External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Looking ahead to 2026, we believe competition in the large language model (LLM) industry will further intensify, while monetization of AI applications in niche segments should see continued momentum.</li><li>We are optimistic about the further monetization potential driven by improved AI agent capabilities, as well as increased paid user penetration and monetization from advanced image editing and video generation LLMs.</li><li>We currently do not anticipate overinvestment risks among cloud service providers, and expect 2026 earnings growth of US-listed leaders to support their valuations. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Looking ahead to 2026, we believe competition in the large language model (LLM) industry will further intensify, while monetization of AI applications in niche segments should see continued momentum.We are optimistic about the further monetization potential driven by improved AI agent capabilities, as well as increased paid user penetration and monetization from advanced image editing and video generation LLMs.We currently do not anticipate overinvestment risks among cloud service providers, and expect 2026 earnings growth of US-listed leaders to support their valuations. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

US Internet & Software - 2026 outlook: AI applications to ramp up; eyes on AI investment return

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Equity Bottom-Up

Palantir Technologies  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Palantir ownership among global funds hit a record 11.3% in July 2025, nearly doubling in six months, led by growth strategies.</li>
<li>Despite a 500% rally and rising index weights, most fund positions remain modest; only three exceed 2%.</li>
<li>Now the fourth most held AI/software peer, Palantir risks becoming a Tesla-style underweight challenge for active managers.</li>
</ul>


Palantir ownership among global funds hit a record 11.3% in July 2025, nearly doubling in six months, led by growth strategies.
Despite a 500% rally and rising index weights, most fund positions remain modest; only three exceed 2%.
Now the fourth most held AI/software peer, Palantir risks becoming a Tesla-style underweight challenge for active managers.


Palantir Technologies Inc:  Rotation Signals Momentum Shift

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Figma Inc., a fast-growing design software maker with strong VC backing, is expected to price the offering this week.</li>
<li>The company’s amended S-1 puts the initial price range per share at $25.00 to $28.00, implying a market cap of roughly $13B at the midpoint.</li>
<li>I have a positive view of upcoming Figma IPO and expect a strong first trading-day performance. The stock will begin trading on the NYSE on July 28, 2025.</li>
</ul>


Figma Inc., a fast-growing design software maker with strong VC backing, is expected to price the offering this week.
The company’s amended S-1 puts the initial price range per share at $25.00 to $28.00, implying a market cap of roughly $13B at the midpoint.
I have a positive view of upcoming Figma IPO and expect a strong first trading-day performance. The stock will begin trading on the NYSE on July 28, 2025.


Figma IPO (FIG.US): Investor Interest Remains Strong, Likely To Price IPO at Top of Range

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>As discussed for two weeks, we see more and more signs leading us to believe SPX made a major bottom at 4800-4820, which was expected support from our 4/8/25 Compass.</li>
<li>We have been short-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass -- when the SPX was testing 5100-5120 support -- but now we are upgrading our intermediate-term outlook to bullish as well.</li>
<li>Our short- and intermediate-term outlook will remain bullish as long as the SPX is above 5500</li>
</ul>


As discussed for two weeks, we see more and more signs leading us to believe SPX made a major bottom at 4800-4820, which was expected support from our 4/8/25 Compass.
We have been short-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass -- when the SPX was testing 5100-5120 support -- but now we are upgrading our intermediate-term outlook to bullish as well.
Our short- and intermediate-term outlook will remain bullish as long as the SPX is above 5500


Lockout Rally Continues; Still Short-Term Bullish on SPX, Now Upgrading I.T. Outlook to Bullish Also

Sailpoint Technologies Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>SailPoint, a founder-led provider of identity security for the modern enterprise, aims to raise up to $1B to pay off debt.</li>
<li>The company ended last quarter at $813M of implied ARR and I see a clear path to $1B+ ARR in FY26 ended Jan 30, 2026.</li>
<li>I believe SailPoint may consider IPO at valuation above take-private transaction of ~$6.9B in 2022. The company is expected to go public in February.</li>
</ul>


SailPoint, a founder-led provider of identity security for the modern enterprise, aims to raise up to $1B to pay off debt.
The company ended last quarter at $813M of implied ARR and I see a clear path to $1B+ ARR in FY26 ended Jan 30, 2026.
I believe SailPoint may consider IPO at valuation above take-private transaction of ~$6.9B in 2022. The company is expected to go public in February.


SailPoint IPO Valuation Analysis: Paying Debt With IPO Proceeds and $1B+ ARR in FY26

United States

ServiceNow, Inc. provides enterprise information technology (IT) management software. The Company designs, develops, and produces prepackaged computer software, cloud services, and IT service management platform. ServiceNow serves customers throughout the United States.

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Servicenow Inc (NOW US)

US Internet & Software - 2026 outlook: AI applications to ramp up; eyes on AI investment return

Looking ahead to 2026, we believe competition in the large language model (LLM) industry will further intensify, while monetization of AI...

CMB International

Palantir Technologies Inc: Rotation Signals Momentum Shift

Palantir has surged into global fund portfolios, doubling ownership to record highs. Growth-led buying and a 500% rally push it toward Tesla-like...

Steven Holden

Figma IPO (FIG.US): Investor Interest Remains Strong, Likely To Price IPO at Top of Range

Figma Inc. finally sets terms for long-awaited IPO in the United States. In my insight, I discuss IPO valuation, post-listing trading dynamics and...

Andrei Zakharov

Lockout Rally Continues; Still Short-Term Bullish on SPX, Now Upgrading I.T. Outlook to Bullish Also

Lockout Rally Continues; Still Short-Term Bullish on $SPX, Now Also Upgrading Intermediate-Term Outlook to Bullish; Upgrading Technology $XLK $SMH...

Vermilion Research

SailPoint IPO Valuation Analysis: Paying Debt With IPO Proceeds and $1B+ ARR in FY26

SailPoint is expected to IPO in February. In my insight, I discuss valuation comps, IPO valuation and outline key risks for IPO investors.

Andrei Zakharov

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US Internet & Software - 2026 outlook: AI applications to ramp up; eyes on AI investment return

Looking ahead to 2026, we believe competition in the large language model (LLM) industry will further intensify, while monetization of AI...

CMB International

Palantir Technologies Inc: Rotation Signals Momentum Shift

Palantir has surged into global fund portfolios, doubling ownership to record highs. Growth-led buying and a 500% rally push it toward Tesla-like...

Steven Holden

Figma IPO (FIG.US): Investor Interest Remains Strong, Likely To Price IPO at Top of Range

​Figma Inc. finally sets terms for long-awaited IPO in the United States. In my insight, I discuss IPO valuation, post-listing trading dynamics and...

Andrei Zakharov

Lockout Rally Continues; Still Short-Term Bullish on SPX, Now Upgrading I.T. Outlook to Bullish Also

Lockout Rally Continues; Still Short-Term Bullish on $SPX, Now Also Upgrading Intermediate-Term Outlook to Bullish; Upgrading Technology $XLK $SMH...

Vermilion Research

SailPoint IPO Valuation Analysis: Paying Debt With IPO Proceeds and $1B+ ARR in FY26

SailPoint is expected to IPO in February. In my insight, I discuss valuation comps, IPO valuation and outline key risks for IPO investors.

Andrei Zakharov

Figma Inc. finally sets terms for long-awaited IPO in the United States. In my insight, I discuss IPO valuation, post-listing trading dynamics and...