Niño generally brings warmer temperatures and stronger winds across the country, with below–average rainfall in the north and east of the North Island and above–average rainfall in the west of the South Island. 

Forsyth Barr General Insurance Digest - Edition 5—El Niño An Insurers Amigo?

New Zealand

TOWER Limited provides risk insurance and wealth management products and services. The Company operates in general insurance, health & life insurance, and investments and funds management.

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Tower Ltd (TWR NZ)

Tower Limited - FY25 Preview—Good Weather, Better Result

Tower (TWR) will report a strong, largely pre-released FY25 result on 27 November 2025, following updated guidance on 12 September 2025.

Forsyth Barr

Tower Limited Westpac Partnership Supports FY27 Growth

Tower (TWR) has announced a white-label distribution partnership with Westpac NZ (WBC) to underwrite house, contents, motor, and landlord policies...

Forsyth Barr

Forsyth Barr General Insurance Digest - Edition 10 — Australasian Insurers Outperform

Whilst 2024 was one the costliest years globally for reinsurance companies, in NZ, unusually benign weather provided a favourable backdrop for the...

Forsyth Barr

Tower Limited - FY23 Updated for Final Large Event Costs

Tower (TWR) has revised its FY23 guidance and now expects underlying profit after tax to be between NZ$7m and NZ$10m, up +NZ$8m at the midpoint.

Forsyth Barr

Forsyth Barr General Insurance Digest - Edition 5—El Niño An Insurers Amigo?

The National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA) released its outlook for October to December 2023 on 29 September 2023.

Forsyth Barr

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