Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kenedix-office-investment-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16263:1" rel="noopener">Kenedix Office Investment Co</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kenedix-residential-investment" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17149:1" rel="noopener">Kenedix Residential Investment</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kenedix-retail-reit-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:188:1" rel="noopener">Kenedix Retail REIT</a> have announced a three-way absorption merger to create Kenedix Realty Investment Corporation.</li>
<li>The increased size and liquidity of the merged entity will put the stock on the radar of active investors and there could be a re-rating higher.</li>
<li>There will be some passive flows into the merged entity at the time of merger implementation and this will help the stock outperform its peers.</li>
</ul>



Kenedix Office Investment Co, Kenedix Residential Investment and Kenedix Retail REIT have announced a three-way absorption merger to create Kenedix Realty Investment Corporation.
The increased size and liquidity of the merged entity will put the stock on the radar of active investors and there could be a re-rating higher.
There will be some passive flows into the merged entity at the time of merger implementation and this will help the stock outperform its peers.


Kenedix Merger: Office, Residential, Retail & Index Implications

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>The merger ratio is 0.67 <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kenedix-office-investment-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16263:1" rel="noopener">Kenedix Office Investment Co (8972 JP)</a>/KDO units per <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kenedix-residential-investment" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17149:1" rel="noopener">Kenedix Residential Investment (3278 JP)</a>/KDR unit and 0.84 KDO units per <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kenedix-retail-reit-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:188:1" rel="noopener">Kenedix Retail REIT (3453 JP)</a>/KRR unit.</li>
<li>The merger is sensible due to scale (the merged entity will be the third-largest J REIT by asset size), expansion opportunities and improved capital recycling. </li>
<li>The merger requires approval from all three sets of unitholders. We think this is likely as the deal metrics are fair for all three sets of unitholders. </li>
</ul>


The merger ratio is 0.67 Kenedix Office Investment Co (8972 JP)/KDO units per Kenedix Residential Investment (3278 JP)/KDR unit and 0.84 KDO units per Kenedix Retail REIT (3453 JP)/KRR unit.
The merger is sensible due to scale (the merged entity will be the third-largest J REIT by asset size), expansion opportunities and improved capital recycling. 
The merger requires approval from all three sets of unitholders. We think this is likely as the deal metrics are fair for all three sets of unitholders. 


Kenedix Office Investment (8972 JP): Merger with Kenedix Residential and Kenedix Retail REIT

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Kenedix Residential Investment / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Today after the close, small-cap JREIT <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kenedix-residential-investment" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17149:1" rel="noopener">Kenedix Residential Investment (3278 JP)</a> ("<strong>KDR</strong>") announced a follow-on equity offering to fund part of their recently-announced property acquisition. </li>
<li>The primary offer quantity is 47,500 units. In addition, there will also be an over-allotment quantity of 2,375 units. The total size of this offering could be roughly ¥9.4bn (~US$82mn). </li>
<li>Below is a closer look at the details of this offering and the potential of this offering to trigger strong secondary market performance in the following weeks.</li>
</ul>


Today after the close, small-cap JREIT Kenedix Residential Investment (3278 JP) ("KDR") announced a follow-on equity offering to fund part of their recently-announced property acquisition. 
The primary offer quantity is 47,500 units. In addition, there will also be an over-allotment quantity of 2,375 units. The total size of this offering could be roughly ¥9.4bn (~US$82mn). 
Below is a closer look at the details of this offering and the potential of this offering to trigger strong secondary market performance in the following weeks.


Kenedix Residential Investment (3278 JP): Could Outperform Peers in the Next Few Weeks

Equity Capital Markets

Kenedix Residential Investment / Equity Capital Markets

<p>Yesterday after the close, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kenedix-residential-investme" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17149:1" rel="noopener">Kenedix Residential Next Investment Corp (3278 JP)</a> ("<strong>KDR</strong>") announced (<a href="https://www.kdr-reit.com/Portals/0/resources/ir/%E6%96%B0%E6%8A%95%E8%B3%87%E5%8F%A3%E7%99%BA%E8%A1%8C%E5%8F%8A%E3%81%B3%E6%8A%95%E8%B3%87%E5%8F%A3%E5%A3%B2%E5%87%BA%E3%81%97%E3%81%AB%E9%96%A2%E3%81%99%E3%82%8B%E3%81%8A%E7%9F%A5%E3%82%89%E3%81%9B.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">J-only</a>) a follow-on equity offering to fund part of their <a href="https://www.kdr-reit.com/Portals/0/resources/english/ir/Notice%20Concerning%20Acquisition%20of%20Properties%20and%20Conclusion%20of%20Lease%20Contracts%20with%20New%20Tenants.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">recent property acquisition</a> which consisted of four residential properties and two healthcare facilities. </p><div><p>The primary offer quantity is 42,500 units and there is also an over-allotment quantity of 2,125 units. The size of this offering could be around ¥7.7bn (~US$73mn).</p></div><div>
<p>The Offer Price will be determined between 18th and 24th February (typically it has been the first day of this window for most JREIT offerings) and the day following the offer price determination day (pricing date) will be the application date. </p>
<p><em>More below the fold.</em></p>
</div>

Yesterday after the close, Kenedix Residential Next Investment Corp (3278 JP) ("KDR") announced (J-only) a follow-on equity offering to fund part of their recent property acquisition which consisted of four residential properties and two healthcare facilities. The primary offer quantity is 42,500 units and there is also an over-allotment quantity of 2,125 units. The size of this offering could be around ¥7.7bn (~US$73mn).
The Offer Price will be determined between 18th and 24th February (typically it has been the first day of this window for most JREIT offerings) and the day following the offer price determination day (pricing date) will be the application date. 
More below the fold.


JREIT Offering: Kenedix Residential Next Investment Corp (3278 JP) - Take It (Vs Comps)

<p>In 2020, we have so far witnessed 15 follow-on JREIT offerings cumulatively raising JPY463bn (~US$4.5bn). This has been something of a weak year, understandable because of the covid-19 crisis which hit equity market and JREIT prices in March, and keeping them soft for months afterwards.</p>
<p>Historically, January and February are the busiest months, for a variety of reasons.</p>
<p>From 2015-2020, on average, there have been ~7 offerings from the top 40 JREITs announced within the first two months of the calendar year accounting for roughly a third of the total number of offerings in each year during that period. </p>
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<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/179/233/original/Number%20of%20Historical%20Offerings%20by%20Calendar%20Month.png?1608207336" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="179233"></figure>
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Source: Quiddity, Capital IQ (Data)</div>
In this insight, we take a look at the prospective candidates who are most likely to launch follow-on equity offerings near-term, and we look at the performance characteristics of J-REIT follow-on offerings and the likelihood of profit from participating in the event.</section>

In 2020, we have so far witnessed 15 follow-on JREIT offerings cumulatively raising JPY463bn (~US$4.5bn). This has been something of a weak year, understandable because of the covid-19 crisis which hit equity market and JREIT prices in March, and keeping them soft for months afterwards.
Historically, January and February are the busiest months, for a variety of reasons.
From 2015-2020, on average, there have been ~7 offerings from the top 40 JREITs announced within the first two months of the calendar year accounting for roughly a third of the total number of offerings in each year during that period. 









Source: Quiddity, Capital IQ (Data)
In this insight, we take a look at the prospective candidates who are most likely to launch follow-on equity offerings near-term, and we look at the performance characteristics of J-REIT follow-on offerings and the likelihood of profit from participating in the event.

J-REIT Offering Primer: Get Ready for Offering Season 2021

Japan

Kenedix Residential Investment Corporation is a real estate investment trust. The company invests in residential properties such as apartment buildings.

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Kenedix Residential Investment (3278 JP)

Kenedix Merger: Office, Residential, Retail & Index Implications

Kenedix Office, Residential and Retail are merging to create a larger entity that will appear on active investors radars. There will also be buying...

Brian Freitas

Kenedix Office Investment (8972 JP): Merger with Kenedix Residential and Kenedix Retail REIT

The merger is sensible due to scale, expansion opportunities and improved capital recycling. All three sets of unitholders will be supportive as...

Arun George