European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos mainly tightened during 2024. Discounts to NAV: C.F.Alba, 11.8% (vs. 50.8% as of Y/E 2023); GBL, 40.9% (vs. 37.4%); Heineken Holding, 15.8% (vs. 16.7%);</li>
<li>Industrivärden C, 5.5% (vs. 5.5%); Investor B, 4.5% (vs. 12.8%); Porsche Automobile Holding, 32.2% (vs. 36.6%). Rio DLC spread tightened to 23% (vs. 24.2%).</li>
<li>What seems interesting (unchanged views): Porsche SE vs. listed assets and the Rio DLC (long RIO LN/short RIO AU).</li>
</ul>


Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos mainly tightened during 2024. Discounts to NAV: C.F.Alba, 11.8% (vs. 50.8% as of Y/E 2023); GBL, 40.9% (vs. 37.4%); Heineken Holding, 15.8% (vs. 16.7%);
Industrivärden C, 5.5% (vs. 5.5%); Investor B, 4.5% (vs. 12.8%); Porsche Automobile Holding, 32.2% (vs. 36.6%). Rio DLC spread tightened to 23% (vs. 24.2%).
What seems interesting (unchanged views): Porsche SE vs. listed assets and the Rio DLC (long RIO LN/short RIO AU).


Selected European HoldCos and DLC: 2024 Report

Breaking Down the Mining News of the Day, Money of Mine

Money of Mine

Breaking Down the Mining News of the Day

An ex-underground miner, an ex-investment banker, and an ex-equity research guy breaking down the mining news of the day. It's a bit of entertainment, information, and occasionally some alpha.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Rio doubles down on lithium investment in Rincon, with a US $2.5 billion expansion plan</li><li>BHP and Rio have historically had differing views on commodities, with examples in Potash, aluminium, and mineral sands</li><li>Rincon project aims to expand production to 60,000 tonnes per annum, with heavy reliance on DLE technology for extraction and processing</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Rio doubles down on lithium investment in Rincon, with a US $2.5 billion expansion planBHP and Rio have historically had differing views on commodities, with examples in Potash, aluminium, and mineral sandsRincon project aims to expand production to 60,000 tonnes per annum, with heavy reliance on DLE technology for extraction and processingThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

<ul><li>Rio Tinto sold 30% of its Winu project to Sumitomo for $400 million, surprising many with the valuation</li><li>Expecting a PFS in 2025 for a 10 million tonne per annum scenario for the Winu project</li><li>The partnership with Sumitomo signifies the rise of Japan and South Korea in the mining industry and may benefit Rio Tinto in terms of capital allocation and project development.</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Rio Tinto sold 30% of its Winu project to Sumitomo for $400 million, surprising many with the valuationExpecting a PFS in 2025 for a 10 million tonne per annum scenario for the Winu projectThe partnership with Sumitomo signifies the rise of Japan and South Korea in the mining industry and may benefit Rio Tinto in terms of capital allocation and project development.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

<ul>
<li>Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos mainly widened during October. Discounts to NAV: C.F.Alba, 48.7% (vs. 46.6% as of 30 September); GBL, 40.9% (vs. 40.7%);</li>
<li>Heineken Holding, 14% (14.9%); Industrivärden C, 2.4% (0.9%); Investor B, 2.8% (vs. 2.6%); Porsche Automobile Holding, 31.7% (vs. 35%). Rio DLC spread tightened to 22.5% (vs. 26%).</li>
<li>What seems interesting (unchanged views): Porsche SE vs. listed assets and the Rio DLC (long RIO LN/short RIO AU).</li>
</ul>


Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos mainly widened during October. Discounts to NAV: C.F.Alba, 48.7% (vs. 46.6% as of 30 September); GBL, 40.9% (vs. 40.7%);
Heineken Holding, 14% (14.9%); Industrivärden C, 2.4% (0.9%); Investor B, 2.8% (vs. 2.6%); Porsche Automobile Holding, 31.7% (vs. 35%). Rio DLC spread tightened to 22.5% (vs. 26%).
What seems interesting (unchanged views): Porsche SE vs. listed assets and the Rio DLC (long RIO LN/short RIO AU).


Selected European HoldCos and DLC: October'24 Report

<ul><li>Rio Tinto recommended a price of $5.85 on the US stock and $8.60 on the CDIs, totaling about AU$10 billion or US$6.7 billion, with a 90% premium to the undisturbed price</li><li>The deal is all cash and is expected to close in mid-2025, pending various approvals including shareholder and board approval</li><li>Rio Tinto's acquisition of Arcadium is seen as a countercyclical move, paying for optionality and long-term potential rather than immediate returns, reflecting a shift in their M&amp;A strategy.</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Rio Tinto recommended a price of $5.85 on the US stock and $8.60 on the CDIs, totaling about AU$10 billion or US$6.7 billion, with a 90% premium to the undisturbed priceThe deal is all cash and is expected to close in mid-2025, pending various approvals including shareholder and board approvalRio Tinto's acquisition of Arcadium is seen as a countercyclical move, paying for optionality and long-term potential rather than immediate returns, reflecting a shift in their M&amp;A strategy.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

What does Rio’s brine bet mean for spod?

Australia

Rio Tinto Limited is an international mining company.  The Company has interests in mining for aluminum, borax, coal, copper, gold, iron ore, lead, silver, tin, uranium, zinc, titanium dioxide feedstock, diamonds, talc and zircon. Dually-listed company with RIO LN.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Rio Tinto Ltd (RIO AU)

Selected European HoldCos and DLC: 2024 Report

Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos mainly tightened during 2024. What seems interesting (unchanged views): Porsche SE vs. listed assets and the...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Rio’s Stausholm makes his defining bet

Rio Tinto invests $2.5 billion in Rincon for lithium production, expanding their global presence and showcasing CEO Jakob Stausholm's leadership.

Money of Mine

Rio lights up the junior copper market

Rio Tinto sells 30% stake in WINU project to Sumitomo for US$400 million, with analysts questioning the project's valuation and potential strategic...

Money of Mine

Selected European HoldCos and DLC: October'24 Report

Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos mainly widened during October. What seems interesting (unchanged views): Porsche SE vs. listed assets and the...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

What does Rio’s brine bet mean for spod?

Rio Tinto agrees to acquire Arcadium for $6.7 billion in a cash deal, with a focus on long-term value and securing a position in the cost curve.

Money of Mine

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)