External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Expect similar volume CAGR, revenue to grow by 9/11% on YoY/three-year CAGR: Our FMCG coverage universe is expected to deliver growth of 9/11% on YoY/three-year CAGR in revenue in Q3FY23 (vs 17/10% in Q3FY22 and 8/11% in Q2FY23)</li><li>Rural demand remained tepid while some green shoots were visible at the end of the quarter</li><li>Urban demand too was not different from that seen in Q2</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Expect similar volume CAGR, revenue to grow by 9/11% on YoY/three-year CAGR: Our FMCG coverage universe is expected to deliver growth of 9/11% on YoY/three-year CAGR in revenue in Q3FY23 (vs 17/10% in Q3FY22 and 8/11% in Q2FY23)Rural demand remained tepid while some green shoots were visible at the end of the quarterUrban demand too was not different from that seen in Q2Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FMCG & Alco Bev (Q3FY23 Results Preview): Unchanged demand trend, some respite in margins

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

<ul>
<li>India's packaged and processed food segment is in limelight with leading consumer companies launching/expanding their branded staples portfolio, and recent acquisitions in the branded spice segment.</li>
<li>Reliance retail launched packaged staples and food brand Independence; a potential competition to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adani-wilmar" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34763:1" rel="noopener">Adani Wilmar</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/itc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:327:1" rel="noopener">ITC Ltd</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-consumer-products" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:258:1" rel="noopener">Tata Consumer</a> that have been expanding in this space.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dabur-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:242:1" rel="noopener">Dabur (DABUR IN)</a> had announced acquisition of a 51% stake in veteran spice brand Badshah Masala in October this year, now followed by Wipro Consumer's takeover of spice player Nirapara.</li>
</ul>


India's packaged and processed food segment is in limelight with leading consumer companies launching/expanding their branded staples portfolio, and recent acquisitions in the branded spice segment.
Reliance retail launched packaged staples and food brand Independence; a potential competition to Adani Wilmar, ITC Ltd, and Tata Consumer that have been expanding in this space.

Dabur (DABUR IN) had announced acquisition of a 51% stake in veteran spice brand Badshah Masala in October this year, now followed by Wipro Consumer's takeover of spice player Nirapara.


Spicy Hot: India Branded Staples in Limelight - Acquisitions & Fresh Forays

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>I-Tail, an OEM in the wet pet food category, aims to raise around US$600m in its Thailand IPO. It is a subsidiary of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-union-group-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:161:1" rel="noopener">Thai Union Group (TU TB)</a>  .</li>
<li>As per ITC, it was the number two pet food company in Asia and in the top ten pet food companies globally. ITC expertise lies in fish-based wet pet food.</li>
<li>In our previous notes, we have looked at various aspects of the deal. In this note, we talk about its 3Q22 updates and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


I-Tail, an OEM in the wet pet food category, aims to raise around US$600m in its Thailand IPO. It is a subsidiary of Thai Union Group (TU TB)  .
As per ITC, it was the number two pet food company in Asia and in the top ten pet food companies globally. ITC expertise lies in fish-based wet pet food.
In our previous notes, we have looked at various aspects of the deal. In this note, we talk about its 3Q22 updates and run the deal through our ECM framework.


I-Tail Corporation IPO - Blowout 3Q22, Revised Earnings, Updated Thoughts on Valuation

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI ACWI ex US ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The bear market rally we have discussed since our Sept. 29 Int'l Compass has managed to surpass our price targets, which were the YTD downtrends on the ACWX-US and EFA-US.</li>
<li>As you will see below, many countries are reversing topside their 6.5-month to YTD downtrends.</li>
<li>As a result of these bullish reversals and breakdowns on the US dollar (DXY) and 10-year Treasury yield, we are upgrading our outlook to neutral. Buy on pullbacks.</li>
</ul>


The bear market rally we have discussed since our Sept. 29 Int'l Compass has managed to surpass our price targets, which were the YTD downtrends on the ACWX-US and EFA-US.
As you will see below, many countries are reversing topside their 6.5-month to YTD downtrends.
As a result of these bullish reversals and breakdowns on the US dollar (DXY) and 10-year Treasury yield, we are upgrading our outlook to neutral. Buy on pullbacks.


Positive Character Changes; MSCI ACWI Ex-US, EAFE, STOXX 50, Countless Others Reversing Downtrends

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bikaji-foods-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36502:1" rel="noopener">Bikaji Foods (BIKAJI IN)</a>, an ethnic snacks company, is looking to raise approximately US$107m in its India IPO.</li>
<li>Its product range includes six principal categories: bhujia, namkeen, packaged sweets, papad, western snacks as well as other snacks which primarily include gift packs, frozen food, mathri range and cookies.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at the company's past performance.</li>
</ul>



Bikaji Foods (BIKAJI IN), an ethnic snacks company, is looking to raise approximately US$107m in its India IPO.
Its product range includes six principal categories: bhujia, namkeen, packaged sweets, papad, western snacks as well as other snacks which primarily include gift packs, frozen food, mathri range and cookies.
In this note, we look at the company's past performance.


Bikaji Foods International IPO - Spicy Snacks

India

Nestle India Ltd. manufactures brand name milk products and other food products. The Company's products include Everyday dairy whitener, milk powder and ghee, Milkmaid sweetened condensed milk and Cerelac weaning foods. Nestle's beverages include Nescafe and Sunrise coffee and Nesfit enriched glucose powder. Nestle also manufactures Maggi noodles, soups and sauces.

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Nestle India (NEST IN)

FMCG & Alco Bev (Q3FY23 Results Preview): Unchanged demand trend, some respite in margins

Our FMCG coverage universe is expected to deliver growth of 9/11% on YoY/three-year CAGR in revenue in Q3FY23 (vs 17/10% in Q3FY22 and 8/11% in...

HDFC Securities

Spicy Hot: India Branded Staples in Limelight - Acquisitions & Fresh Forays

Leading consumer companies launching/expanding branded staples portfolios, and recent acquisitions in branded spice segment turn the spotlight on...

Devi Subhakesan

I-Tail Corporation IPO - Blowout 3Q22, Revised Earnings, Updated Thoughts on Valuation

I-Tail, an OEM in the wet pet food category, aims to raise around US$600m in its Thailand IPO. It is a subsidiary of Thai Union Group. In this...

Sumeet Singh

Positive Character Changes; MSCI ACWI Ex-US, EAFE, STOXX 50, Countless Others Reversing Downtrends

MSCI ACWI ex-US $ACWX and EAFE $EFA reversing their YTD downtrends, with countless other countries doing the same. This is a clear character...

Vermilion Research

Bikaji Foods International IPO - Spicy Snacks

Bikaji Foods (BIKAJI IN), an ethnic snacks company, is looking to raise approximately US$107m in its India IPO. In this note, we look at the...

Sumeet Singh

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