Mostly Borrowed Ideas Deep Dives, MBI Deep Dives

MBI Deep Dives

Mostly Borrowed Ideas Deep Dives

MBI is the abbreviation for “Mostly Borrowed Ideas”. Why “Mostly Borrowed Ideas?” As a generalist, I do not have a background in any particular sector. I enjoy navigating across industries, businesses, and countries to learn, understand, and connect the dots. In any case, most ideas and innovations are incremental in nature. Very few of us are smart enough to come up with truly original or groundbreaking ideas. I am Abdullah Al-Rezwan. I was born and brought up in Bangladesh. I went to University of Dhaka for my undergrad and majored in Finance. After working three and half years in Equity Research (Sell-side) covering Financial Sector in Bangladesh, I left Bangladesh to pursue my MBA in the US. I graduated within top 10% of the class from Cornell University's two-year MBA program and worked on the buy-side following my graduation. During my time at Cornell, I won two stock pitch competitions and also became finalists in four other competitions. I thoroughly enjoyed my stint as a generalist in the US large cap team at Madison Investments and covered a wide range of companies from UnitedHealth to Amazon and Boeing before US immigration reality paused my career in investment management. As my work authorization expired, I moved to Canada in January, 2021. Then in early 2022, I was able to return to the US.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>During the weekend, I asked my twitter followers: What do you think Facebook's DAU to MAU ratio was in 2009?</li><li>The number that got the highest votes was ~80% even though I mentioned the most recent number was ~68%.</li><li>I asked this question a couple of friends in real life too and they too picked the ~80% number.</li></ul>

During the weekend, I asked my twitter followers: What do you think Facebook's DAU to MAU ratio was in 2009?The number that got the highest votes was ~80% even though I mentioned the most recent number was ~68%.I asked this question a couple of friends in real life too and they too picked the ~80% number.

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>This week will have some major earnings data points released. In Taiwan, UMC, Delta, Mediatek, ASE will report among other local names in our coverage.</li>
<li>Samsung &amp; SK Hynix will report this week, providing major insight into the Memory chip space for companies such as Nanya Technology and Micron.</li>
<li>TSMC &amp; ASML results last week indicate that the cycle could be bottoming in 2Q23E for these leading firms... But are we entering a two-track industry recovery?</li>
</ul>


This week will have some major earnings data points released. In Taiwan, UMC, Delta, Mediatek, ASE will report among other local names in our coverage.
Samsung &amp; SK Hynix will report this week, providing major insight into the Memory chip space for companies such as Nanya Technology and Micron.
TSMC &amp; ASML results last week indicate that the cycle could be bottoming in 2Q23E for these leading firms... But are we entering a two-track industry recovery?


Taiwan Tech Weekly: This Is a Major Earnings Week; Are We Entering a 2-Track Semiconductor Recovery?

<ul>
<li>We provide a timeline and analysis of key measures from May 2019 to December 2022.</li>
<li>How successive tightening steps led to a critical consolidation in October 2022.</li>
<li>Recent developments show the U.S. has motivated additional countries to participate and more restrictions are likely in 2023E.</li>
</ul>


We provide a timeline and analysis of key measures from May 2019 to December 2022.
How successive tightening steps led to a critical consolidation in October 2022.
Recent developments show the U.S. has motivated additional countries to participate and more restrictions are likely in 2023E.


China Semiconductor Restrictions: How the Vice Is Becoming Tighter and Tighter

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

<ul>
<li>GitLab Inc. is a complete DevSecOps platform delivered as a single application that empowers organizations to maximize the overall return on software development.</li>
<li>In October 2021, one the largest all-remote companies in the world completed an initial public offering at $77/share, raising $801M at ~$11B valuation.</li>
<li>The stock peaked at $137 in 2021 and fell ~71% over the next 4 years. The underperformance was driven by investor concerns around slowing revenue growth, competition and AI monetization.</li>
</ul>


GitLab Inc. is a complete DevSecOps platform delivered as a single application that empowers organizations to maximize the overall return on software development.
In October 2021, one the largest all-remote companies in the world completed an initial public offering at $77/share, raising $801M at ~$11B valuation.
The stock peaked at $137 in 2021 and fell ~71% over the next 4 years. The underperformance was driven by investor concerns around slowing revenue growth, competition and AI monetization.


2026 High Conviction: GitLab Inc., Undervalued With Duo Agent Platform Growth Upside/M&A Optionality

AI | Semiconductors | Commodities, Mint Finance

Raghav Vashisht

AI | Semiconductors | Commodities

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

<ul>
<li>Intel's supply constraints aren't manufacturing issues; three independent demand drivers have converged simultaneously, something which the firm seemed to have under-modelled.  </li>
<li>Hyperscalers are abandoning their flexible procurement model to secure multi-year CPU commitments for the first time, indicating structural demand shifts rather than temporary spikes.</li>
<li>Even TSMC-manufactured Intel products are sold out, proving this is demand-driven across both internal and outsourced capacity.</li>
</ul>


Intel's supply constraints aren't manufacturing issues; three independent demand drivers have converged simultaneously, something which the firm seemed to have under-modelled.  
Hyperscalers are abandoning their flexible procurement model to secure multi-year CPU commitments for the first time, indicating structural demand shifts rather than temporary spikes.
Even TSMC-manufactured Intel products are sold out, proving this is demand-driven across both internal and outsourced capacity.


The Structural Forces Behind Intel's Supply Squeeze

United States

Microsoft Corporation operates as a software company. The Company offers applications, extra cloud storage, and advanced security solutions. Microsoft serves customers worldwide.

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Microsoft Corp (MSFT US)

Meta's Moat

During the weekend, I asked my twitter followers: What do you think Facebook's DAU to MAU ratio was in 2009? The number that got the highest votes...

MBI Deep Dives

Taiwan Tech Weekly: This Is a Major Earnings Week; Are We Entering a 2-Track Semiconductor Recovery?

TSMC & ASML results last week indicate that the cycle could be bottoming in 2Q23E for these leading firms... But are we entering a two-track...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

China Semiconductor Restrictions: How the Vice Is Becoming Tighter and Tighter

Recent developments show the U.S. has motivated additional countries to participate and more restrictions are likely in 2023E.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

2026 High Conviction: GitLab Inc., Undervalued With Duo Agent Platform Growth Upside/M&A Optionality

GitLab Inc., the leading DevSecOps platform provider that delivers software faster and efficiently, is my 2026 high conviction idea in the U.S....

Andrei Zakharov

The Structural Forces Behind Intel's Supply Squeeze

Intel is facing supply constraints due to three simultaneous demand drivers, including hyperscalers securing multi-year CPU commitments, leading...

Mint Finance

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Meta's Moat

During the weekend, I asked my twitter followers: What do you think Facebook's DAU to MAU ratio was in 2009? The number that got the highest votes...

MBI Deep Dives

Taiwan Tech Weekly: This Is a Major Earnings Week; Are We Entering a 2-Track Semiconductor Recovery?

TSMC & ASML results last week indicate that the cycle could be bottoming in 2Q23E for these leading firms... But are we entering a two-track...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

China Semiconductor Restrictions: How the Vice Is Becoming Tighter and Tighter

Recent developments show the U.S. has motivated additional countries to participate and more restrictions are likely in 2023E.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

2026 High Conviction: GitLab Inc., Undervalued With Duo Agent Platform Growth Upside/M&A Optionality

GitLab Inc., the leading DevSecOps platform provider that delivers software faster and efficiently, is my 2026 high conviction idea in the U.S....

Andrei Zakharov

The Structural Forces Behind Intel's Supply Squeeze

​Intel is facing supply constraints due to three simultaneous demand drivers, including hyperscalers securing multi-year CPU commitments, leading...

Mint Finance

Intel is facing supply constraints due to three simultaneous demand drivers, including hyperscalers securing multi-year CPU commitments, leading...