Global Commodities, Mint Finance

Srinidhi Raghavendra

Global Commodities

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anglo-american-plc-04f6cda9-c726-4c33-8544-c5046bc74b29" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28603:1" rel="noopener"></a>Anglo American and Teck Resources merge in a $53 billion deal, creating the world’s fifth-largest copper producer with defensive scale.</li>
<li>The merger promises $800 million in annual cost synergies by the end of 4th year, but execution across multiple jurisdictions will remain a challenge.</li>
<li>Regulatory approval in Canada and key stakeholder positions, including Keevil and Elliott, will be pivotal to deal success.</li>
</ul>



Anglo American and Teck Resources merge in a $53 billion deal, creating the world’s fifth-largest copper producer with defensive scale.
The merger promises $800 million in annual cost synergies by the end of 4th year, but execution across multiple jurisdictions will remain a challenge.
Regulatory approval in Canada and key stakeholder positions, including Keevil and Elliott, will be pivotal to deal success.


Anglo-Teck Merger: Scaling Up to Fortify Copper Empire

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Aug 29th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD26.3bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Reece, Flight Centre, Sigma Pharmaceuticals, Goodman, Wesfarmers.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Aug 29th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD26.3bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Reece, Flight Centre, Sigma Pharmaceuticals, Goodman, Wesfarmers.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 29th): Reece, Flight Centre, Sigma Pharmaceuticals, Goodman

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

Shandong Gold Mining   / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-gold-mining-co-ltd-4527fb98-bb5d-4d74-91fe-66f9c0224eb3" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27455:1" rel="noopener">Shandong Gold Mining (1787 HK)</a> aims to raise around US$500m via a primary placement, in order to pay down debt.</li>
<li>The H-shares are now trading at all-time highs and have been performing better than the A-shares this year.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Shandong Gold Mining (1787 HK) aims to raise around US$500m via a primary placement, in order to pay down debt.
The H-shares are now trading at all-time highs and have been performing better than the A-shares this year.
In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Shandong Gold Mining Placement - H-Share Running Ahead of A-Shares

Iron Ore and Dry Bulk Freight, Mint Finance

Umang Agrawal

Iron Ore and Dry Bulk Freight

Commodities

<ul>
<li>Iron ore miners lift output guidance, signalling confidence despite China’s property slump and slowing steel demand.</li>
<li>India emerges as a critical growth driver yet cannot offset China’s structural steel demand weakness.</li>
<li>Rising supply from Simandou and peers heightens downside risk, keeping the iron ore outlook cautiously bearish.</li>
</ul>


Iron ore miners lift output guidance, signalling confidence despite China’s property slump and slowing steel demand.
India emerges as a critical growth driver yet cannot offset China’s structural steel demand weakness.
Rising supply from Simandou and peers heightens downside risk, keeping the iron ore outlook cautiously bearish.


Iron Ore Giants Stay Bullish on India, China Demand Wobbles

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/glencore-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:764:1" rel="noopener">Glencore Plc (GLEN LN)</a> shares are down 15.3% YTD and remains undervalued relative to peers. Asset optimisation, buybacks &amp; dividends to drive its share prices higher.</li>
<li>Firm has identified USD 1 billion in annual cost savings, with at least 50% expected to be realized in the second half of 2025.</li>
<li>The company has reiterated its commitment to shareholder returns via USD 1 billion buyback and USD 1 billion through dividend payout.</li>
</ul>



Glencore Plc (GLEN LN) shares are down 15.3% YTD and remains undervalued relative to peers. Asset optimisation, buybacks &amp; dividends to drive its share prices higher.
Firm has identified USD 1 billion in annual cost savings, with at least 50% expected to be realized in the second half of 2025.
The company has reiterated its commitment to shareholder returns via USD 1 billion buyback and USD 1 billion through dividend payout.


Down But Not Out! Multiple Tailwinds to Drive Glencore Higher (Long GLEN | TP: GBp 360)

Australia

BHP Group Ltd operates as an international resources company. The Company offers mineral exploration and production, including coal, iron ore, gold, titanium, ferroalloys, nickel, and copper concentrate, as well as petroleum exploration, production, and refining. BHP Group serves customers worldwide.

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BHP Group Ltd (BHP AU)

Anglo-Teck Merger: Scaling Up to Fortify Copper Empire

Anglo and Teck aim to unite in a $53 billion copper powerhouse, boosting scale, defending against rivals, while navigating regulatory and...

Mint Finance

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 29th): Reece, Flight Centre, Sigma Pharmaceuticals, Goodman

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Reece, Flight Centre, Sigma Pharmaceuticals,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Iron Ore Giants Stay Bullish on India, China Demand Wobbles

Iron ore giants stay bullish on output, betting India’s steel boom offsets China’s slowdown, property drag, and mounting protectionist headwinds.

Mint Finance

Down But Not Out! Multiple Tailwinds to Drive Glencore Higher (Long GLEN | TP: GBp 360)

Glencore shares down 15.3% YTD. It remains undervalued compared to peers. Stronger 2H, ~USD 1B cost savings, USD 1B of buybacks, and USD 1B of...

Mint Finance

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Anglo-Teck Merger: Scaling Up to Fortify Copper Empire

Anglo and Teck aim to unite in a $53 billion copper powerhouse, boosting scale, defending against rivals, while navigating regulatory and...

Mint Finance

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 29th): Reece, Flight Centre, Sigma Pharmaceuticals, Goodman

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Reece, Flight Centre, Sigma Pharmaceuticals,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Shandong Gold Mining Placement - H-Share Running Ahead of A-Shares

Shandong Gold Mining (1787 HK) aims to raise around US$500m via a primary placement, in order to pay down debt. In this note, we talk about the...

Sumeet Singh

Iron Ore Giants Stay Bullish on India, China Demand Wobbles

Iron ore giants stay bullish on output, betting India’s steel boom offsets China’s slowdown, property drag, and mounting protectionist headwinds.

Mint Finance

Down But Not Out! Multiple Tailwinds to Drive Glencore Higher (Long GLEN | TP: GBp 360)

​Glencore shares down 15.3% YTD. It remains undervalued compared to peers. Stronger 2H, ~USD 1B cost savings, USD 1B of buybacks, and USD 1B of...

Mint Finance

Glencore shares down 15.3% YTD. It remains undervalued compared to peers. Stronger 2H, ~USD 1B cost savings, USD 1B of buybacks, and USD 1B of...