Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Google: increased 2025 Capex ($75bn -&gt; 85bn). Capex will increase in 2026. Higher capex is justified by “strong demand for Cloud products and services“.</li>
<li>Meta: last quarter increased 2025 Capex ($62.5bn -&gt; 68bn). This quarter, more modest $1bn increase to $69bn. Meta expects “another year of similarly significant capital expenditures dollar growth in 2026”.</li>
<li>Microsoft: FY26 Capex growth will moderate compared to FY25 (FY25 Capex increased 58% YoY).</li>
</ul>


Google: increased 2025 Capex ($75bn -&gt; 85bn). Capex will increase in 2026. Higher capex is justified by “strong demand for Cloud products and services“.
Meta: last quarter increased 2025 Capex ($62.5bn -&gt; 68bn). This quarter, more modest $1bn increase to $69bn. Meta expects “another year of similarly significant capital expenditures dollar growth in 2026”.
Microsoft: FY26 Capex growth will moderate compared to FY25 (FY25 Capex increased 58% YoY).


Hyperscalers 2Q25: Revenue Growth Accelerates, Cloud Revenues Accelerate, Capex Higher

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

<ul>
<li>Magnificent 7 positioning remains elevated across global funds, but momentum has clearly stalled, with recent activity pointing to consolidation rather than renewed conviction buying. </li>
<li>Growth and GARP funds are near fully allocated, while Value and Yield managers remain structurally underweight— potentially limiting the potential for broad-based participation from here. </li>
<li>Microsoft leads with cross-style appeal; Tesla lags with minimal support. Apple is the conviction underweight, while NVIDIA’s benchmark surge has left it at a record active underweight.</li>
</ul>


Magnificent 7 positioning remains elevated across global funds, but momentum has clearly stalled, with recent activity pointing to consolidation rather than renewed conviction buying. 
Growth and GARP funds are near fully allocated, while Value and Yield managers remain structurally underweight— potentially limiting the potential for broad-based participation from here. 
Microsoft leads with cross-style appeal; Tesla lags with minimal support. Apple is the conviction underweight, while NVIDIA’s benchmark surge has left it at a record active underweight.


Magnificent 7:  Global Fund Positioning Update

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>MSFT is set to report Q4 earnings after the market close on Wednesday, July 30.</li>
<li>We examine the implied volatility and projected earnings-day move following a near 30% rally since the last report.</li>
<li>Volatility metrics and historical earnings reactions are analyzed to help frame expectations.</li>
</ul>


MSFT is set to report Q4 earnings after the market close on Wednesday, July 30.
We examine the implied volatility and projected earnings-day move following a near 30% rally since the last report.
Volatility metrics and historical earnings reactions are analyzed to help frame expectations.


MSFT Q4 Earnings: Exceedingly Calm Trading Drags Implied Vol Lower

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

<ul><li>Microsoft’s long-standing alliance with OpenAI, once hailed as one of the most successful partnerships in tech, appears to be nearing a dramatic and possibly messy end.</li><li>The tensions have come to a head in recent weeks amid reports of OpenAI considering antitrust action against Microsoft, internal disagreements over IP access and corporate restructuring, and mounting competitive overlap in AI services.</li><li>Simultaneously, Microsoft is preparing for another round of layoffs, this time targeting its massive sales workforce, in a bid to contain costs associated with its multibillion-dollar AI infrastructure investments.</li></ul>

Microsoft’s long-standing alliance with OpenAI, once hailed as one of the most successful partnerships in tech, appears to be nearing a dramatic and possibly messy end.The tensions have come to a head in recent weeks amid reports of OpenAI considering antitrust action against Microsoft, internal disagreements over IP access and corporate restructuring, and mounting competitive overlap in AI services.Simultaneously, Microsoft is preparing for another round of layoffs, this time targeting its massive sales workforce, in a bid to contain costs associated with its multibillion-dollar AI infrastructure investments.

Microsoft’s OpenAI Divorce Could Trigger a Tech Earthquake: Here’s What The Tech Behemoth Stands to Lose!

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/avepoint-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:37131:1" rel="noopener">AvePoint (AVPT US)</a> , a global provider of data security, governance, and resilience, aims to raise around US$300m in its Singapore secondary listing.</li>
<li>As of FY24, AP had over 25,000 customers who rely on its Confidence Platform to prepare, secure, and optimize their critical data across environments.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.</li>
</ul>



AvePoint (AVPT US) , a global provider of data security, governance, and resilience, aims to raise around US$300m in its Singapore secondary listing.
As of FY24, AP had over 25,000 customers who rely on its Confidence Platform to prepare, secure, and optimize their critical data across environments.
In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.


AvePoint SGX Secondary Listing - Strong Growth and Large Client Base but Unclear Metrics

United States

Microsoft Corporation operates as a software company. The Company offers applications, extra cloud storage, and advanced security solutions. Microsoft serves customers worldwide.

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Microsoft Corp (MSFT US)

Hyperscalers 2Q25: Revenue Growth Accelerates, Cloud Revenues Accelerate, Capex Higher

Google, Meta and Microsoft will increase in 2026. Don’t look for complications, some firms have 70-100% market share: Nvidia, TSMC, SK Hynix and...

Nicolas Baratte

Magnificent 7: Global Fund Positioning Update

Positioning in the Magnificent 7 remains near record highs, but momentum is fading as growth funds top out and value remains sidelined.

Steven Holden

MSFT Q4 Earnings: Exceedingly Calm Trading Drags Implied Vol Lower

Despite a nearly 30% rally, MSFT’s volatility setup reflects a rare stretch of subdued trading ahead of a closely watched earnings release.

John Ley

Microsoft’s OpenAI Divorce Could Trigger a Tech Earthquake: Here’s What The Tech Behemoth Stands to Lose!

Microsoft’s long-standing alliance with OpenAI, once hailed as one of the most successful partnerships in tech, appears to be nearing a dramatic...

Baptista Research

AvePoint SGX Secondary Listing - Strong Growth and Large Client Base but Unclear Metrics

AvePoint (AVPT US) , a global provider of data security, governance, and resilience, aims to raise around US$300m in its Singapore secondary listing.

Sumeet Singh

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52-week Range

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Hyperscalers 2Q25: Revenue Growth Accelerates, Cloud Revenues Accelerate, Capex Higher

​Google, Meta and Microsoft will increase in 2026. Don’t look for complications, some firms have 70-100% market share: Nvidia, TSMC, SK Hynix and...

Nicolas Baratte

Magnificent 7: Global Fund Positioning Update

Positioning in the Magnificent 7 remains near record highs, but momentum is fading as growth funds top out and value remains sidelined.

Steven Holden

MSFT Q4 Earnings: Exceedingly Calm Trading Drags Implied Vol Lower

Despite a nearly 30% rally, MSFT’s volatility setup reflects a rare stretch of subdued trading ahead of a closely watched earnings release.

John Ley

Microsoft’s OpenAI Divorce Could Trigger a Tech Earthquake: Here’s What The Tech Behemoth Stands to Lose!

Microsoft’s long-standing alliance with OpenAI, once hailed as one of the most successful partnerships in tech, appears to be nearing a dramatic...

Baptista Research

AvePoint SGX Secondary Listing - Strong Growth and Large Client Base but Unclear Metrics

AvePoint (AVPT US) , a global provider of data security, governance, and resilience, aims to raise around US$300m in its Singapore secondary listing.

Sumeet Singh

Google, Meta and Microsoft will increase in 2026. Don’t look for complications, some firms have 70-100% market share: Nvidia, TSMC, SK Hynix and...