IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wcp-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36076:1" rel="noopener">WCP (WCP KS)</a>, a lithium-ion batteries separator company, has set its IPO price at KRW60,000 per share, a hefty 25-40% discount on the "desired" IPO price range of KRW80,000-100,000. </li>
<li>The target raise has declined from KRW720-900 billion (US$517-646 million) to KRW432 billion (US$310 million) due to the lower IPO price and offer shares.</li>
<li>While the final IPO price is now reasonable, the process smacks desperation and calls into question the credibility of the syndicate's forecasts. This is still an avoid.</li>
</ul>



WCP (WCP KS), a lithium-ion batteries separator company, has set its IPO price at KRW60,000 per share, a hefty 25-40% discount on the "desired" IPO price range of KRW80,000-100,000. 
The target raise has declined from KRW720-900 billion (US$517-646 million) to KRW432 billion (US$310 million) due to the lower IPO price and offer shares.
While the final IPO price is now reasonable, the process smacks desperation and calls into question the credibility of the syndicate's forecasts. This is still an avoid.


WCP IPO: Final IPO Price Set, Still an Avoid

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wcp-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36076:1" rel="noopener">WCP (WCP KS)</a>, a lithium-ion batteries separator company, is set to launch its IPO of KRW900 billion (US$692 million). </li>
<li>We last discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/wcp-ipo-updated-prospectus-solid-1h22-unchanged-and-unattractive-price-range" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:79052" rel="noopener">WCP IPO: Updated Prospectus, Solid 1H22, Unchanged and Unattractive Price Range</a>.</li>
<li>Although the de-rating of peer multiples resulted in a decline in the syndicate's intrinsic value, the IPO price range of KRW80,000-100,000 remains unchanged. The IPO price range is unattractive.</li>
</ul>



WCP (WCP KS), a lithium-ion batteries separator company, is set to launch its IPO of KRW900 billion (US$692 million). 
We last discussed the IPO in WCP IPO: Updated Prospectus, Solid 1H22, Unchanged and Unattractive Price Range.
Although the de-rating of peer multiples resulted in a decline in the syndicate's intrinsic value, the IPO price range of KRW80,000-100,000 remains unchanged. The IPO price range is unattractive.


Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>The IPO book building for WCP starts on 14 September. We have updated our earnings estimates following the company's 2Q 2022 results.</li>
<li>Our base case target price of WCP is 78,317 won per share, which is 2% lower than the low end of the IPO price range of 80,000 won.</li>
<li>To derive our target price, we used 22.4x EV/EBITDA in 2023, which is the average multiple of its peers in 2023.</li>
</ul>


The IPO book building for WCP starts on 14 September. We have updated our earnings estimates following the company's 2Q 2022 results.
Our base case target price of WCP is 78,317 won per share, which is 2% lower than the low end of the IPO price range of 80,000 won.
To derive our target price, we used 22.4x EV/EBITDA in 2023, which is the average multiple of its peers in 2023.


Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We are starting to see early signs of a potential bottom on MSCI EM (EEM-US).</li>
<li>Specifically, the EEM-US has reversed topside its 6-month downtrend. If MSCI EM has indeed bottomed, we want to be buying the leaders; that is where this report comes in.</li>
<li>Specific themes include attractive opportunities in India and Thailand, and also many in Taiwan and South Korea. Attractive Sectors include Energy, Financials, Materials, and Industrials.</li>
</ul>


We are starting to see early signs of a potential bottom on MSCI EM (EEM-US).
Specifically, the EEM-US has reversed topside its 6-month downtrend. If MSCI EM has indeed bottomed, we want to be buying the leaders; that is where this report comes in.
Specific themes include attractive opportunities in India and Thailand, and also many in Taiwan and South Korea. Attractive Sectors include Energy, Financials, Materials, and Industrials.


Finding Leadership Within Emerging Markets

iShares MSCI ACWI ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>In last week's Int'l Compass (Aug. 18) we discussed that global equities are going through a bottoming process, but that the real test will come during the eventual pullback.</li>
<li>We are getting the pullback now, but so far, there has yet to be any failed breakouts among the indexes discussed over the past month -- a positive sign.</li>
<li>Worth noting- further breakout attempts have failed on some of the leading market indexes, notably the Nasdaq 100 and India's SENSEX, but they remain well-above their breakout levels from July.</li>
</ul>


In last week's Int'l Compass (Aug. 18) we discussed that global equities are going through a bottoming process, but that the real test will come during the eventual pullback.
We are getting the pullback now, but so far, there has yet to be any failed breakouts among the indexes discussed over the past month -- a positive sign.
Worth noting- further breakout attempts have failed on some of the leading market indexes, notably the Nasdaq 100 and India's SENSEX, but they remain well-above their breakout levels from July.


Pullback Underway; Buy Ideas: Energy, Materials, Japan/India Motor Vehicles, Japan Health Care

South Korea

Posco Future M Co., Ltd. manufactures and distributes energy materials. The Company produces battery materials, advanced chemical materials, basic industrial materials, and other related products. Posco Future M also produces lime chemical and refractory products.

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Posco Future M (003670 KS)

WCP IPO: Final IPO Price Set, Still an Avoid

While the final IPO price is now reasonable, the process smacks desperation and calls into question the credibility of the syndicate's forecasts....

Arun George

WCP IPO: Valuation Uncompelling

Although the de-rating of peer multiples resulted in a decline in the syndicate's intrinsic value, the IPO price range of KRW80,000-100,000 remains...

Arun George

WCP: First Day IPO Trading Strategy

The IPO book building for WCP starts on 14 September. Our base case target price of WCP is 78,317 won per share, which is 2% lower than the low end...

Douglas Kim

Finding Leadership Within Emerging Markets

We are starting to see early signs of a potential bottom on $EEM. Specifically, the EEM has reversed topside its 6-month downtrend. If EEM has...

Vermilion Research

Pullback Underway; Buy Ideas: Energy, Materials, Japan/India Motor Vehicles, Japan Health Care

Pullback Underway; Problem: U.S. Dollar $DXY, Global 10-Yr Sovereign Yields, and Commodities All on the Rise Again; Actionable Themes: Energy,...

Vermilion Research

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