Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We have discussed for weeks that we will need to see the SPX and Nasdaq 100 close below their 20-day MAs for 2-3 consecutive days in order to get cautious.</li>
<li>This still hasn't happened (short-term trend remains bullish). If we get 2-3 closes below the 20-dayMAs, next support would be 4983-5050 on SPX, $425-$433 on QQQ (gap supports from 2/22/24)</li>
<li>If some or all of these gaps remain unfilled, it is a sign that bulls remain in control. We are seeing a rotation into commodity Sectors, we highlight several buys</li>
</ul>


We have discussed for weeks that we will need to see the SPX and Nasdaq 100 close below their 20-day MAs for 2-3 consecutive days in order to get cautious.
This still hasn't happened (short-term trend remains bullish). If we get 2-3 closes below the 20-dayMAs, next support would be 4983-5050 on SPX, $425-$433 on QQQ (gap supports from 2/22/24)
If some or all of these gaps remain unfilled, it is a sign that bulls remain in control. We are seeing a rotation into commodity Sectors, we highlight several buys


Upgrading Materials to Market Weight; Rotation into Commodity Sectors; SPX/NDX Holding Above Support

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Occidental Petroleum's Q4 2023 has displayed a robust performance in recent quarters, achieving a strong free cash flow of $5.5 billion.</li><li>Significantly, this has facilitated the company in paying dividends, repurchasing common shares, and investing back into the business.</li><li>The primary driver of this achievement is accredited to technical expertise, leading-edge technologies, and innovation, showcasing the company’s operational strength.</li></ul>

Occidental Petroleum's Q4 2023 has displayed a robust performance in recent quarters, achieving a strong free cash flow of $5.5 billion.Significantly, this has facilitated the company in paying dividends, repurchasing common shares, and investing back into the business.The primary driver of this achievement is accredited to technical expertise, leading-edge technologies, and innovation, showcasing the company’s operational strength.

Occidental Petroleum Corporation: Enhanced Oil Recovery (EOR) and Growth Strategy In 2024! - Major Drivers

<ul><li>Occidental Petroleum Corporation managed to exceed analyst expectations regarding revenue as well as earnings, surpassing oil and gas production guidance by 34,000 BOE per day.</li><li>This success prompted an 11,000 BOE per day increase in the full-year production forecast.</li><li>The company further entered into a purchase agreement to acquire CrownRock L.P., an oil and gas producer based in Midland.</li></ul>

Occidental Petroleum Corporation managed to exceed analyst expectations regarding revenue as well as earnings, surpassing oil and gas production guidance by 34,000 BOE per day.This success prompted an 11,000 BOE per day increase in the full-year production forecast.The company further entered into a purchase agreement to acquire CrownRock L.P., an oil and gas producer based in Midland.

Occidental Petroleum Corporation: Midstream Business Exceeds Expectations – What's Behind the Success? - Major Drivers

<ul>
<li>Over the last two weeks we discussed expectations for an oversold bounce; the bounce has continued. We believe it is possible we've seen the lows for this pause/pullback on SPX.</li>
<li>We see low probability of a meaningful correction if SPX is above 4300-4325 (1.5-year support), but would not be surprised to see another month+ of consolidation between 4325 and 4600.</li>
<li>Shorter-Term, as long as 4460 short-term support holds, we expect a test of 4600. Today we highlight several buys within Energy.</li>
</ul>


Over the last two weeks we discussed expectations for an oversold bounce; the bounce has continued. We believe it is possible we've seen the lows for this pause/pullback on SPX.
We see low probability of a meaningful correction if SPX is above 4300-4325 (1.5-year support), but would not be surprised to see another month+ of consolidation between 4325 and 4600.
Shorter-Term, as long as 4460 short-term support holds, we expect a test of 4600. Today we highlight several buys within Energy.


Bounce Continues; Small-Caps Test 3.5-Year RS Lows; Nasdaq/NYSE Breadth Improving; Buys in Energy

<ul><li>Occidental Petroleum delivered a disappointing set of results as the company could not meet Wall Street's revenue and earnings expectations.</li><li>The company's adjusted profit of $0.68 per diluted share slightly exceeded the reported profit of $0.63.</li><li>Despite planned maintenance activities across their oil and gas businesses, the company generated over $1 billion of free cash flow for working capital.</li></ul>

Occidental Petroleum delivered a disappointing set of results as the company could not meet Wall Street's revenue and earnings expectations.The company's adjusted profit of $0.68 per diluted share slightly exceeded the reported profit of $0.63.Despite planned maintenance activities across their oil and gas businesses, the company generated over $1 billion of free cash flow for working capital.

Occidental Petroleum: Tackling Challenges with Bold Operational Improvements! - Major Drivers

United States

Occidental Petroleum Corporation explores for, develops, produces, and markets crude oil and natural gas.  The Company also manufactures and markets a variety of basic chemicals, vinyls and performance chemicals. Occidental also gathers, treats, processes, transports, stores, trades and markets crude oil, natural gas, NGLs, condensate and carbon dioxide (CO2) and generates and markets power.

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Occidental Petroleum (OXY US)

Upgrading Materials to Market Weight; Rotation into Commodity Sectors; SPX/NDX Holding Above Support

Upgrading Materials $XLB to Market Weight; Rotation into Commodity Sectors $XLE. $SPX and $QQQ holding above gap supports at 4983-5050 and $425...

Vermilion Research

Occidental Petroleum Corporation: Enhanced Oil Recovery (EOR) and Growth Strategy In 2024! - Major Drivers

Occidental Petroleum's Q4 2023 has displayed a robust performance in recent quarters, achieving a strong free cash flow of $5.5...

Baptista Research

Occidental Petroleum Corporation: Midstream Business Exceeds Expectations – What's Behind the Success? - Major Drivers

Occidental Petroleum Corporation managed to exceed analyst expectations regarding revenue as well as earnings, surpassing oil and gas production...

Baptista Research

Bounce Continues; Small-Caps Test 3.5-Year RS Lows; Nasdaq/NYSE Breadth Improving; Buys in Energy

Expectations over the past two weeks for an oversold bounce in $SPX have played out. 4300-4325 (1.5-year support) remains solid floor, but could...

Vermilion Research

Occidental Petroleum: Tackling Challenges with Bold Operational Improvements! - Major Drivers

Occidental Petroleum delivered a disappointing set of results as the company could not meet Wall Street's revenue and earnings expectations. The...

Baptista Research

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