Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>USG 1:1 domestic / import ratio for semi manufacturing not a clear positive for Intel. Intel needs a 14A node very quickly. But it’s positive to TSMC, increase pricing power.</li>
<li>The 1:1 rule is potentially positive for Intel and Samsung but only if they fix yield problems and offer complete design and IP tools to their customers. Long road ahead.</li>
<li>TSMC could increase US Capex and lower Taiwan Capex. But TSMC plans to make 30% of its advanced chips in the US from 2027. Capex increase would be mild.</li>
</ul>


USG 1:1 domestic / import ratio for semi manufacturing not a clear positive for Intel. Intel needs a 14A node very quickly. But it’s positive to TSMC, increase pricing power.
The 1:1 rule is potentially positive for Intel and Samsung but only if they fix yield problems and offer complete design and IP tools to their customers. Long road ahead.
TSMC could increase US Capex and lower Taiwan Capex. But TSMC plans to make 30% of its advanced chips in the US from 2027. Capex increase would be mild.


USG 1:1 Rule on Semi Manufacturing: Not a Clear Positive to Intel but Clearly Positive to TSMC

Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors, The Circuit

The Circuit

Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors

A Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors. With Jay Goldberg and Ben Bajarin

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Firm has been recruiting executive leaders in B2B tech, mostly in semiconductor and deep tech</li><li>Half of clients are in public companies, half in venture backed private environments</li><li>Significant growth in semiconductor industry, driven by AI, leading to talent shortage and high demand for leaders</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.</em></p>

Firm has been recruiting executive leaders in B2B tech, mostly in semiconductor and deep techHalf of clients are in public companies, half in venture backed private environmentsSignificant growth in semiconductor industry, driven by AI, leading to talent shortage and high demand for leadersThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Tekscend Photomask / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tekscend-photomask-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45819:1" rel="noopener">Tekscend Photomask (429A JP)</a>  (429A JP), a manufacturer and distributor of semiconductor photomasks, aims to raise around US$830m in its Japan IPO.</li>
<li>TP is a global provider of photomasks and related support services. It has been the leader in the merchant photomask market in terms of sales since 2016.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company's past performance in our previous note. In this note, we talk about valuations.</li>
</ul>



Tekscend Photomask (429A JP)  (429A JP), a manufacturer and distributor of semiconductor photomasks, aims to raise around US$830m in its Japan IPO.
TP is a global provider of photomasks and related support services. It has been the leader in the merchant photomask market in terms of sales since 2016.
We have looked at the company's past performance in our previous note. In this note, we talk about valuations.


Tekscend Photomask IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tekscend-photomask-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45819:1" rel="noopener">Tekscend Photomask (429A JP)</a>, a manufacturer and distributor of semiconductor photomasks, aims to raise around US$830m in its Japan IPO.</li>
<li>TP is a global provider of photomasks and related support services. It has been the leader in the merchant photomask market in terms of sales since 2016.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company's past performance in our previous note. In this note, we will  undertake a peer comparison.</li>
</ul>



Tekscend Photomask (429A JP), a manufacturer and distributor of semiconductor photomasks, aims to raise around US$830m in its Japan IPO.
TP is a global provider of photomasks and related support services. It has been the leader in the merchant photomask market in terms of sales since 2016.
We have looked at the company's past performance in our previous note. In this note, we will  undertake a peer comparison.


Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8587:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)</a> 2Q25 growth likely reaches ~39% YoY with upside risk if 4Q25 outperforms.  </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apple-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:666:1" rel="noopener">Apple (AAPL US)</a> remains the anchor customer driving N2 ramp in 2026.</li>
<li>Since 2nm technology will be widely adopted starting in 2026, revenue growth is projected to be around 25% YoY.  </li>
</ul>



Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US) 2Q25 growth likely reaches ~39% YoY with upside risk if 4Q25 outperforms.  

Apple (AAPL US) remains the anchor customer driving N2 ramp in 2026.
Since 2nm technology will be widely adopted starting in 2026, revenue growth is projected to be around 25% YoY.  


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): 4Q25/2025 Outlook Could Outperform; 2nm Is Likely to Largest Adopted in 2026

United States

Intel Corporation designs, manufactures, and sells computer components and related products.  The Company's major products include microprocessors, chipsets, embedded processors and microcontrollers, flash memory products, graphics products, network and communications products, systems management software, conferencing products, and digital imaging products.

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Intel Corp (INTC US)

USG 1:1 Rule on Semi Manufacturing: Not a Clear Positive to Intel but Clearly Positive to TSMC

USG 1:1 ratio not clear win for Intel, needs 14A node fast. Positive for TSMC, boost pricing power. TSMC may up US Capex, lower Taiwan Capex, make...

Nicolas Baratte

EP 135: Talking Semiconductor Recruiting

The firm specializes in recruiting executive level leaders in B2B tech, specifically in semiconductor and deep tech industries, with a focus on...

The Circuit

Tekscend Photomask IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

Tekscend Photomask (429A JP) (429A JP), a manufacturer and distributor of semiconductor photomasks, aims to raise around US$830m in its Japan IPO....

Sumeet Singh

Tekscend Photomask IPO - Peer Comparison

Tekscend Photomask (429A JP), a manufacturer and distributor of semiconductor photomasks, aims to raise around US$830m in its Japan IPO. In this...

Sumeet Singh

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): 4Q25/2025 Outlook Could Outperform; 2nm Is Likely to Largest Adopted in 2026

TSMC's 2Q25 growth expected at 39% YoY, potential upside if 4Q25 outperforms. Apple driving N2 ramp in 2026, revenue growth projected at 25% YoY...

Patrick Liao

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USG 1:1 Rule on Semi Manufacturing: Not a Clear Positive to Intel but Clearly Positive to TSMC

​USG 1:1 ratio not clear win for Intel, needs 14A node fast. Positive for TSMC, boost pricing power. TSMC may up US Capex, lower Taiwan Capex, make...

Nicolas Baratte

EP 135: Talking Semiconductor Recruiting

The firm specializes in recruiting executive level leaders in B2B tech, specifically in semiconductor and deep tech industries, with a focus on...

The Circuit

Tekscend Photomask IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

Tekscend Photomask (429A JP) (429A JP), a manufacturer and distributor of semiconductor photomasks, aims to raise around US$830m in its Japan IPO....

Sumeet Singh

Tekscend Photomask IPO - Peer Comparison

Tekscend Photomask (429A JP), a manufacturer and distributor of semiconductor photomasks, aims to raise around US$830m in its Japan IPO. In this...

Sumeet Singh

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): 4Q25/2025 Outlook Could Outperform; 2nm Is Likely to Largest Adopted in 2026

​TSMC's 2Q25 growth expected at 39% YoY, potential upside if 4Q25 outperforms. Apple driving N2 ramp in 2026, revenue growth projected at 25% YoY...

Patrick Liao

USG 1:1 ratio not clear win for Intel, needs 14A node fast. Positive for TSMC, boost pricing power. TSMC may up US Capex, lower Taiwan Capex, make...

TSMC's 2Q25 growth expected at 39% YoY, potential upside if 4Q25 outperforms. Apple driving N2 ramp in 2026, revenue growth projected at 25% YoY...