HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The 11th national VBP has optimized the selection of price difference control "anchor points", which is an important signal, implying that future VBP will follow the general direction of “anti-involution”.</li>
<li>As long as there’s no significant difference in pipeline data, buyers are more concerned about the speed of R&amp;D progress and may not necessarily dwell on potential advantages and disadvantages.</li>
<li>Hengrui's innovative drug revenue was slightly lower-than-expected. The Company's 2025 employee stock ownership plan has lowered the compound growth target for innovative drugs from 30% to 25%.</li>
</ul>


The 11th national VBP has optimized the selection of price difference control "anchor points", which is an important signal, implying that future VBP will follow the general direction of “anti-involution”.
As long as there’s no significant difference in pipeline data, buyers are more concerned about the speed of R&amp;D progress and may not necessarily dwell on potential advantages and disadvantages.
Hengrui's innovative drug revenue was slightly lower-than-expected. The Company's 2025 employee stock ownership plan has lowered the compound growth target for innovative drugs from 30% to 25%.


China Healthcare Weekly (Oct.12) - 11th National VBP, Future BD Trend, Hengrui Is Facing Headwinds

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhen-mindray-bio-medic-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28017:1" rel="noopener">Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics (300760 CH)</a> (SMBE), a provider of medical devices, is looking to raise about US$2bn in its upcoming H-share IPO</li>
<li>SMBE is a diversified global medical device enterprise with its products spanning In Vitro Diagnostics (IVD), patient monitoring and life support, medical imaging, along with an emerging business portfolio.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.</li>
</ul>



Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics (300760 CH) (SMBE), a provider of medical devices, is looking to raise about US$2bn in its upcoming H-share IPO
SMBE is a diversified global medical device enterprise with its products spanning In Vitro Diagnostics (IVD), patient monitoring and life support, medical imaging, along with an emerging business portfolio.
In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.


Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical A/H Listing-Strong Track Record but Has Been Suffering Lately

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-hengrui-medicine-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14128:1" rel="noopener">Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH)</a> received conditional marketing approval for its self-developed Class 1 innovative drug, Trastuzumab Rezetecan for Injection (SHR-A1811).</li>
<li>In 1Q25, Jiangsu Hengrui reported revenue growth of 20% YoY to RMB 7.2B. Innovative drugs and Licensing should help keep this momentum in near future.</li>
<li>The near-term trigger for the stock would be a further marketing approval from the US FDA.</li>
</ul>



Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH) received conditional marketing approval for its self-developed Class 1 innovative drug, Trastuzumab Rezetecan for Injection (SHR-A1811).
In 1Q25, Jiangsu Hengrui reported revenue growth of 20% YoY to RMB 7.2B. Innovative drugs and Licensing should help keep this momentum in near future.
The near-term trigger for the stock would be a further marketing approval from the US FDA.


Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH): ADC Drug Approval Presents Long-Term Opportunity

Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Trump signed an executive order aimed at lowering prescription drug prices in the US, but the specific implementation may encounter obstacles. This is good news for China's innovative drug assets. </li>
<li>Under tariff/trade war, as long as the US does not issue any bill proposing to suspend the technology exchange, licensing-out business model of China biotech will not be substantially affected.</li>
<li>Hengrui's IPO in Hong Kong is not attractive from a fundamental perspective. However, the recent strong performance of Hengrui's A-share has lifted investors' sentiment, making them "interested" in this IPO.</li>
</ul>


Trump signed an executive order aimed at lowering prescription drug prices in the US, but the specific implementation may encounter obstacles. This is good news for China's innovative drug assets. 
Under tariff/trade war, as long as the US does not issue any bill proposing to suspend the technology exchange, licensing-out business model of China biotech will not be substantially affected.
Hengrui's IPO in Hong Kong is not attractive from a fundamental perspective. However, the recent strong performance of Hengrui's A-share has lifted investors' sentiment, making them "interested" in this IPO.


China Healthcare Weekly (May.18) - Trump to Lower US Drug Prices, Thoughts on Hengrui's IPO Pricing

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>As forecast, there will be 3 constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-china-large-cap-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:766:1" rel="noopener">iShares China Large-Cap (FXI US)</a> at the close of trading on 19 December.</li>
<li>Two of the inclusions will also have inflows from the FGlobal Index at the same time, while the third is an <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI INDEX</a> add at the close tomorrow.</li>
<li>The HA premiums for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-technology-catl-co-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45179:1" rel="noopener">CATL (3750 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-hengrui-pharmaceuticals-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44224:1" rel="noopener">Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals (1276 HK)</a> dropped prior to lock-up expiry and there could be a short-term premium expansion closer to index/ETF inclusion.</li>
</ul>


As forecast, there will be 3 constituent changes for the iShares China Large-Cap (FXI US) at the close of trading on 19 December.
Two of the inclusions will also have inflows from the FGlobal Index at the same time, while the third is an HSCEI INDEX add at the close tomorrow.
The HA premiums for CATL (3750 HK) and Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals (1276 HK) dropped prior to lock-up expiry and there could be a short-term premium expansion closer to index/ETF inclusion.


FXI Rebalance: 3 Changes as H/A Premium Trades Back in Focus

China

Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and markets a variety of medicines and medicine packing materials. The Company's products include anti-tumor medicines, pain-killers, anti-infection medicines, aluminum foil, and other related products.

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Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH)

China Healthcare Weekly (Oct.12) - 11th National VBP, Future BD Trend, Hengrui Is Facing Headwinds

The 11th national VBP signals a shift towards "anti-involution". We shared views on licensing cooperation trend. Due to declining innovative drug...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical A/H Listing-Strong Track Record but Has Been Suffering Lately

Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics (300760 CH) (SMBE), a provider of medical devices, is looking to raise about US$2bn in its upcoming H...

Sumeet Singh