Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the June rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI2 INDEX</a> ends 30 April. The KRX will announce the changes in May with implementation at the close on 9 June.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-energy-solution" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33464:1" rel="noopener">LG Energy Solution (LGENERGY KS)</a> could get Fast Entry to the KOSPI200 Index in March. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-engineering-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33008:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Engineering Co Ltd (HEC KS)</a> needs a price jump to get Fast Entry.</li>
<li>We see 6 potential changes to the KOSPI200 in June; most of these are high probability. The potential adds are already outperforming the potential deletes - there should be more.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the June rebalance of the KOSPI2 INDEX ends 30 April. The KRX will announce the changes in May with implementation at the close on 9 June.

LG Energy Solution (LGENERGY KS) could get Fast Entry to the KOSPI200 Index in March. Hyundai Engineering Co Ltd (HEC KS) needs a price jump to get Fast Entry.
We see 6 potential changes to the KOSPI200 in June; most of these are high probability. The potential adds are already outperforming the potential deletes - there should be more.


KOSPI200 June Index Rebalance Preview: High Probability Adds/Deletes

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<h2>Rebalancing results</h2><p>The review period for the KOSPI 200 December rebalancing ended on October 29. Below are the results of applying the screening criteria based on the average daily market cap of the review period (May 3 to October 29).</p><section class="figure"><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/239/758/original/Screen+Shot+2021-11-04+at+7.22.44+PM.png?1636068186" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="239758"></figure></section><ul>
<li><strong>As a result of regular rebalancing, we can see four adds and four deletes.</strong></li>
<li><strong>In addition, Hyundai Heavy Industries and Kakao Pay are almost 100% likely to join the KOSPI 200 through Fast Entry. The joining date of both will be December 10, the same date as the regular rebalancing.</strong></li>
<li><strong>The stocks that will leave the KOSPI 200 for HHI and Kakao Pay will be Nexen Tire and Lotte Himart (the stocks with the lowest average daily market cap in the previous review period).</strong></li>
</ul>
<h2>Passive impact</h2>
<p>The following is a passive impact assuming KOSPI 200 tracking funds at ₩80T, including both local pensions and variable insurance index funds in addition to ETFs/index funds.</p>
<div class="content-highlight"><p><strong>Compared to the absolute size of the passive impact, Meritz Financial Group (add) and Nexen Tire (delete) are likely to face relatively large flow effects.</strong></p></div>
<section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/239/760/original/Screen+Shot+2021-11-04+at+7.29.44+PM.png?1636068621" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="239760"></figure></section><p>Below is a passive impact that we can expect if only ₩20T of funds from local ETFs/index funds are applied. This can be seen as a size that will occur on the implementation date (at the close on December 9).</p>
<section class="figure"><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/239/764/original/Screen+Shot+2021-11-04+at+7.36.10+PM.png?1636068984" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="239764"></figure></section></section></section>

Rebalancing resultsThe review period for the KOSPI 200 December rebalancing ended on October 29. Below are the results of applying the screening criteria based on the average daily market cap of the review period (May 3 to October 29).
As a result of regular rebalancing, we can see four adds and four deletes.
In addition, Hyundai Heavy Industries and Kakao Pay are almost 100% likely to join the KOSPI 200 through Fast Entry. The joining date of both will be December 10, the same date as the regular rebalancing.
The stocks that will leave the KOSPI 200 for HHI and Kakao Pay will be Nexen Tire and Lotte Himart (the stocks with the lowest average daily market cap in the previous review period).

Passive impact
The following is a passive impact assuming KOSPI 200 tracking funds at ₩80T, including both local pensions and variable insurance index funds in addition to ETFs/index funds.
Compared to the absolute size of the passive impact, Meritz Financial Group (add) and Nexen Tire (delete) are likely to face relatively large flow effects.
Below is a passive impact that we can expect if only ₩20T of funds from local ETFs/index funds are applied. This can be seen as a size that will occur on the implementation date (at the close on December 9).


KOSPI 200 Rebalancing Update After the Review Period Ended

HD Hyundai Heavy Industries  / Index Rebalance

<p>The Korea Exchange (KRX) will announce the results of the December 2021 review of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> later this month and the constituent changes will be effective after the close of trading on 9 December.</p><p>With the review period now complete, we see 7 potential inclusions (5 regular + 2 Fast Entry) and 8 potential deletions from the index. There is one extra deletion to keep the number of index constituents at 200 following the inclusion of SK Square in the index post its spin-off from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-telecom-co-ltd-bbccd86c-474d-4a4d-946d-10e911a225a2" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:395:1" rel="noopener">SK Telecom (017670 KS)</a>.</p><p>The potential regular inclusions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/f-f-co-ltd-new" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33479:1" rel="noopener">F&amp;F (383220 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/skckolonpi-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9196:1" rel="noopener">Skckolonpi Inc (178920 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meritz-financial-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11776:1" rel="noopener">Meritz Financial Group (138040 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sl-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20694:1" rel="noopener">SL Corp (005850 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/myoung-shin-industrial-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29698:1" rel="noopener">Myoung Shin Industrial Co.,Ltd (009900 KS)</a> while the potential Fast Entry inclusions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-heavy-industries-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33808:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Heavy Industries (329180 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakao-pay-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29675:1" rel="noopener">Kakao Pay (377300 KS)</a>.</p><p>The potential deletions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samyang-foods-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9100:1" rel="noopener">Samyang Foods (003230 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ilyang-pharmaceutical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2789:1" rel="noopener">Ilyang Pharmaceutical Co., (007570 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lx-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33384:1" rel="noopener">LX Holdings (383800 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lotte-himart-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12895:1" rel="noopener">Lotte Himart (071840 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/f-f-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15983:1" rel="noopener">F&amp;F Co Ltd (007700 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dongwon-f-b-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3274:1" rel="noopener">Dongwon F&amp;B (049770 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lx-hausys-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11613:1" rel="noopener">LX Hausys Ltd (108670 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nexen-tire-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14206:1" rel="noopener">Nexen Tire Corp (002350 KS)</a>.</p><p>There are quite a few stocks that are close adds but just miss out on making the 85% cumulative market cap cut or the 90% of current stocks from the sector in the index cut.</p><p>The potential inclusions have outperformed the potential deletions since August. After giving up some gains and then consolidating, the potential inclusion have started to outperform the potential deletions again over the last week.</p>

The Korea Exchange (KRX) will announce the results of the December 2021 review of the Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX) later this month and the constituent changes will be effective after the close of trading on 9 December.With the review period now complete, we see 7 potential inclusions (5 regular + 2 Fast Entry) and 8 potential deletions from the index. There is one extra deletion to keep the number of index constituents at 200 following the inclusion of SK Square in the index post its spin-off from SK Telecom (017670 KS).The potential regular inclusions are F&amp;F (383220 KS), Skckolonpi Inc (178920 KS), Meritz Financial Group (138040 KS), SL Corp (005850 KS) and Myoung Shin Industrial Co.,Ltd (009900 KS) while the potential Fast Entry inclusions are Hyundai Heavy Industries (329180 KS) and Kakao Pay (377300 KS).The potential deletions are Samyang Foods (003230 KS), Ilyang Pharmaceutical Co., (007570 KS), LX Holdings (383800 KS), Lotte Himart (071840 KS), F&amp;F Co Ltd (007700 KS), Dongwon F&amp;B (049770 KS), LX Hausys Ltd (108670 KS) and Nexen Tire Corp (002350 KS).There are quite a few stocks that are close adds but just miss out on making the 85% cumulative market cap cut or the 90% of current stocks from the sector in the index cut.The potential inclusions have outperformed the potential deletions since August. After giving up some gains and then consolidating, the potential inclusion have started to outperform the potential deletions again over the last week.

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview:  Review Period Complete & Trades Performing Well

<p>Below is KOSPI 200's screening methodology for the regular bi-annual rebalancing. The rebalancing trading will occur at the close on <strong>December 9</strong>, and the review period is <strong>May 1 to October 31</strong>. We will likely hear the rebalancing results in late November.</p><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="150">
<col width="800">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr><td colspan="2" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Status (₩B)"}'>KOSPI 200 bi-annual rebalancing</td></tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Rebalancing"}'>Rebalancing</td>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Biannually"}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0"}'>Biannually</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":" - Effective date"}'>- Effective date</td>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Next trading day of 2nd Thursday of June &amp; December"}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0"}'>Next trading day of 2nd Thursday of June &amp; December</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":" - December"}'>- Implementation</td>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44540}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":5,"2":"mmmm d, yyyy","3":1}'>December 10, 2021</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>- Rebalancing trading</strong></td>
<td><strong>December 9, 2021</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":" - Review period"}'><strong>- Review period</strong></td>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"May 1 to October 31, 2021"}'><strong>May 1 to October 31, 2021</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td rowspan="6" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Screening"}'><div><strong>Screening</strong></div></td>
<td rowspan="6" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Select candidates for each sector in order by the cumulative average daily market cap (the cumulative cut-off at the 15th percentile). Include the first company that crosses the 15th percentile mark. Exclude those whose cumulative average daily trading value is below the 15th percentile. Also, exclude those new entrants whose average daily market cap ranking is above 110%. If not reach a full 200 members in the first and second screenings, then re-select the current constituents whose average daily market cap ranking is within 110%. Select additional names among the unselected current constituents by the average daily market cap regardless of classification."}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0"}'><ul>
<li><strong>Select candidates for each sector in order by the cumulative average daily market cap (the cumulative cut-off at the 15th percentile).</strong></li>
<li><strong>Include the first company that crosses the 15th percentile mark. Exclude those whose cumulative average daily trading value is below the 15th percentile.</strong></li>
<li><strong>Also, exclude those new entrants whose average daily market cap ranking is above 110%.</strong></li>
<li><strong>If not reach 200 members in the first and second screenings, then re-select the current constituents whose average daily market cap ranking is within 110%.</strong></li>
<li><strong>Select additional names among the unselected current constituents by the average daily market cap regardless of classification.</strong></li>
</ul></td>
</tr>
<tr></tr>
<tr></tr>
<tr></tr>
<tr></tr>
<tr></tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Total float MC (₩B)"}'>Total float MC (₩B)</td>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1247667.684}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.0"}'>1,247,667.7</td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="2" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: KRX"}'>Source: KRX</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/231/157/original/1.png?1632295209" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="231157"></figure></section>

Below is KOSPI 200's screening methodology for the regular bi-annual rebalancing. The rebalancing trading will occur at the close on December 9, and the review period is May 1 to October 31. We will likely hear the rebalancing results in late November.





KOSPI 200 bi-annual rebalancing

Rebalancing
Biannually


- Effective date
Next trading day of 2nd Thursday of June &amp; December


- Implementation
December 10, 2021


- Rebalancing trading
December 9, 2021


- Review period
May 1 to October 31, 2021


Screening

Select candidates for each sector in order by the cumulative average daily market cap (the cumulative cut-off at the 15th percentile).
Include the first company that crosses the 15th percentile mark. Exclude those whose cumulative average daily trading value is below the 15th percentile.
Also, exclude those new entrants whose average daily market cap ranking is above 110%.
If not reach 200 members in the first and second screenings, then re-select the current constituents whose average daily market cap ranking is within 110%.
Select additional names among the unselected current constituents by the average daily market cap regardless of classification.








Total float MC (₩B)
1,247,667.7

Source: KRX



KOSPI 200 Bi-Annual Rebalancing Preview (December 9)

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<p>In this insight, we discuss the stocks that could get included or excluded in the November 2021 KOSPI 200 rebalance. We highlight 15 stocks that could get included and 10 stocks that could get excluded in the upcoming KOSPI 200 rebalance.</p><div class="content-highlight">
<p>This rebalance of the KOSPI 200 strategy is a type of<strong> momentum-driven strategy.</strong> The 15 stocks that we think could get included in the next KOSPI 200 rebalance have generated strong share price performances <strong>(up 55% on average in the past six months</strong>). </p>
<p>On the other hand, the 10 stocks which we think could get excluded in the next KOSPI 200 rebalance (the bottom 5% of KOSPI 200 index in terms of market cap) have done much worse in terms of their share price performance (<strong>down 6.1% on average in the past six months</strong>). </p>
</div>

In this insight, we discuss the stocks that could get included or excluded in the November 2021 KOSPI 200 rebalance. We highlight 15 stocks that could get included and 10 stocks that could get excluded in the upcoming KOSPI 200 rebalance.
This rebalance of the KOSPI 200 strategy is a type of momentum-driven strategy. The 15 stocks that we think could get included in the next KOSPI 200 rebalance have generated strong share price performances (up 55% on average in the past six months). 
On the other hand, the 10 stocks which we think could get excluded in the next KOSPI 200 rebalance (the bottom 5% of KOSPI 200 index in terms of market cap) have done much worse in terms of their share price performance (down 6.1% on average in the past six months). 


Potential Changes of KOSPI 200 Index Components in the November 2021 Rebalance

South Korea

Nexen Tire Corporation manufactures, markets, and exports tires and inner tubes for automobiles, industrial and agricultural machinery, and construction equipment.

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Nexen Tire Corp (002350 KS)

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Sanghyun Park

Potential Changes of KOSPI 200 Index Components in the November 2021 Rebalance

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Douglas Kim

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)