Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 15th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$2,170.6 million, led by industrials, information technology, and offset by health care, consumer discretionary, utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Zhongji Innolight, CATL, Moutai, Wuliangye, Longi Green, Boe Technology, China Tourism, China Petroleum And Chemical.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 15th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$2,170.6 million, led by industrials, information technology, and offset by health care, consumer discretionary, utilities.
We highlight flows for Zhongji Innolight, CATL, Moutai, Wuliangye, Longi Green, Boe Technology, China Tourism, China Petroleum And Chemical.


Northbound Flows (Sep 15th): Six Weeks of Outflows

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 114.4% as of Sep 8th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -3.9ppt week on week, led by real estate, consumer staples, communication services and offset by consumer discretionary.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Huadian Power, Huaneng Power, Shanghai Elect, China Longyuan, Aluminum Corp.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 114.4% as of Sep 8th.
The average A-H premium changed by -3.9ppt week on week, led by real estate, consumer staples, communication services and offset by consumer discretionary.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Huadian Power, Huaneng Power, Shanghai Elect, China Longyuan, Aluminum Corp.


A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 8th): Huadian Power, Huaneng Power, Shanghai Electric, China Longyuan

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>1H results were reportedly in line with preannouncement, with 1H/2Q revenue growing +29.7%/+38.8% YoY to RMB35.9bn/15.1bn and net profits changing by -1.9%/+13.8% YoY to RMB3.9bn/1.6bn, respectively.</li><li>We hold our view that near-term earnings expectation is settling, and we assert a symmetric earnings outlook for 2H, when visitation momentum to Hainan (7M23: +38% YoY) is likely to hold into the remainder of the year.</li><li>Meanwhile, efforts in upholding a disciplined pricing promotion is bearing fruit, in our view, with 2Q GPM improving 3.8pp QoQ to 32.8%. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

1H results were reportedly in line with preannouncement, with 1H/2Q revenue growing +29.7%/+38.8% YoY to RMB35.9bn/15.1bn and net profits changing by -1.9%/+13.8% YoY to RMB3.9bn/1.6bn, respectively.We hold our view that near-term earnings expectation is settling, and we assert a symmetric earnings outlook for 2H, when visitation momentum to Hainan (7M23: +38% YoY) is likely to hold into the remainder of the year.Meanwhile, efforts in upholding a disciplined pricing promotion is bearing fruit, in our view, with 2Q GPM improving 3.8pp QoQ to 32.8%. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

CTGDF (601888 CH) – 2Q in Line with Profit Alert; Subtle Recovery Ahead

Greater China Equity Long/Short Analyst

Eric Chen

Hainan Meilan International Airport / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>1H23 results missed our expectation because stronger-than-expected revenue was outweighed by surge in operating costs as company took from its parent the overall operation of Phase I and II.</li>
<li>We expect slow recovery in duty-free sales and elevated cost base will continue pressuring its bottom line in 2H23 and see possibility to return to profitability by 1H24.</li>
<li>While recent share price correction has priced in the weak outlook somehow, we can’t rule out further volatility post results. We are now neutral on the stock.</li>
</ul>


1H23 results missed our expectation because stronger-than-expected revenue was outweighed by surge in operating costs as company took from its parent the overall operation of Phase I and II.
We expect slow recovery in duty-free sales and elevated cost base will continue pressuring its bottom line in 2H23 and see possibility to return to profitability by 1H24.
While recent share price correction has priced in the weak outlook somehow, we can’t rule out further volatility post results. We are now neutral on the stock.


Meilan Airport (357 HK): Not Out of the Woods Yet

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 115.0% as of Jul 28th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 0.8ppt week on week, led by information technology, communication services, energy and offset by health care, consumer staples.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Vanke, CITIC Sec, China Pacific, BYD, CMOC, GF Sec, CICC.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 115.0% as of Jul 28th.
The average A-H premium changed by 0.8ppt week on week, led by information technology, communication services, energy and offset by health care, consumer staples.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Vanke, CITIC Sec, China Pacific, BYD, CMOC, GF Sec, CICC.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 28th): China Vanke, CITIC Sec, China Pacific, BYD, CMOC, GF Sec, CICC

China

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited engages in sales of duty free goods and tax goods. The Company sells tobacco, wine and spirits, perfume, cosmetics, fashion and accessories, watches, jewelry, food, luggage products,and other products. China Tourism Group Duty Free also engages in investment and development of tourism destination commercial complexes.

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd (601888 CH)

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China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd (601888 CH)

Northbound Flows (Sep 15th): Six Weeks of Outflows

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Zhongji Innolight, CATL, Moutai, Wuliangye, Longi...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 8th): Huadian Power, Huaneng Power, Shanghai Electric, China Longyuan

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Huadian Power, Huaneng Power, Shanghai Electric, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CTGDF (601888 CH) – 2Q in Line with Profit Alert; Subtle Recovery Ahead

1H results were reportedly in line with preannouncement, with 1H/2Q revenue growing +29.7%/+38.8% YoY to RMB35.9bn/15.1bn and net profits changing...

CMB International

Meilan Airport (357 HK): Not Out of the Woods Yet

1H23 results suggests slow recovery in duty free sales and elevated cost base will continue pressuring its bottom line and profitability probably...

Eric Chen

A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 28th): China Vanke, CITIC Sec, China Pacific, BYD, CMOC, GF Sec, CICC

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Vanke, CITIC Sec, China Pacific, BYD, CMOC, GF Sec, CICC.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)