Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Q1 FY25 revenue fell 20% YoY, but enterprise SSD strength kept EBITDA positive and margins above trough levels.</li>
<li>Management guides for a strong sequential rebound in Q2–Q3 on AI-driven enterprise demand and normalized PC/smartphone inventories.</li>
<li>Kioxia trades at ~3–4× EV/EBITDA vs peers on 9–12×, despite higher NAND margins, with the gap driven by cyclicality, tech lag, and shareholder overhang.</li>
</ul>


Q1 FY25 revenue fell 20% YoY, but enterprise SSD strength kept EBITDA positive and margins above trough levels.
Management guides for a strong sequential rebound in Q2–Q3 on AI-driven enterprise demand and normalized PC/smartphone inventories.
Kioxia trades at ~3–4× EV/EBITDA vs peers on 9–12×, despite higher NAND margins, with the gap driven by cyclicality, tech lag, and shareholder overhang.


Kioxia (285A JP): Undervalued NAND Pure-Play Levered to AI-Driven Enterprise SSD Growth

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Montage Technology   / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/montage-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28236:1" rel="noopener">Montage Technology (688008 CH)</a> (MT), a provider of memory interface chips and interconnect chips, aims to raise around US$1bn in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>MT’s product portfolio, mainly comprises memory interface chips and interconnect chips, addresses interconnect bottlenecks while enhancing data rate/bandwidth, reliability, and power efficiency, as per the company.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.</li>
</ul>



Montage Technology (688008 CH) (MT), a provider of memory interface chips and interconnect chips, aims to raise around US$1bn in its H-share listing.
MT’s product portfolio, mainly comprises memory interface chips and interconnect chips, addresses interconnect bottlenecks while enhancing data rate/bandwidth, reliability, and power efficiency, as per the company.
In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.


Montage Technology A/H Listing - Fast Growth but Doesn’t Need the Cash, Delisted Once

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>According to Reuters, the US government may be interested in acquiring equity stakes in Samsung Electronics and TSMC in exchange for CHIPS and Science Act grants.</li>
<li>The US government is exploring ways to take equity stakes in these two Asian tech giants that have been expanding their semiconductor facilities in the United States.</li>
<li>If the US government decides to invest $10 billion each in Samsung Electronics and TSMC, they would represent about 3% and 1% of Samsung Electronics and TSMC's market caps, respectively. </li>
</ul>


According to Reuters, the US government may be interested in acquiring equity stakes in Samsung Electronics and TSMC in exchange for CHIPS and Science Act grants.
The US government is exploring ways to take equity stakes in these two Asian tech giants that have been expanding their semiconductor facilities in the United States.
If the US government decides to invest $10 billion each in Samsung Electronics and TSMC, they would represent about 3% and 1% of Samsung Electronics and TSMC's market caps, respectively. 


US Government May Acquire Equity Stakes in Samsung Electronics and TSMC

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>Samsung’s playing its old game—sacrificing margins to shake rivals—aiming to disrupt DRAM and win HBM4, assuming it clears NVIDIA’s HBM3E qual test soon.</li>
<li>Local intel says no official word from Samsung yet, but the street thinks qual’s done—hence Samsung’s bold HBM3E tone and oversupply warning on the call.</li>
<li>There’s urgency—Samsung’s undercutting Hynix now to stop them from reinvesting cash into DRAM fab expansion, a playbook Samsung once dominated with.</li>
</ul>


Samsung’s playing its old game—sacrificing margins to shake rivals—aiming to disrupt DRAM and win HBM4, assuming it clears NVIDIA’s HBM3E qual test soon.
Local intel says no official word from Samsung yet, but the street thinks qual’s done—hence Samsung’s bold HBM3E tone and oversupply warning on the call.
There’s urgency—Samsung’s undercutting Hynix now to stop them from reinvesting cash into DRAM fab expansion, a playbook Samsung once dominated with.


Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

<ul>
<li>OP pre-announced, the details aren’t inspiring. Margins decline in TV, Semi. Only Smartphone is resilient. 2H25 demand outlook is weak for TV, Smartphone.</li>
<li>Confident tone on HBM growth, qualifications, ASP increase. Several contradictions: Samsung endorses theory of HBM price pressure (how’s that positive?); HBM3E is already 80% of HBM revenue (where’s the upside?)</li>
<li>Consensus is revising up slowly, stock is going up sharply. This assumes a large turnaround in memory / HBM / Foundry. </li>
</ul>


OP pre-announced, the details aren’t inspiring. Margins decline in TV, Semi. Only Smartphone is resilient. 2H25 demand outlook is weak for TV, Smartphone.
Confident tone on HBM growth, qualifications, ASP increase. Several contradictions: Samsung endorses theory of HBM price pressure (how’s that positive?); HBM3E is already 80% of HBM revenue (where’s the upside?)
Consensus is revising up slowly, stock is going up sharply. This assumes a large turnaround in memory / HBM / Foundry. 


Samsung 2Q25: Poor Quarter, Poor Outlook for 2H25, Management Bullish on HBM / Foundry Catch Up

United States

Micron Technology, Inc., through its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets dynamic random access memory chips (DRAMs), very fast static random access memory chips (SRAMs), Flash Memory, other semiconductor components, and memory modules.

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Micron Technology (MU US)

Kioxia (285A JP): Undervalued NAND Pure-Play Levered to AI-Driven Enterprise SSD Growth

Management anticipates a rebound in Q2–Q3 due to AI-driven demand and normalized inventories, but the stock trades at a discount to peers due to...

Rahul Jain

Montage Technology A/H Listing - Fast Growth but Doesn’t Need the Cash, Delisted Once

Montage Technology (688008 CH), a provider of memory interface and interconnect chips, aims to raise around US$1bn in its H-share listing. In this...

Sumeet Singh

US Government May Acquire Equity Stakes in Samsung Electronics and TSMC

According to Reuters, the US government may be interested in acquiring equity stakes in Samsung Electronics and TSMC in exchange for CHIPS and...

Douglas Kim

Inside Samsung’s HBM3E Chicken Game

This post dives into Samsung’s HBM3E chicken game—a high-stakes move to disrupt margins and reclaim market share ahead of the HBM4 shift.

Sanghyun Park

Samsung 2Q25: Poor Quarter, Poor Outlook for 2H25, Management Bullish on HBM / Foundry Catch Up

Samsung poor 2Q, poor 2H outlook. Optimism on HBM growth and foundry catch up. Consensus expects that, stock trading at average PEx

Nicolas Baratte

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