Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There could be up to 10 adds/ 29 deletes for the China global index in February. The actual number of changes will be smaller depending on the review date chosen.</li>
<li>The flow on the forecast adds varies from US$17.5m-US$175m (0.05x-15x ADV) while the flow on the forecast deletes varies from US$14.4m-US$100.4m (0.25x-22.75x ADV).</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bestechnic-shanghai-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33459:1" rel="noopener">Bestechnic Shanghai (688608 CH)</a> is a potential inclusion to multiple indices in June and there will be much larger passive flows to the stock then.</li>
</ul>


There could be up to 10 adds/ 29 deletes for the China global index in February. The actual number of changes will be smaller depending on the review date chosen.
The flow on the forecast adds varies from US$17.5m-US$175m (0.05x-15x ADV) while the flow on the forecast deletes varies from US$14.4m-US$100.4m (0.25x-22.75x ADV).

Bestechnic Shanghai (688608 CH) is a potential inclusion to multiple indices in June and there will be much larger passive flows to the stock then.


China/HK: Passive Activity Expected Later This Month

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>Industrials ($2,588 million worth of outflows), Financials ($1,109 million worth of outflows) led the outflows. </li>
<li>We highlight outflows from Moutai, CATL, Longi, Focus Media, Ping An Insurance.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
Industrials ($2,588 million worth of outflows), Financials ($1,109 million worth of outflows) led the outflows. 
We highlight outflows from Moutai, CATL, Longi, Focus Media, Ping An Insurance.


Northbound Flows Monthly (October): Three Months of Outflows

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>China SOE construction names have outperformed the index YTD on the back of the “Valuation system with China characteristics” (中特估).</li><li>While the sector retreated in May due to weak market, we think the story has yet to come to an end as the sector (H-share) is trading at only 4.5x 2023E P/E (Bloomberg consensus).</li><li>We see multiple drivers ahead: (1) Continuous market share gain of the state-owned construction companies; (2) Belt-and-Road opportunities following the enhanced China-Middle East relations; (3) Better incentives to achieve higher profitability following the revised KPI matrix for SOEs.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China SOE construction names have outperformed the index YTD on the back of the “Valuation system with China characteristics” (中特估).While the sector retreated in May due to weak market, we think the story has yet to come to an end as the sector (H-share) is trading at only 4.5x 2023E P/E (Bloomberg consensus).We see multiple drivers ahead: (1) Continuous market share gain of the state-owned construction companies; (2) Belt-and-Road opportunities following the enhanced China-Middle East relations; (3) Better incentives to achieve higher profitability following the revised KPI matrix for SOEs.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Construction Sector – Multiple drivers to achieve Valuation with China characteristics

Emerging markets PM, economist, CFA charterholder

Mark A. DeWeaver, PhD, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

China National Building Material / Equity Bottom-Up

At the end of last year, cement producer <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/184" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:184:1">China National Building Material Co Ltd (3323 HK)</a> acquired its sister company <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/12022" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12022:1">China National Materials Company Limited (1893 HK)</a> (Sinoma) via a share swap. Among other assets, the acquisition included a 39.7% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/12641" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12641:1">Sinoma International Engineering Co Ltd (600970 CH)</a>, a leading provider of cement-plant engineering and construction services. In the absence of inter-group eliminations, this company, which is accounted for as a subsidiary, would have…

At the end of last year, cement producer China National Building Material Co Ltd (3323 HK) acquired its sister company China National Materials Company Limited (1893 HK) (Sinoma) via a share swap. Among other assets, the acquisition included a 39.7% stake in Sinoma International Engineering Co Ltd (600970 CH), a leading provider of cement-plant engineering and construction services. In the absence of inter-group eliminations, this company, which is accounted for as a subsidiary, would have…

China National Materials Company / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>“One belt-one road,” supply-side structural reforms, and green development initiatives have become major growth drivers for Sinoma’s Shenzhen and Shanghai-listed subsidiaries.</li>
<li>Their businesses include cement and glass fiber production and cement-plant construction.</li>
<li>China National Building Materials will be acquiring controlling stakes in these companies at steep discounts to their market values as part of its takeover of Sinoma.</li>
</ul><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/12022" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12022:1">China National Materials Company Limited (1893 HK)</a> (Sinoma) released…


“One belt-one road,” supply-side structural reforms, and green development initiatives have become major growth drivers for Sinoma’s Shenzhen and Shanghai-listed subsidiaries.
Their businesses include cement and glass fiber production and cement-plant construction.
China National Building Materials will be acquiring controlling stakes in these companies at steep discounts to their market values as part of its takeover of Sinoma.
China National Materials Company Limited (1893 HK) (Sinoma) released…

Sinoma's Listed Subsidiaries a Bargain for CNBM

China

Sinoma International Engineering Co., Ltd. designs and provides system integration services for the construction of cement projects. The Company also provides consultation services, installation services, and equipment manufacturing and procurement services for the cement construction industry.

Sinoma International Engineering (600970 CH)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Sinoma International Engineering (600970 CH)

China/HK: Passive Activity Expected Later This Month

There could be up to 10 adds/29 deletes for China in Feb. Flow varies from US$14m-175m and impact from 0.05x-22.75x ADV. Bestechnic Shanghai is a...

Brian Freitas

Northbound Flows Monthly (October): Three Months of Outflows

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for October and highlight flows for Moutai, CATL, Longi, Focus Media, Ping An Insurance.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Construction Sector – Multiple drivers to achieve Valuation with China characteristics

China SOE construction names have outperformed the index YTD on the back of the “Valuation system with China characteristics” (中特估).

CMB International

The Sinoma Way: OBOR in Iraq

At the end of last year, cement producer China National Building Material Co Ltd (3323 HK) acquired its sister company China National Materials...

Mark A. DeWeaver, PhD, CFA

Sinoma's Listed Subsidiaries a Bargain for CNBM

“One belt-one road,” supply-side structural reforms, and green development initiatives have become major growth drivers for Sinoma’s Shenzhen and...

Mark A. DeWeaver, PhD, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)