Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>On 19 April, the US CDC stated that the national mask requirement on public transportation is no longer in effect in the United States.</li>
<li><strong>The CDC lifting the mask mandate is a key catalyst and other major countries are likely to follow the US in the coming months. </strong></li>
<li><em>Will the world likely to become more like Shanghai and enforce even greater lockdown policies or will they become more like the US and drop social distancing and mask mandates?  </em></li>
</ul>


On 19 April, the US CDC stated that the national mask requirement on public transportation is no longer in effect in the United States.
The CDC lifting the mask mandate is a key catalyst and other major countries are likely to follow the US in the coming months. 
Will the world likely to become more like Shanghai and enforce even greater lockdown policies or will they become more like the US and drop social distancing and mask mandates?  


CDC Ends Public Transportation Mask Mandate & Will the World Follow Shanghai or Vice Versa?

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss 19 value oriented stocks in KOSPI200 that have been big outperformers YTD but whose share prices have risen less than 100% from 3/20/2020 to 1/25/2022.</li>
<li>Among the 19 stocks in this list, 32% are financials (6 companies) and 16% are F&amp;B (3 companies).</li>
<li>These 19 value-oriented stocks could continue to outperform the market in the next few weeks due to rising inflation, geopolitical uncertainties, and uncertainties regarding how the COVID-19 narrative will end.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss 19 value oriented stocks in KOSPI200 that have been big outperformers YTD but whose share prices have risen less than 100% from 3/20/2020 to 1/25/2022.
Among the 19 stocks in this list, 32% are financials (6 companies) and 16% are F&amp;B (3 companies).
These 19 value-oriented stocks could continue to outperform the market in the next few weeks due to rising inflation, geopolitical uncertainties, and uncertainties regarding how the COVID-19 narrative will end.


Outperforming Value Stocks With Contrarian Qualities in KOSPI200

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Del Monte Philippines / Equity Capital Markets

<div>
<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/del-monte-philippines-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26988:1" rel="noopener">Del Monte Philippines (1575316D PM)</a>/DMPI is a leading producer, distributor and marketer of premium quality, healthy food and beverage products. It is a market leader in the packaged pineapple and mixed fruit, ready-to-drink juices (excluding stand-up-pouches), tomato sauce and spaghetti sauce categories in the Philippines. DMPI has the rights to the <em>Del Monte</em> trademark for the Philippines for processed products and also sells products under the brands of <em>S&amp;W, Contadina</em> and <em>Today’s</em>.</p>
<p>The parent company is <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/del-monte-pacific-ltd-5951cd46-129c-41bb-8eb2-58654da08425" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22651:1" rel="noopener">Del Monte Pacific (DELM PM)</a> which holds 87.0% of outstanding shares. Del Monte Pacific had previously tried to list DMPI on the PSE in 2018 by selling a 20% stake to raise up to $324 million at the maximum offer price of PHP29.88 per share but deferred the IPO due to market volatility.</p>
</div><div><p>Currently, DMPI is pre-marketing for an IPO to raise up to PHP44 billion ($0.9 billion) at the maximum offer price of PHP54.80. The IPO price range, which is generally lower than the maximum IPO price, will be set during the book building process. The pricing date is 12 August and the offer period runs from 16 to 20 August. </p></div><div><div><div class="content-highlight"><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/del-monte-philippines-ipo-initiation-tempting-fruit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:54769" rel="noopener">Del Monte Philippines IPO Initiation: Tempting Fruit</a>, we opined that DMPI is a play on the healthy packaged and convenient packaged food and beverage categories that benefit from long-term secular tailwinds in the Philippines. DMPI’s financial track record shows it has been able to leverage its market-leading position to combine solid top-line growth with improving margins and cash generation. We concluded that DMPI’s fundamentals are attractive. In this note, we present our forecasts and take the first look at DMPI's potential valuation. </p></div></div></div>


Del Monte Philippines (1575316D PM)/DMPI is a leading producer, distributor and marketer of premium quality, healthy food and beverage products. It is a market leader in the packaged pineapple and mixed fruit, ready-to-drink juices (excluding stand-up-pouches), tomato sauce and spaghetti sauce categories in the Philippines. DMPI has the rights to the Del Monte trademark for the Philippines for processed products and also sells products under the brands of S&amp;W, Contadina and Today’s.
The parent company is Del Monte Pacific (DELM PM) which holds 87.0% of outstanding shares. Del Monte Pacific had previously tried to list DMPI on the PSE in 2018 by selling a 20% stake to raise up to $324 million at the maximum offer price of PHP29.88 per share but deferred the IPO due to market volatility.
Currently, DMPI is pre-marketing for an IPO to raise up to PHP44 billion ($0.9 billion) at the maximum offer price of PHP54.80. The IPO price range, which is generally lower than the maximum IPO price, will be set during the book building process. The pricing date is 12 August and the offer period runs from 16 to 20 August. In Del Monte Philippines IPO Initiation: Tempting Fruit, we opined that DMPI is a play on the healthy packaged and convenient packaged food and beverage categories that benefit from long-term secular tailwinds in the Philippines. DMPI’s financial track record shows it has been able to leverage its market-leading position to combine solid top-line growth with improving margins and cash generation. We concluded that DMPI’s fundamentals are attractive. In this note, we present our forecasts and take the first look at DMPI's potential valuation. 

Del Monte Philippines IPO: Valuation First-Look

<div>
<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/monde-nissin-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32188:1" rel="noopener">Monde Nissin Corp (0191881D PM)</a> is a leading food manufacturer in the Philippines with flagship brands such as <em>Lucky Me!</em> for instant noodles and <em>Quorn</em> for meat alternative products. Monde Nissin ranked first in retail sales value in the Philippines with its instant noodles, biscuits, oyster sauce and yoghurt drinks in 2020, according to Nielsen.</p>
<p>Monde Nissin shares will begin trading on the PSE on 1 June and will be the largest listing on the PSE. The IPO received strong investor demand which included a high profile line-up of cornerstone investors. The cornerstone shares represent 67.1% of the offer shares. The eleven cornerstone investors are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aia-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14895:1" rel="noopener">AIA Group Ltd (1299 HK)</a>, Stichting Depositary APG Emerging Markets Equity Pool (Dutch pension funds), Avanda Investment Management, Capital Group, Eastspring Investments, FIL Investment, GIC, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goldman-sachs-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:785:1" rel="noopener">Goldman Sachs Group (GS US)</a>, M&amp;G Investment Management, NS Partners and RWC Asset Management.</p>
</div><div><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/monde-nissin-ipo-initiation-instant-karma" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:49745" rel="noopener">Monde Nissin IPO Initiation: Instant Karma</a>, we opined that Monde Nissin’s financial track record shows it has been able to combine modest top-line growth with improving margins and cash generation. We concluded that Monde Nissin’s fundamentals are attractive. In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/monde-nissin-ipo-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:51224" rel="noopener">Monde Nissin IPO: Valuation Insights</a>, we noted that the IPO price range is fair.</p></div><div>
<div class="content-highlight"><p>Our base-case DCF derived price target is PHP13.72 per share and our DCF sensitivity shows potential upside to the IPO price. Notably, our SoTP valuation of PHP15.90 is 13% above our previous SoTP valuation largely due to the significant re-rating of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beyond-meat-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28065:1" rel="noopener">Beyond Meat (BYND US)</a>. Since the announcement of the final IPO price on 5 May, Beyond Meat's shares have re-rated +22%.</p></div>
<p></p>
</div>


Monde Nissin Corp (0191881D PM) is a leading food manufacturer in the Philippines with flagship brands such as Lucky Me! for instant noodles and Quorn for meat alternative products. Monde Nissin ranked first in retail sales value in the Philippines with its instant noodles, biscuits, oyster sauce and yoghurt drinks in 2020, according to Nielsen.
Monde Nissin shares will begin trading on the PSE on 1 June and will be the largest listing on the PSE. The IPO received strong investor demand which included a high profile line-up of cornerstone investors. The cornerstone shares represent 67.1% of the offer shares. The eleven cornerstone investors are AIA Group Ltd (1299 HK), Stichting Depositary APG Emerging Markets Equity Pool (Dutch pension funds), Avanda Investment Management, Capital Group, Eastspring Investments, FIL Investment, GIC, Goldman Sachs Group (GS US), M&amp;G Investment Management, NS Partners and RWC Asset Management.
In Monde Nissin IPO Initiation: Instant Karma, we opined that Monde Nissin’s financial track record shows it has been able to combine modest top-line growth with improving margins and cash generation. We concluded that Monde Nissin’s fundamentals are attractive. In Monde Nissin IPO: Valuation Insights, we noted that the IPO price range is fair.
Our base-case DCF derived price target is PHP13.72 per share and our DCF sensitivity shows potential upside to the IPO price. Notably, our SoTP valuation of PHP15.90 is 13% above our previous SoTP valuation largely due to the significant re-rating of Beyond Meat (BYND US). Since the announcement of the final IPO price on 5 May, Beyond Meat's shares have re-rated +22%.



Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<div><p>Monde Nissin (MNC), a food manufacturer in the Philippines, aims to raise around US$1bn in its Philippines IPO.</p></div><div><p>It has two main businesses: Asia-Pacific Branded Food and Beverage Business (BFB), which sells instant noodles, biscuits and other products, and meat alternative (MA) business which includes Quorn and Cauldron meat alternatives brands.</p></div><div><p>MNC has a high market share in the Philippines in the instant noodles and biscuits segment along with a few other categories as well. Quorn as well has a strong lead over its next largest peers in the Chicken alternative meat segment in the grocery channel. </p></div><div>
<p>In our previous notes, </p>
<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/monde-nissin-pre-ipo-the-positives-high-market-share" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - The Positives - High Market Share</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/monde-nissin-pre-ipo-the-negatives-high-debt-div-payments-floundering-ma" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - The Negatives - High Debt, Div Payments, Floundering MA</a> we spoke about the company background and its past performance.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/monde-nissin-pre-ipo-peer-comparison-for-food-business" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison for Food Business</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/monde-nissin-pre-ipo-peer-comparison-for-meat-alternative-business" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison for Meat Alternative Business</a> we compared the two business with their regional and global peers.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/monde-nissin-pre-ipo-thoughts-on-valuation" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/monde-nissin-pre-ipo-not-cheap-but-sensible" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - Not Cheap but Sensible</a> we discussed our thoughts on valuation. </li>
</ul>
</div><div><p>In this note, we’ll talk about the final pricing and other dynamics.</p></div>

Monde Nissin (MNC), a food manufacturer in the Philippines, aims to raise around US$1bn in its Philippines IPO.It has two main businesses: Asia-Pacific Branded Food and Beverage Business (BFB), which sells instant noodles, biscuits and other products, and meat alternative (MA) business which includes Quorn and Cauldron meat alternatives brands.MNC has a high market share in the Philippines in the instant noodles and biscuits segment along with a few other categories as well. Quorn as well has a strong lead over its next largest peers in the Chicken alternative meat segment in the grocery channel. 
In our previous notes, 


Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - The Positives - High Market Share, and Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - The Negatives - High Debt, Div Payments, Floundering MA we spoke about the company background and its past performance.
In Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison for Food Business and Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison for Meat Alternative Business we compared the two business with their regional and global peers.
In Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation and Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - Not Cheap but Sensible we discussed our thoughts on valuation. 

In this note, we’ll talk about the final pricing and other dynamics.

Monde Nissin IPO - Might Not Be a High Flyer but Worth the Ride, Quorn Tastes Good

South Korea

Nongshim Co., Ltd. manufactures, and markets instant noodles, snacks, and beverages.  The Company also produces refined palm oil and food ingredients.

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Nongshim Co Ltd (004370 KS)

CDC Ends Public Transportation Mask Mandate & Will the World Follow Shanghai or Vice Versa?

The CDC lifting the mask mandate is a key catalyst and other major countries are likely to follow the US in the coming months.

Douglas Kim

Outperforming Value Stocks With Contrarian Qualities in KOSPI200

In this insight, we discuss 19 value oriented stocks in KOSPI200 that have been big outperformers YTD but whose share prices have risen less than...

Douglas Kim

Del Monte Philippines IPO: Valuation First-Look

DMPI is pre-marketing for an IPO to raise up to $0.9 billion at the maximum offer price of PHP54.80. In this note, we present our forecasts and...

Arun George

Monde Nissin IPO: Trading Debut

Monde Nissin shares will begin trading on the PSE on 1 June. Our SoTP valuation of PHP15.90 is 13% higher than our previous valuation due to Beyond...

Arun George

Monde Nissin IPO - Might Not Be a High Flyer but Worth the Ride, Quorn Tastes Good

Monde Nissin aims to raise around US$1bn in its Philippines IPO. It has two main businesses: Food and Beverage, which sells instant noodles, and...

Sumeet Singh

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