Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Copper &amp; Gold Torque: Zijin has crossed US$100bn market cap as copper tops US$10,300/t and gold nears US$3,770/oz, with shares up ~60% in 3M and ~83% in 12M.</li>
<li>Spin-Off Catalyst: Zijin Gold International IPO raised US$3.2bn at HK$71.6/sh; on our quality-weighted view, fair value is ~US$38.5bn EV vs ~US$24bn at IPO.</li>
<li>Valuation Upside: 2027E SOTP points to HK$34.8/sh base (+12%), HK$38–39/sh spot (+25%), and HK$39–41/sh bull (+30%); detailed Zijin Gold valuation in our companion report.</li>
</ul>


Copper &amp; Gold Torque: Zijin has crossed US$100bn market cap as copper tops US$10,300/t and gold nears US$3,770/oz, with shares up ~60% in 3M and ~83% in 12M.
Spin-Off Catalyst: Zijin Gold International IPO raised US$3.2bn at HK$71.6/sh; on our quality-weighted view, fair value is ~US$38.5bn EV vs ~US$24bn at IPO.
Valuation Upside: 2027E SOTP points to HK$34.8/sh base (+12%), HK$38–39/sh spot (+25%), and HK$39–41/sh bull (+30%); detailed Zijin Gold valuation in our companion report.


Zijin Mining: US$100bn Breakout on Copper Surge, Valuation Still Offers Upside

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Sep 12th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD26.9bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Sayona Mining, ANZ, Woolworths, Westpac, Xero.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Sep 12th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD26.9bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Sayona Mining, ANZ, Woolworths, Westpac, Xero.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Sep 12th): Sayona Mining, ANZ, Woolworths, Westpac, Xero

Breaking Down the Mining News of the Day, Money of Mine

Money of Mine

Breaking Down the Mining News of the Day

An ex-underground miner, an ex-investment banker, and an ex-equity research guy breaking down the mining news of the day. It's a bit of entertainment, information, and occasionally some alpha.

<ul><li>Anglo Tech merger is a massive deal with significant potential synergies and benefits for both companies, particularly in copper production</li><li>The deal is well structured with operational synergies and nil premium merger, making it difficult for potential interlopers to compete</li><li>Anglo has shown remarkable turnaround from being undervalued and criticized to being a key player in the industry, with significant government approvals and listing requirements in place for the deal to be successful</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.</em></p>

Anglo Tech merger is a massive deal with significant potential synergies and benefits for both companies, particularly in copper productionThe deal is well structured with operational synergies and nil premium merger, making it difficult for potential interlopers to competeAnglo has shown remarkable turnaround from being undervalued and criticized to being a key player in the industry, with significant government approvals and listing requirements in place for the deal to be successfulThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Anglo Teck Mega Merger... and a Retail Revolt

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Sep 5th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD26.0bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Goodman, Ramsay Health Care, WiseTech Global, Origin Energy, Ampol.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Sep 5th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD26.0bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Goodman, Ramsay Health Care, WiseTech Global, Origin Energy, Ampol.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Sep 5th): Goodman, Ramsay Health Care, WiseTech Global, Origin Energy

<ul>
<li>Anglo and Teck have decided to merge, creating a ~$53bn copper-focused mining major that ranks #4 globally with ~1.2 Mt of output in 2024.</li>
<li>The deal targets ~$800m in annual savings by year four, though history suggests full delivery is unlikely.</li>
<li>The combined group offers strong leverage to copper’s structural growth and top-3 scale in seaborne met coal as a cash engine.</li>
</ul>


Anglo and Teck have decided to merge, creating a ~$53bn copper-focused mining major that ranks #4 globally with ~1.2 Mt of output in 2024.
The deal targets ~$800m in annual savings by year four, though history suggests full delivery is unlikely.
The combined group offers strong leverage to copper’s structural growth and top-3 scale in seaborne met coal as a cash engine.


Anglo–Teck: Building a Copper Champion with Coal Cash Flow

Australia

BHP Group Ltd operates as an international resources company. The Company offers mineral exploration and production, including coal, iron ore, gold, titanium, ferroalloys, nickel, and copper concentrate, as well as petroleum exploration, production, and refining. BHP Group serves customers worldwide.

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BHP Group Ltd (BHP AU)

Zijin Mining: US$100bn Breakout on Copper Surge, Valuation Still Offers Upside

Zijin's market cap surpasses US$100bn as copper and gold prices rise, with potential valuation upside and spin-off catalyst from Zijin Gold...

Rahul Jain

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Sep 12th): Sayona Mining, ANZ, Woolworths, Westpac, Xero

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Sayona Mining, ANZ, Woolworths, Westpac, Xero.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Anglo Teck Mega Merger... and a Retail Revolt

Lawyers are rare guests on the show as they discuss Anglo Tech's massive deal, which includes potential synergies in mining operations and special...

Money of Mine

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Sep 5th): Goodman, Ramsay Health Care, WiseTech Global, Origin Energy

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Goodman, Ramsay Health Care, WiseTech Global,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Anglo–Teck: Building a Copper Champion with Coal Cash Flow

Anglo and Teck merge to create $53bn copper-focused mining major, aiming for $800m in annual savings by year four with strong leverage to copper's...

Rahul Jain

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Zijin Mining: US$100bn Breakout on Copper Surge, Valuation Still Offers Upside

​Zijin's market cap surpasses US$100bn as copper and gold prices rise, with potential valuation upside and spin-off catalyst from Zijin Gold...

Rahul Jain

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Sep 12th): Sayona Mining, ANZ, Woolworths, Westpac, Xero

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Sayona Mining, ANZ, Woolworths, Westpac, Xero.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Anglo Teck Mega Merger... and a Retail Revolt

Lawyers are rare guests on the show as they discuss Anglo Tech's massive deal, which includes potential synergies in mining operations and special...

Money of Mine

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Sep 5th): Goodman, Ramsay Health Care, WiseTech Global, Origin Energy

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Goodman, Ramsay Health Care, WiseTech Global,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Anglo–Teck: Building a Copper Champion with Coal Cash Flow

​Anglo and Teck merge to create $53bn copper-focused mining major, aiming for $800m in annual savings by year four with strong leverage to copper's...

Rahul Jain

Zijin's market cap surpasses US$100bn as copper and gold prices rise, with potential valuation upside and spin-off catalyst from Zijin Gold...

Anglo and Teck merge to create $53bn copper-focused mining major, aiming for $800m in annual savings by year four with strong leverage to copper's...