Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 21st.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$1,012.2 million, led by information technology, financials, and offset by consumer discretionary, communication services, real estate.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for ZTE, Moutai, Zhongji Innolight, Longi Green, CATL.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 21st.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$1,012.2 million, led by information technology, financials, and offset by consumer discretionary, communication services, real estate.
We highlight flows for ZTE, Moutai, Zhongji Innolight, Longi Green, CATL.


Northbound Flows (Jul 21st): ZTE, Moutai, Zhongji Innolight, Longi Green, CATL

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 14th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$2,869.4 million, led by consumer discretionary, consumer staples, financials sectors.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Moutai, CATL, Wuliangye, China Yangtze Power, China Telecom, Inspur Electronic Information Industry, Tcl Technology, China Mobile, BYD, Haitian Flavouring, Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan).</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 14th.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$2,869.4 million, led by consumer discretionary, consumer staples, financials sectors.
We highlight flows for Moutai, CATL, Wuliangye, China Yangtze Power, China Telecom, Inspur Electronic Information Industry, Tcl Technology, China Mobile, BYD, Haitian Flavouring, Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan).


Northbound Flows (Jul 14th): Moutai, CATL, Wuliangye, Yangtze Power, China Telecom, Haitian

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>2Q pre-announced. After market close last Friday (7 July), CTGDF preannounced major financial data for its 1H23 results.</li><li>Revenue came in at RMB35.9bn, up 29.7% YoY, when net profits reported at RMB3.9bn, down 1.9% YoY.</li><li>This implies 2Q23 revenue and net profits to be RMB15.1bn and RMB1.6bn, up 38.8% and 14.3% YoY, respectively. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

2Q pre-announced. After market close last Friday (7 July), CTGDF preannounced major financial data for its 1H23 results.Revenue came in at RMB35.9bn, up 29.7% YoY, when net profits reported at RMB3.9bn, down 1.9% YoY.This implies 2Q23 revenue and net profits to be RMB15.1bn and RMB1.6bn, up 38.8% and 14.3% YoY, respectively. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

CTGDF (601888 CH) – Earnings Expectation Is Settling

Greater China Equity Long/Short Analyst

Eric Chen

<ul>
<li>CDF’s 1H23 preliminary results suggest that business recovery remains on track. Voices of bottom-fishing are getting louder as free fall in its share price already erased 50% market cap YTD.</li>
<li>We believe the dynamics have fundamentally changed compared to three years ago when CDF was the stock market darling. Investors need be aware of the anchoring effect in making decisions.</li>
<li>Moderate growth, pressured margin and contracted valuation multiple will be the new reality facing investors of the stock in our view. Wait for better entry point.</li>
</ul>


CDF’s 1H23 preliminary results suggest that business recovery remains on track. Voices of bottom-fishing are getting louder as free fall in its share price already erased 50% market cap YTD.
We believe the dynamics have fundamentally changed compared to three years ago when CDF was the stock market darling. Investors need be aware of the anchoring effect in making decisions.
Moderate growth, pressured margin and contracted valuation multiple will be the new reality facing investors of the stock in our view. Wait for better entry point.


China Tourism Duty Free Corp (601888. CH): Is Now Good Time for Bottom-Fishing?

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>Industrials, Consumer Discretionary, Information Technology led the inflows while Consumer Staples, Financials led the outflows.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Midea, Foxconn, CATL, Wuxi Apptec, Sany Heavy, China Tourism, Longi Green, Ping An, Zijin Mining, Haitian Flavoring.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
Industrials, Consumer Discretionary, Information Technology led the inflows while Consumer Staples, Financials led the outflows.
We highlight flows for Midea, Foxconn, CATL, Wuxi Apptec, Sany Heavy, China Tourism, Longi Green, Ping An, Zijin Mining, Haitian Flavoring.


Northbound Flows Monthly (June): Midea, Foxconn, CATL, Wuxi Apptec, Sany Heavy

China

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited engages in sales of duty free goods and tax goods. The Company sells tobacco, wine and spirits, perfume, cosmetics, fashion and accessories, watches, jewelry, food, luggage products,and other products. China Tourism Group Duty Free also engages in investment and development of tourism destination commercial complexes.

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd (601888 CH)

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China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd (601888 CH)

Northbound Flows (Jul 21st): ZTE, Moutai, Zhongji Innolight, Longi Green, CATL

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for ZTE, Moutai, Zhongji Innolight, Longi Green, CATL.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Jul 14th): Moutai, CATL, Wuliangye, Yangtze Power, China Telecom, Haitian

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Moutai, CATL, Wuliangye, China Yangtze Power, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CTGDF (601888 CH) – Earnings Expectation Is Settling

2Q pre-announced. After market close last Friday (7 July), CTGDF preannounced major financial data for its 1H23 results.

CMB International

China Tourism Duty Free Corp (601888. CH): Is Now Good Time for Bottom-Fishing?

Moderate growth, pressured margin and contracted valuation multiple will be the new reality facing investors of the stock in our view. Wait for...

Eric Chen

Northbound Flows Monthly (June): Midea, Foxconn, CATL, Wuxi Apptec, Sany Heavy

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for June and highlight flows for Midea, Foxconn, CATL, Wuxi Apptec, Sany Heavy, China Tourism,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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52-week Range

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