Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX Stocks as of May 31st which has an aggregated holding worth USD515.2bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,106mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight foreign changes in Sk Hynix, Doosan Enerbility, Hd Hyundai Elect, Samsung Electronics, Lg Chem, Samsung SDI.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX Stocks as of May 31st which has an aggregated holding worth USD515.2bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,106mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight foreign changes in Sk Hynix, Doosan Enerbility, Hd Hyundai Elect, Samsung Electronics, Lg Chem, Samsung SDI.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (May 31st): Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>South Korean Pivot:  Asia Ex-Japan investors move to overweight South Korea for the first time in our history, SK Hynix and Kia Corp among the beneficiaries. </li>
<li>India Fatigue: Despite India’s outperformance and rising fund weights, managers show caution, with nearly 2/3rds of funds underweight the benchmark.</li>
<li>China All-Time Lows: China &amp; HK fund weights have dropped significantly from 53.5% in 2020 to 34.8% today, just above a 13-year low, signaling a critical juncture for re-evaluation.</li>
</ul>


South Korean Pivot:  Asia Ex-Japan investors move to overweight South Korea for the first time in our history, SK Hynix and Kia Corp among the beneficiaries. 
India Fatigue: Despite India’s outperformance and rising fund weights, managers show caution, with nearly 2/3rds of funds underweight the benchmark.
China All-Time Lows: China &amp; HK fund weights have dropped significantly from 53.5% in 2020 to 34.8% today, just above a 13-year low, signaling a critical juncture for re-evaluation.


Active Asia Ex-Japan Funds: Top-Down Country Insights

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-kodex-top5plus-total-return-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36723:1" rel="noopener">Samsung KODEX Top5Plus Total Return ETF (315930 KS)</a> tracks the FnGuide Top 5 Plus Index and has an AUM of KRW 1,357bn (~US$1bn).</li>
<li>We currently see a high probability of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/celltrion-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:991:1" rel="noopener">Celltrion Inc (068270 KS)</a> replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kt-g-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9320:1" rel="noopener">KT&amp;G Corporation (033780 KS)</a> in the index at the June rebalance.</li>
<li>There is between 1-2 days of ADV to trade on the potential add and delete and smaller flows on the other index members due to capping and funding changes.</li>
</ul>


The Samsung KODEX Top5Plus Total Return ETF (315930 KS) tracks the FnGuide Top 5 Plus Index and has an AUM of KRW 1,357bn (~US$1bn).
We currently see a high probability of Celltrion Inc (068270 KS) replacing KT&amp;G Corporation (033780 KS) in the index at the June rebalance.
There is between 1-2 days of ADV to trade on the potential add and delete and smaller flows on the other index members due to capping and funding changes.


FnGuide Top 5 Plus Index Rebalance Preview: Celltrion Could Replace KT&G

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX Stocks as of May 24th which has an aggregated holding worth USD533.9bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD443mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight foreign changes in Sk Hynix, Hyundai Motor, Hd Hyundai Heavy, Samsung Electronics.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX Stocks as of May 24th which has an aggregated holding worth USD533.9bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD443mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight foreign changes in Sk Hynix, Hyundai Motor, Hd Hyundai Heavy, Samsung Electronics.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (May 24th): Sk Hynix, Hyundai Motor, HHI, Samsung Electronics

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>NPS's May net selling of ₩700B likely stems from retrieving outsourced management funds to allocate to the newly selected three value-up outsider managers.</li>
<li>These value-up managers will start investing in Q3. NPS's May net selling matches their allocations. We should design a setup targeting the likely inflow into value-up targets starting early July.</li>
<li>In particular, we should watch non-financial value-up stocks like Kia Corp and Hyundai Motor, which had more significant May price impacts likely due to NPS outflow.</li>
</ul>


NPS's May net selling of ₩700B likely stems from retrieving outsourced management funds to allocate to the newly selected three value-up outsider managers.
These value-up managers will start investing in Q3. NPS's May net selling matches their allocations. We should design a setup targeting the likely inflow into value-up targets starting early July.
In particular, we should watch non-financial value-up stocks like Kia Corp and Hyundai Motor, which had more significant May price impacts likely due to NPS outflow.


A Plausible Explanation for Korea NPS's Unusually Large Outflow on Local Stocks in May

South Korea

Kia Corporation manufactures, sells, and exports passenger cars, mini-buses, trucks and commercial vehicles. The Company also manufactures auto-parts and tools using hybrid electric and fuel cell technology. Kia markets its products worldwide.

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Kia Corp (000270 KS)

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (May 31st): Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Sk Hynix, Doosan Enerbility, Hd Hyundai Elect,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Active Asia Ex-Japan Funds: Top-Down Country Insights

Asia Ex-Japan investors move to overweight South Korea, increase underweight to India, whilst China allocations are at their lowest levels in history.

Steven Holden

FnGuide Top 5 Plus Index Rebalance Preview: Celltrion Could Replace KT&G

Celltrion could replace KT&G in the FnGuide Top5 Plus Index in June. Passives will need to buy 1x ADV in Celltrion and sell 2x ADV in KT&G. There...

Brian Freitas

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (May 24th): Sk Hynix, Hyundai Motor, HHI, Samsung Electronics

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Sk Hynix, Hyundai Motor, Hd Hyundai Heavy,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A Plausible Explanation for Korea NPS's Unusually Large Outflow on Local Stocks in May

This post delves into Korea NPS's unusual magnitude of net outflow from the local stock market in May and anticipates its implications for value-up...

Sanghyun Park

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