External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Number of China public security projects bidding remained weak in 3Q22 at -7% YoY (vs. -4% YoY in 2Q22) as Sep number deteriorated (-9% YoY).</li><li>Meanwhile, the US has broadened the restrictions from targeting specific companies (Entity List) to specific products (semiconductors/ equipment above certain computing threshold). </li><li>Our channel checks suggested that the new rules have limited impact to existing commercial AI applications.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Number of China public security projects bidding remained weak in 3Q22 at -7% YoY (vs. -4% YoY in 2Q22) as Sep number deteriorated (-9% YoY).Meanwhile, the US has broadened the restrictions from targeting specific companies (Entity List) to specific products (semiconductors/ equipment above certain computing threshold). Our channel checks suggested that the new rules have limited impact to existing commercial AI applications.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China AI – Public Security Demand Remained Weak in 3Q22

<ul><li>Reuters reported that the U.S. may publish new regulations next month to broaden curbs on 1) AI chips, 2) chipmaking equipment and 3) products that contain targeted chips exports to China. </li><li>This could cover more U.S. companies and will disallow export of servers containing advanced GPU. </li><li>Under the new rules, China can still design sub-14nm (not sub-3nm) AI chips but the production has to be taken place outside of China. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Reuters reported that the U.S. may publish new regulations next month to broaden curbs on 1) AI chips, 2) chipmaking equipment and 3) products that contain targeted chips exports to China. This could cover more U.S. companies and will disallow export of servers containing advanced GPU. Under the new rules, China can still design sub-14nm (not sub-3nm) AI chips but the production has to be taken place outside of China. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China AI – U.S. May Broaden AI Chips Export Restrictions

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

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Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologie / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-leapmotor-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35968:1" rel="noopener">Leapmotor (2007699D HK)</a>, a Chinese EV manufacturer, will start its listing hearing for a US$1.5 billion HKEx IPO this week, according to press reports.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/leapmotor-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:79449" rel="noopener">Leapmotor IPO: The Bull Case</a>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case. </li>
<li>The key elements of the bear case rest on a slow ramp-up, lower revenue, high EBIT and FCF loss margin compared to peers at a similar stage of development.</li>
</ul>



Leapmotor (2007699D HK), a Chinese EV manufacturer, will start its listing hearing for a US$1.5 billion HKEx IPO this week, according to press reports.
In Leapmotor IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case. 
The key elements of the bear case rest on a slow ramp-up, lower revenue, high EBIT and FCF loss margin compared to peers at a similar stage of development.


Qingdao Ainnovation Technology Group / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ainnovation-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35386:1" rel="noopener">AInnovation Technology (AIT HK)</a> is a fast-growing enterprise AI solutions provider in China. It has launched an HKEx IPO to raise up to US$157 million. </li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ainnovation-technology-ipo-initiation-code-amber" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:63587" rel="noopener">AInnovation Technology IPO Initiation: Code Amber</a>, we stated that the negatives outweigh the positives and we would give the IPO a pass.</li>
<li>Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price is fair. Due to our concerns about the fundamentals, we remain on the sidelines. Pricing is 20 January, listing on 27 January.</li>
</ul>



AInnovation Technology (AIT HK) is a fast-growing enterprise AI solutions provider in China. It has launched an HKEx IPO to raise up to US$157 million. 
In AInnovation Technology IPO Initiation: Code Amber, we stated that the negatives outweigh the positives and we would give the IPO a pass.
Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price is fair. Due to our concerns about the fundamentals, we remain on the sidelines. Pricing is 20 January, listing on 27 January.


AInnovation Technology IPO: Valuation Insights

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ainnovation-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35386:1" rel="noopener">AInnovation Technology (AIT HK)</a> is a fast-growing enterprise AI solutions provider in China. It is set to launch an HKEx IPO to raise up to US$157 million.  </li>
<li>The fundamentals are mixed as diverging growth profiles of key segments, low market share and cash burn are accompanied by a narrowing loss margin. </li>
<li>Overall, we believe the negatives outweigh the positives and we would give the IPO a pass. </li>
</ul>



AInnovation Technology (AIT HK) is a fast-growing enterprise AI solutions provider in China. It is set to launch an HKEx IPO to raise up to US$157 million.  
The fundamentals are mixed as diverging growth profiles of key segments, low market share and cash burn are accompanied by a narrowing loss margin. 
Overall, we believe the negatives outweigh the positives and we would give the IPO a pass. 


AInnovation Technology IPO Initiation: Code Amber

China

Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co., Ltd. researches, designs and manufactures security and surveillance equipments. It also modular-designs both hardware and software with flexibility for different configurations, various scales of applications and future expansion.

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Zhejiang Dahua Technology A (002236 CH)

China AI – Public Security Demand Remained Weak in 3Q22

Number of China public security projects bidding remained weak in 3Q22 at -7% YoY (vs. -4% YoY in 2Q22) as Sep number deteriorated (-9% YoY).

CMB International

China AI – U.S. May Broaden AI Chips Export Restrictions

Under the new rules, China can still design sub-14nm (not sub-3nm) AI chips but the production has to be taken place outside of China.

CMB International

Leapmotor IPO: The Bear Case

The key elements of the bear case rest on a slow ramp-up, lower revenue, high EBIT and FCF loss margin compared to peers at a similar stage of...

Arun George

AInnovation Technology IPO: Valuation Insights

Our valuation analysis suggests that AInnovation is fully priced at the IPO price range. Due to our concerns about the fundamentals, we remain on...

Arun George

AInnovation Technology IPO Initiation: Code Amber

AInnovation is set to launch an HKEx IPO to raise up to US$157 million. Overall, we believe the negatives outweigh the positives and we would give...

Arun George

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