HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Even if the biopharmaceutical enterprises become gradually mature in each part of the development process, they still have to face the final test - the commercialization.</li>
<li>If compare BeiGene’s product revenue from 2017 to 2021Q3 and the related investment during the same period, the situation was not satisfactory. The internationalization may also not meet the expectation.</li>
<li>We hope that the IPO in the SSE STAR Market would not be "the last hurrah" for BeiGene, because what BeiGene's future performance represents means a lot.</li>
</ul>


Even if the biopharmaceutical enterprises become gradually mature in each part of the development process, they still have to face the final test - the commercialization.
If compare BeiGene’s product revenue from 2017 to 2021Q3 and the related investment during the same period, the situation was not satisfactory. The internationalization may also not meet the expectation.
We hope that the IPO in the SSE STAR Market would not be "the last hurrah" for BeiGene, because what BeiGene's future performance represents means a lot.


Pre-IPO BeiGene Ltd - The Future Performance Means a Lot

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We reviewed the 2021 performance and summarized the 2022 outlook for China healthcare sector.</li>
<li>We listed the 2022 high conviction ideas and mainly analyzed the industry characteristics, the business, the core competitiveness, the forecast and the concerns of related companies.</li>
<li>Overall, there are still good investment opportunities in China healthcare industry in 2022.</li>
</ul>


We reviewed the 2021 performance and summarized the 2022 outlook for China healthcare sector.
We listed the 2022 high conviction ideas and mainly analyzed the industry characteristics, the business, the core competitiveness, the forecast and the concerns of related companies.
Overall, there are still good investment opportunities in China healthcare industry in 2022.


2022 High Conviction (China Healthcare) - Seek the Relative Certainties Out of the Uncertainties

Equity Bottom-Up

Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the logic and the potential impact of the deal with CStone for CS1002 as well as the accounting estimate change related to R&amp;D spending.</li>
<li>There could be some share price rebound due to the short-term catalyst, and investors could choose to take advantage of it.</li>
<li>However, Hengrui has not been in its best time yet, and the Company still needs time for rebalancing. So, we remain conservative about the outlook at the current stage.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the logic and the potential impact of the deal with CStone for CS1002 as well as the accounting estimate change related to R&amp;D spending.
There could be some share price rebound due to the short-term catalyst, and investors could choose to take advantage of it.
However, Hengrui has not been in its best time yet, and the Company still needs time for rebalancing. So, we remain conservative about the outlook at the current stage.


Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276.CH)-The Deal with Cstone,the Accounting Estimate Change and Outlook

Innovent Biologics Inc / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the 2021 national medical insurance negotiation and the related outlook of Innovent’s PD-1. </li>
<li>The concerns are still there. For example, to what extent the industrial structure of these new layout can show the development potential of the Company in the future? </li>
<li>Investors could choose to take advantage of the positive momentum in the short term, but are recommended to “reconsider” in terms of the long-term outlook.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the 2021 national medical insurance negotiation and the related outlook of Innovent’s PD-1. 
The concerns are still there. For example, to what extent the industrial structure of these new layout can show the development potential of the Company in the future? 
Investors could choose to take advantage of the positive momentum in the short term, but are recommended to “reconsider” in terms of the long-term outlook.


Innovent Biologics Inc (1801.HK) - The PD-1 Outlook and Other Concerns

<ul>
<li>While the final results of 2021 national medical insurance negotiation have yet to be announced, here are what's circulating in the market.</li>
<li>The centralized procurement on spring coil in Hebei province would start soon, which means that the centralized procurement in the field of neuro-intervention in China has officially begun.</li>
<li>There is a phenomenon of "valuation upside down" in the primary and secondary market of healthcare investment, so we recommend investors to be more cautious and rational.</li>
</ul>


While the final results of 2021 national medical insurance negotiation have yet to be announced, here are what's circulating in the market.
The centralized procurement on spring coil in Hebei province would start soon, which means that the centralized procurement in the field of neuro-intervention in China has officially begun.
There is a phenomenon of "valuation upside down" in the primary and secondary market of healthcare investment, so we recommend investors to be more cautious and rational.


China Healthcare Weekly (Nov.12)-Medical Insurance Negotiation,Spring Coil VBP,Valuation Upside Down

China

Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and markets a variety of medicines and medicine packing materials. The Company's products include anti-tumor medicines, pain-killers, anti-infection medicines, aluminum foil, and other related products.

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Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH)

Pre-IPO BeiGene Ltd - The Future Performance Means a Lot

The article analyzed the commercialization performance vs the investment,the concerns on internationalization based on license-out mode and the...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

2022 High Conviction (China Healthcare) - Seek the Relative Certainties Out of the Uncertainties

The article analyzed the 2021 review and 2022 high conviction ideas, including the industry characteristics, the business, the core...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang