Global Editor, Base Oil News

Iain Pocock

Global Editor

Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

Base Oil News

Base Oil News focuses on the interplay between fundamentals and prices in the global base oils and lubricants markets.

Baseoilnews.com combines daily, weekly and monthly base oils and lubes fundamentals data from every region of the world to build the most comprehensive and up-to-date global picture of the state of the market.

The data and analysis provide key tools to understand current market developments and opportunities and to anticipate how the market is likely to behave in the coming months.

Base oils producers, lube blenders and consumers can then better plan accordingly.

Baseoilnews.com analyses and publishes market news and data every day as it breaks.

Commodities

<ul><li>Asia’s Group II base oils price-premium to Singapore gasoil holds in narrow range.</li><li>Firm gasoil premium to crude oil puts more pressure on refiners to trim light-grade supply rather than heavy grades, despite persistent surplus availability of heavy grades.</li><li>Asia’s base oils supply-surplus could face more upward pressure over coming months, even with firmer gasoil premium to crude, amid lighter round of plant-maintenance and start-up of new base oils units.</li></ul>

Asia’s Group II base oils price-premium to Singapore gasoil holds in narrow range.Firm gasoil premium to crude oil puts more pressure on refiners to trim light-grade supply rather than heavy grades, despite persistent surplus availability of heavy grades.Asia’s base oils supply-surplus could face more upward pressure over coming months, even with firmer gasoil premium to crude, amid lighter round of plant-maintenance and start-up of new base oils units.

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 13 October

<ul><li>Asia Group I heavy-neutrals price falls vs ex-tank UAE price since early-August to widest discount in more than two years.</li><li>Wider price-discount facilitates arbitrage to move surplus supplies from Asia to Middle East.</li><li>Asia’s surplus Group I supplies rise amid pick-up in imports from other regions like Europe, as well as recovery in output in markets like Thailand after plant-maintenance work.</li></ul>

Asia Group I heavy-neutrals price falls vs ex-tank UAE price since early-August to widest discount in more than two years.Wider price-discount facilitates arbitrage to move surplus supplies from Asia to Middle East.Asia’s surplus Group I supplies rise amid pick-up in imports from other regions like Europe, as well as recovery in output in markets like Thailand after plant-maintenance work.

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 13 October

<ul><li>Global base oils prices mostly hold firm versus feedstock/competing fuel prices amid further drop in crude oil prices.</li><li>Mostly-steady outright base oils prices and lower crude prices cushion impact of strong gasoil premium to crude oil.</li><li>Strong gasoil crack-spread incentivizes any refinery moves to trim output levels to focus more on light grades than heavy grades.</li></ul>

Global base oils prices mostly hold firm versus feedstock/competing fuel prices amid further drop in crude oil prices.Mostly-steady outright base oils prices and lower crude prices cushion impact of strong gasoil premium to crude oil.Strong gasoil crack-spread incentivizes any refinery moves to trim output levels to focus more on light grades than heavy grades.

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 13 October

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 58.2% as of Oct 10th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 1.9ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, financials, consumer discretionary and offset by utilities, information technology, communication services.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Cosco Shipping Development, Innocare Pharma, Shanghai Electric, SMIC, CIMC, Gf Securities.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 58.2% as of Oct 10th.
The average A-H premium changed by 1.9ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, financials, consumer discretionary and offset by utilities, information technology, communication services.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Cosco Shipping Development, Innocare Pharma, Shanghai Electric, SMIC, CIMC, Gf Securities.


A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 10th): Cosco Shipping Development, Innocare Pharma, Shanghai Electric, SMIC

<ul><li>Global base oils prices recover vs feedstock/gasoil prices after crude oil prices reverse recent gains.</li><li>Firmer base oils price-differentials ease pressure on refiners to trim run-rates at time of year when supply often starts to outpace demand.</li><li>Firmer price-differentials coincide with lighter round of plant-maintenance in coming weeks vs H1 2025.</li></ul>

Global base oils prices recover vs feedstock/gasoil prices after crude oil prices reverse recent gains.Firmer base oils price-differentials ease pressure on refiners to trim run-rates at time of year when supply often starts to outpace demand.Firmer price-differentials coincide with lighter round of plant-maintenance in coming weeks vs H1 2025.

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 6 October

China

Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Company Limited processes crude oil into a broad range of synthetic fibers, resins and plastics, intermediate petrochemical products and petroleum products.

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Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical (338 HK)

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 13 October

Asia’s Group II base oils price-premium to Singapore gasoil holds in narrow range. Firm gasoil premium to crude oil puts more pressure on refiners...

Base Oil News

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 13 October

Asia Group I heavy-neutrals price falls vs ex-tank UAE price since early-August to widest discount in more than two years. Wider price-discount...

Base Oil News

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 13 October

Global base oils prices mostly hold firm versus feedstock/competing fuel prices amid further drop in crude oil prices. Mostly-steady outright base...

Base Oil News

A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 10th): Cosco Shipping Development, Innocare Pharma, Shanghai Electric, SMIC

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Cosco Shipping Development, Innocare Pharma, Shanghai...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 6 October

Global base oils prices recover vs feedstock/gasoil prices after crude oil prices reverse recent gains. Firmer base oils price-differentials ease...

Base Oil News

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